Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability 1 10 3 . This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested, a. What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result. b. What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease. c. What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i -1 of these tests were negative, and the with one—which was on Jones—was positive. d. Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability 1 10 3 . This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested, a. What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result. b. What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease. c. What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i -1 of these tests were negative, and the with one—which was on Jones—was positive. d. Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
Solution Summary: The author calculates the probability that the blood test will be positive. Each of 500 soldiers in an army company has a certain disease with probability 1/103.
Each of 500 soldiers in an army company independently has a certain disease with probability
1
10
3
. This disease will show up in a blood test, and to facilitate matters, blood samples from all 500 soldiers are pooled and tested, a. What is the (approximate) probability that the blood test will be positive (that is, at least one person has the disease)? Suppose now that the blood test yields a positive result.
b. What is the probability, under this circumstance, that more than one person has the disease? Now, suppose one of the 500 people is Jones, who knows that he has the disease.
c. What does Jones think is the probability that more than one person has the disease? Because the pooled test was positive, the authorities have decided to test each individual separately. The first i -1 of these tests were negative, and the with one—which was on Jones—was positive.
d. Given the preceding scenario, what is the probability, as a function of i, that any of the remaining people have the disease?
Problem: The probability density function of a random variable is given by the exponential
distribution
Find the probability that
f(x) = {0.55e−0.55x 0 < x, O elsewhere}
a. the time to observe a particle is more than 200 microseconds.
b. the time to observe a particle is less than 10 microseconds.
Problem: The probability density function of a random variable is given by the exponential
distribution
Find the probability that
f(x) = {0.55e-0.55 x 0 < x, O elsewhere}
a. the time to observe a particle is more than 200 microseconds.
b. the time to observe a particle is less than 10 microseconds.
Unknown to a medical researcher, 7 out of 24 patients have a heart problem that will result in death if they receive the test drug. 5 patients are randomly selected to receive the drug and the rest receive a placebo. What is the probability that less than 4 patients will die? Express as a fraction or a decimal number rounded to four decimal places.
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