Principles of Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134181981
Author: Jay Heizer, Barry Render, Chuck Munson
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 4, Problem 14P
Summary Introduction
To determine: Calculate the Mean Absolute Deviation and Mean Squared Error for the given data.
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James and Maddie work for Statesboro Toolworks. Their boss Jenny tells them that she will promote the person who has the best possible forecast for the firm's DG5-S electric tool. Jenny emailed them the demand
data from 10 days worth of sales and then asked each to create a forecast for the next 10 days. The table below shows (1) Actual Demand data (2nd Column), James forecast (3rd column), and Maddie's forecast (4th
column). Calculate which of the two has the more accurate forecast. Who gets the promotion? The combatant's forecasts and the actual egg production are shown in the table. Which forecaster was more accurate and
should be hired as a result of his performance on this trial?
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3
Day 4
Day 5
Day 6
Day 7
Day 8
Day 9
Day 10
Forecast Forecast
(James) (Maddie)
102
102
107
106 105
113
115 113
109
118
124
119
142
136
130
154 148
142
166 160
154
181 174
167
198
190
182
206 202
195
Actual
Final solution:
The person who gets the promotion will be:
What is Maddie's MAPE?…
Please do not give solution in image formate thanku.
Bradley's Copiers sells and repairs photocopy machines. The manager needs weekly forecasts of service calls so that he can schedule service personnel. Use the actual demand in the first period for the forecast for the first week so error measurement begins in the second week. The manager uses exponential smoothing with α = 0.5 Forecast the number of calls for week 6, which is next week. WEEK ACTUAL SERVICE CALLS 1 28 2 32 3 40 4 27 5 30
Here are the actual tabulated demands for an item for a nine-month period (January through September). Your supervisor wants to test two moving average forecasting methods to see which one was better over this period.
Month
Actual Demand
Jan
120
Feb
140
March
160
April
180
May
170
June
190
July
150
August
160
September
170
a. Forecast April through September using a three-month moving average and calculate MAD for the forecasts.
b. Forecast May through September using a four-month moving average and calculate MAD for the forecasts.
Chapter 4 Solutions
Principles of Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (10th Edition)
Ch. 4 - Ethical Dilemma We live in a society obsessed with...Ch. 4 - What is a qualitative forecasting model, and when...Ch. 4 - Identify and briefly describe the two general...Ch. 4 - Identify the three forecasting time horizons....Ch. 4 - Briefly describe the steps that are used to...Ch. 4 - A skeptical manager asks what medium-range...Ch. 4 - Explain why such forecasting devices as moving...Ch. 4 - What is the basic difference between a weighted...Ch. 4 - What three methods are used to determine the...Ch. 4 - Research and briefly describe the Delphi...
Ch. 4 - What is the primary difference between a...Ch. 4 - Define time series.Ch. 4 - What effect does the value of the smoothing...Ch. 4 - Explain the value of seasonal indices in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 14DQCh. 4 - In your own words, explain adaptive forecasting.Ch. 4 - Prob. 16DQCh. 4 - Explain, in your own words, the meaning of the...Ch. 4 - Prob. 18DQCh. 4 - Give examples of industries that are affected by...Ch. 4 - Prob. 20DQCh. 4 - Prob. 21DQCh. 4 - CEO John Goodale, at Southern Illinois Power and...Ch. 4 - The following gives the number of pints of type B...Ch. 4 - a) Plot the above data on a graph. Do you observe...Ch. 4 - Refer to Problem 4.2. Develop a forecast for years...Ch. 4 - A check-processing center uses exponential...Ch. 4 - The Carbondale Hospital is considering the...Ch. 4 - The monthly sales for Yazici Batteries, Inc., were...Ch. 4 - The actual demand for the patients at Omaha...Ch. 4 - Daily high temperatures in St. Louis for the last...Ch. 4 - Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop...Ch. 4 - Data collected on the yearly registrations for a...Ch. 4 - Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing...Ch. 4 - Prob. 12PCh. 4 - At you can see in the following table, demand for...Ch. 4 - Prob. 14PCh. 4 - Refer to Solved Problem 4.1 on page 144. a) Use a...Ch. 4 - Prob. 16PCh. 4 - Prob. 17PCh. 4 - Prob. 18PCh. 4 - Income at the architectural firm Spraggins and...Ch. 4 - Resolve Problem 4.19 with = .1 and =.8. Using...Ch. 4 - Prob. 21PCh. 4 - Refer to Problem 4.21. Complete the trend-adjusted...Ch. 4 - Prob. 23PCh. 4 - The following gives the number of accidents that...Ch. 4 - In the past, Peter Kelles tire dealership in Baton...Ch. 4 - George Kyparisis owns a company that manufactures...Ch. 4 - Attendance at Orlandos newest Disneylike...Ch. 4 - Prob. 28PCh. 4 - The number of disk drives (in millions) made at a...Ch. 4 - Prob. 30PCh. 4 - Emergency calls to the 911 system of Durham, North...Ch. 4 - Using the 911 call data in Problem 4.31, forecast...Ch. 4 - Storrs Cycles has just started selling the new...Ch. 4 - Boulanger Savings and Loan is proud of its long...Ch. 4 - Mark Gershon, owner of a musical instrument...Ch. 4 - Prob. 44PCh. 4 - Cafe Michigans manager, Gary Stark, suspects that...Ch. 4 - Prob. 46PCh. 4 - The number of auto accidents in Athens, Ohio, is...Ch. 4 - Rhonda Clark, a Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, real...Ch. 4 - Accountants at the Tucson firm, Larry Youdelman,...Ch. 4 - Prob. 50PCh. 4 - Using the data in Problem 4.30, apply linear...Ch. 4 - Bus and subway ridership for the summer months in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 53PCh. 4 - Dave Fletcher, the general manager of North...Ch. 4 - Sales of tablet computers at Ted Glickmans...Ch. 4 - The following are monthly actual and forecast...Ch. 4 - Develop a forecasting model, justifying its...Ch. 4 - Prob. 2CSCh. 4 - Discuss the schools options.Ch. 4 - Prob. 1.1VCCh. 4 - Prob. 1.2VCCh. 4 - Using Perezs multiple-regression model, what would...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1.4VCCh. 4 - Describe three different forecasting applications...Ch. 4 - What is the role of the POS system in forecasting...Ch. 4 - Justify the use of the weighting system used for...Ch. 4 - Name several variables besides those mentioned in...Ch. 4 - Prob. 2.5VC
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