EBK OM
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781305888210
Author: Collier
Publisher: YUZU
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Chapter 9, Problem 15PA
Summary Introduction
Interpretation:The capabilities of available commercial software packages in
Concept Introduction:
Many organizations worldwide use various types of commercial software packages in making business forecasts. As the business environment that prevails at present is so turbulent, forecasting for the future is very much essential. Since these packages have been developed accordingly, to cater to the needs of businesses, the forecasts made via them could be relied upon to a great extent. Nevertheless, it should always be kept in mind that no matter how good a forecast might be, there’s always a chance it could go wrong.
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Question 1
M&H company ltd. sells television sets and has collected monthly sales data (in units) for the past 12
months as shown in table 1below:
TABLE 1
Month
Sales (Units)
1
120
2
135
3
150
4
165
5
180
6
200
7
195
8
210
9
225
10
240
11
255
12
270
Using the data provided, answer the following questions:
a. Using a 3-month weighted moving average with weights 0.5, 0.3, and 0.2 (most recent month
having the highest weight), calculate the forecast for month 13.
[2 marks]
b. If the company applies an exponential smoothing method with a smoothing constant (a) = 02,
and assumes an initial forecast of 120 units for Month 1, calculate the forecast for month 13.
[6 marks]
c. Calculate the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) for the exponential smoothing method and
weighted moving average method using the actual sales data for Months 4 to 12 and determine
which method is more accurate.
[8 marks] d.
Compute the values of a (intercept) and b (slope) using the least squares method. [7 marks]
e. Use the…
Question 4
MGM12026 Production and Operations Management semester il 2024
A company operates a manufacturing plant that produces two products, A and B. The plant has the
following capacity data:
.
.
Design Capacity: 15,000 machine hours per month
Effective Capacity: 12,000 machine hours per month
Actual Output (Utilized Capacity): 10,000 machine hours per month
Additionally, the plant produces Product A and Product B, with the following production data:
Product Demand (Units)
Processing Time Contribution Margin ($
(hours per unit)
per unit)
A
3,000
2.5
40
B
4,000
1.5
30
a. Calculate the plant's
i. Capacity Utilization
[3 marks] ii. Effective Capacity Utilization
[3 marks] iii.
Efficiency. Interpret the results. [3 marks] b. Compute the total machine hours required to
meet full demand for both products. [5 marks]
c. Determine whether the plant has sufficient capacity to meet full demand. If not, calculate the
shortfall in machine hours.
[3 marks]
d. Using the contribution margin per…
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