Principles of Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (10th Edition)
Principles of Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134181981
Author: Jay Heizer, Barry Render, Chuck Munson
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 4, Problem 26P

George Kyparisis owns a company that manufactures sailboats. Actual demand for George’s sailboats during each of the past four seasons was as follows:

Chapter 4, Problem 26P, George Kyparisis owns a company that manufactures sailboats. Actual demand for Georges sailboats

George has forecasted that annual demand for his sailboats in year 5 will equal 5,600 sailboats. Based on this data and the multiplicative seasonal model, what will the demand level be for George’s sailboats in the spring of year 5?

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George Kyparisis owns a company that manufac-tures sailboats. Actual demand for George’s sailboats duringeach of the past four seasons was as follows: George has forecasted that annual demand for his sailboats inyear 5 will equal 5,600 sailboats. Based on this data and themultiplicative seasonal model, what will the demand level befor George’s sailboats in the spring of year 5?
↑ As you can see in the following table, demand for heart transplant surgery at Washington General Hospital has increased steadily in the past few years 1 Year 2 3 4 5 Heart Transplants 46.0 52.0 52.0 57.0 60.0 The director of medical services predicted 6 years ago that demand in year 1 would be 42.0 surgeries a) Using exponential smoothing with a of 0.60 and the given forecast for year 1, the forecasts for years 2 through 6 are (round your responses to one decimal place) 2 3 5 6 Year Forecast 1 42.0 4
Seasonality of Demand The company VID-CO-19 has manufactured swim suits for men, women, and children for 10 years. The company is located in Boston, Massachusetts. Swim suits have always had a higher demand during the months of April, May, June, July, August, and September. The demand has always been lower during the months of October, November, December, January, February, and March. The real demand, based on sales of year 20X1 is the following (it starts with December of the previous year): Period Bimester Demand Season Average 1 December-January 100 90 2 February-March 200 180 April-May June-July 900 910 4 3,000 2,100 5 August-September 4,000 4.900 6 October-November 300 350 VID-CO-19 has hired you as an Operations Management expert to help them to forecast demand for year 20X2 using the Linear Regression Method. What is the seasonal factor for Period 3 (April-May)? (write your answer rounded to two decimals)

Chapter 4 Solutions

Principles of Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (10th Edition)

Ch. 4 - What is the primary difference between a...Ch. 4 - Define time series.Ch. 4 - What effect does the value of the smoothing...Ch. 4 - Explain the value of seasonal indices in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 14DQCh. 4 - In your own words, explain adaptive forecasting.Ch. 4 - Prob. 16DQCh. 4 - Explain, in your own words, the meaning of the...Ch. 4 - Prob. 18DQCh. 4 - Give examples of industries that are affected by...Ch. 4 - Prob. 20DQCh. 4 - Prob. 21DQCh. 4 - CEO John Goodale, at Southern Illinois Power and...Ch. 4 - The following gives the number of pints of type B...Ch. 4 - a) Plot the above data on a graph. Do you observe...Ch. 4 - Refer to Problem 4.2. Develop a forecast for years...Ch. 4 - A check-processing center uses exponential...Ch. 4 - The Carbondale Hospital is considering the...Ch. 4 - The monthly sales for Yazici Batteries, Inc., were...Ch. 4 - The actual demand for the patients at Omaha...Ch. 4 - Daily high temperatures in St. Louis for the last...Ch. 4 - Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop...Ch. 4 - Data collected on the yearly registrations for a...Ch. 4 - Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing...Ch. 4 - Prob. 12PCh. 4 - At you can see in the following table, demand for...Ch. 4 - Prob. 14PCh. 4 - Refer to Solved Problem 4.1 on page 144. a) Use a...Ch. 4 - Prob. 16PCh. 4 - Prob. 17PCh. 4 - Prob. 18PCh. 4 - Income at the architectural firm Spraggins and...Ch. 4 - Resolve Problem 4.19 with = .1 and =.8. Using...Ch. 4 - Prob. 21PCh. 4 - Refer to Problem 4.21. Complete the trend-adjusted...Ch. 4 - Prob. 23PCh. 4 - The following gives the number of accidents that...Ch. 4 - In the past, Peter Kelles tire dealership in Baton...Ch. 4 - George Kyparisis owns a company that manufactures...Ch. 4 - Attendance at Orlandos newest Disneylike...Ch. 4 - Prob. 28PCh. 4 - The number of disk drives (in millions) made at a...Ch. 4 - Prob. 30PCh. 4 - Emergency calls to the 911 system of Durham, North...Ch. 4 - Using the 911 call data in Problem 4.31, forecast...Ch. 4 - Storrs Cycles has just started selling the new...Ch. 4 - Boulanger Savings and Loan is proud of its long...Ch. 4 - Mark Gershon, owner of a musical instrument...Ch. 4 - Prob. 44PCh. 4 - Cafe Michigans manager, Gary Stark, suspects that...Ch. 4 - Prob. 46PCh. 4 - The number of auto accidents in Athens, Ohio, is...Ch. 4 - Rhonda Clark, a Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, real...Ch. 4 - Accountants at the Tucson firm, Larry Youdelman,...Ch. 4 - Prob. 50PCh. 4 - Using the data in Problem 4.30, apply linear...Ch. 4 - Bus and subway ridership for the summer months in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 53PCh. 4 - Dave Fletcher, the general manager of North...Ch. 4 - Sales of tablet computers at Ted Glickmans...Ch. 4 - The following are monthly actual and forecast...Ch. 4 - Develop a forecasting model, justifying its...Ch. 4 - Prob. 2CSCh. 4 - Discuss the schools options.Ch. 4 - Prob. 1.1VCCh. 4 - Prob. 1.2VCCh. 4 - Using Perezs multiple-regression model, what would...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1.4VCCh. 4 - Describe three different forecasting applications...Ch. 4 - What is the role of the POS system in forecasting...Ch. 4 - Justify the use of the weighting system used for...Ch. 4 - Name several variables besides those mentioned in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 2.5VC
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