EBK PRACTICE OF STAT.F/AP EXAM,UPDATED
EBK PRACTICE OF STAT.F/AP EXAM,UPDATED
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781319287573
Author: Starnes
Publisher: MPS PUB
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Chapter 5.3, Problem 88E
To determine

Probability for a person getting positive result on both EIA tests has HIV antibodies.

Expert Solution & Answer
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Answer to Problem 88E

Probability that a person gets positive result on both EIA tests has HIV antibodies is approx. 0.3931.

Explanation of Solution

Given information:

Probability for Antibodies present,

  P(A)=1%=0.01

Probability for Antibodies present Positive EIA test,

  P(P|A)=0.9985

Probability for Antibodies present Negative EIA test,

  P(Pc|A)=0.0015

Probability for Antibodies absent Positive EIA test,

  P(P|Ac)=0.0060

Probability for Antibodies absent Negative EIA test,

  P(Pc|Ac)=0.9940

Calculations:

According to the multiplication rule for independent events,

  P(AB)=P(AandB)=P(A)×P(B)

Conditional probability definition:

  P(B|A)=P(AB)P(A)=P(AandB)P(A)

Let

B: Positive result on both EIA tests

P: Positive result on one EIA test

A: Antibodies present

From the previous problem,

We have

Probability for positive EIA test,

  P(P)=0.015925

And

Probability for Positive EIA test and Antibodies present,

  P(PandA)=P(A)×P(P|A)=0.01×0.9985=0.009985

Now,

Apply multiplication rule for independent events, to get theprobability for positive result on both EIA tests,

  P(B)=P(P)×P(P)=0.015925×0.015925=0.000253605625

Also,

Apply multiplication rule for independent events, to get the probability for antibodies present and positive result on both EIA tests,

  P(AandB)=P(AandP)×P(AandP)=0.009985×0.009985=0.00009970225

Using conditional probability definition:

  P(A|B)=P(AandB)P(B)=0.0000997002250.0002536056250.3931

Thus,

The conditional probability for a person getting positive result on both EIA tests has HIV antibodies is approx. 0.3931.

Chapter 5 Solutions

EBK PRACTICE OF STAT.F/AP EXAM,UPDATED

Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 16ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 17ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 18ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 20ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 21ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 22ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 24ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 26ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 27ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 28ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 30ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 35ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 36ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 37ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 38ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 39ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 40ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 41ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 42ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 43ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 44ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 45ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 46ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 47ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 48ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 49ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 50ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 51ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 52ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 53ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 54ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 55ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 56ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 57ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 58ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 59ECh. 5.2 - Prob. 60ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 61ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 62ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 63ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 64ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 65ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 66ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 67ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 68ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 69ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 70ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 71ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 72ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 73ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 74ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 75ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 76ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 77ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 78ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 79ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 80ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 81ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 82ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 83ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 84ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 85ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 86ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 87ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 88ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 89ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 90ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 91ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 92ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 93ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 94ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 95ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 96ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 97ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 98ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 99ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 100ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 101ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 102ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 103ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 104ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 105ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 106ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 107ECh. 5.3 - Prob. 108ECh. 5 - Prob. R5.1RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.2RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.3RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.4RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.5RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.6RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.7RECh. 5 - Prob. R5.8RECh. 5 - Prob. T5.1SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.2SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.3SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.4SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.5SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.6SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.7SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.8SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.9SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.10SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.11SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.12SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.13SPTCh. 5 - Prob. T5.14SPT
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