CROWN

DOC

School

University of California, Los Angeles *

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Course

231E

Subject

Management

Date

Nov 24, 2024

Type

DOC

Pages

3

Uploaded by leedevin

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Strengths Management (most important) Captive sources of aluminum ingots (Intalco), 81% of total needs. More backward integration with Eastalco. Close to become a fully integrated producer. Marketing High level of confidence among customers - high quality Selected to participate in the majority of US jet engine programs. Competition Higher P/E ratio than competition Financial Strong internal growth Sales expected to increase 6-8% annually. 15-20% on aluminum. Assets/primary assets Two lines of products. Stable aluminum prices on ingots. Weaknesses Management (most important) Now growth in the precision casting business. Marketing Competition Price erosion Financial Erratic earnings for instability in the aluminum business Assets/primary assets Heavy capital expenditures. Success on casting based on low rejects, which means technological advance. Opportunities Be careful with the business cycle. The previous one was in 1960. The industry is creating new uses for the metal, but could stagnate. Threats Management (most important) We are up in the business cycle. The 70’s could hide problems. Marketing Competition Kenner competition with substitutes (steel, copper, plastic) Prices of fabricated products eroding. Keener competition. Financial Assets/primary assets Overcapacity domestically and internationally in fabricated and aluminum products. International capacity increase. Could be larger than demand increase. Financing $30M on equity-> dilution $30M on 7 ¼ % $5M from 1970 to 1975 WC > $55M Dividends restricted to earnings after the loan. Additional debt limited to $20M.
$30M subordinated convertible debentures on 6%. Payments of $2M from year 6 to 20. Not callable for 10 years, except at par per mandatory debt requirement Convertible into common stock at $31.5. 1. Recommend and defend financing decision that the management of Crown should make in 1969. Criteria Debt Convertible Debt Common Cost Low – best EPS growth Medium - Med EPS growth High - low EPS growth Risk High Medium Low Flexibility Low – limited in new debt issues, restrictive covenants Medium – moderate High – can issue debt later Timing N/A N/A Medium – stock P/E is in the middle of industry avg. Control High – no dilution High - will probably be converted (dilution) High - dilution Common stock is the best alternative for 1969 in terms of EPS growth: 1969 Subordinate d Convertible Convertible Debt Orignal Debt Debt Diluted Basis Common EBI T (ex clu 28.50 0 30.495 30.49 5 30.49 5 30.495 Interest 3.360 5.535 5.160 3.360 3.360 Ea rni ng s 25.14 0 24.960 25.33 5 27.13 5 31.504 Tax estimated 45% 11.31 3 11.232 11.40 1 12.21 1 14.177 Ea rni ng s 13.82 7 13.728 13.93 4 14.92 4 17.327 Preferred dividends - - - - - Ea rni ng s 13.82 7 13.728 13.93 4 14.92 4 17.327 Co m 7.273 7.273 7.273 8.225 8.673 EP S 1.901 1.888 1.916 1.814 1.998 Common dividends per share 0.700 0.700 0.700 0.700 0.700 Ret ain 1.201 1.188 1.216 1.114 1.298 Ret ain 8.736 8.637 8.843 9.167 11.256 Ch an -0.7% 0.8% -4.6% 5.1% P/E 20 $ 38.32
2. Indicate the plan of action that should be set up to meet the company's anticipated financing requirements over the next 3-5 years, and show why your recommended plan is better suited to the company's needs than viable alternative plans. Issue stock in 1969 ($30 mill) then debt in 1970 ($22 mill) and debt 1972 ($30 million) to fund additional capex because the company will have the income to pay off its debt and increase EPS. 1970 Subordinate d Convertible Convertible Debt Orignal Debt Debt Diluted Basis Common EBI T (ex clu 30.49 5 33.300 33.30 0 33.30 0 33.30 0 Interest 3.360 4.955 4.680 3.360 3.360 Ea rni ng s 27.13 5 28.345 28.62 0 29.94 0 29.94 0 Tax estimated 45% 12.21 1 12.755 12.87 9 13.47 3 13.47 3 Ea rni ng s 14.92 4 15.590 15.74 1 16.46 7 16.46 7 Preferred dividends - - - - - Ea rni ng s 14.92 4 15.590 15.74 1 16.46 7 16.46 7 Co m mo n 8.673 8.673 8.673 9.302 9.553 $25 pe share EP S 1.721 1.798 1.815 1.770 1.724 Common dividends per share 0.700 0.700 0.700 0.700 0.700 Ret ain 1.021 1.098 1.115 1.070 1.024 Ret ain 8.853 9.519 9.670 9.956 9.780 Ch an 4.5% 5.5% 2.9% 0.2% P/E 16 $ 29.04
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