Statistics for Business & Economics, Revised (MindTap Course List)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781285846323
Author: David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams, Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran
Publisher: South-Western College Pub
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Textbook Question
Chapter 21.3, Problem 13E
Lawson’s Department Store faces a buying decision for a seasonal product for which demand can be high, medium, or low. The purchaser for Lawson’s can order 1, 2, or 3 lots of the product before the season begins but cannot reorder later. Profit projections (in thousands of dollars) are shown.
- a. If the prior probabilities for the three states of nature are .3, .3, and .4, respectively, what is the recommended order quantity?
- b. At each preseason sales meeting, the vice president of sales provides a personal opinion regarding potential demand for this product. Because of the vice president’s enthusiasm and optimistic nature, the predictions of market conditions have always been either “excellent” (E) or “very good” (V). Probabilities are as follows. What is the optimal decision strategy?
| P(E) = .7 | P(s1 | E ) = .34 | P(s1 | V ) = .20 |
| P(V) = .3 | P(s2 | E ) = .32 | P(s2 | V) = .26 |
| P(s3 | E) = .34 | P(s3 | V) = .54 |
- c. Compute EVPI and EVSI. Discuss whether the firm should consider a consulting expert who could provide independent forecasts of market conditions for the product.
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Microsoft Excel include formulas
Question 1
The data shown in Table 1 are and R values for 24 samples of size n = 5 taken from a process producing
bearings. The measurements are made on the inside diameter of the bearing, with only the last three decimals
recorded (i.e., 34.5 should be 0.50345).
Table 1: Bearing Diameter Data
Sample Number
I
R
Sample Number
I R
1
34.5
3
13
35.4
8
2
34.2
4
14
34.0
6
3
31.6
4
15
37.1
5
4
31.5
4
16
34.9
7
5
35.0
5
17
33.5
4
6
34.1
6
18
31.7
3
7
32.6
4
19
34.0
8
8
33.8
3
20
35.1
9
34.8
7
21
33.7
2
10
33.6
8
22
32.8
1
11
31.9
3
23
33.5
3
12
38.6 9
24
34.2
2
(a) Set up and R charts on this process. Does the process seem to be in statistical control? If necessary,
revise the trial control limits. [15 pts]
(b) If specifications on this diameter are 0.5030±0.0010, find the percentage of nonconforming bearings pro-
duced by this process. Assume that diameter is normally distributed. [10 pts]
1
4. (5 pts) Conduct a chi-square contingency test (test of independence) to assess whether
there is an association between the behavior of the elderly person (did not stop to talk,
did stop to talk) and their likelihood of falling. Below, please state your null and
alternative hypotheses, calculate your expected values and write them in the table,
compute the test statistic, test the null by comparing your test statistic to the critical
value in Table A (p. 713-714) of your textbook and/or estimating the P-value, and
provide your conclusions in written form. Make sure to show your work.
Did not stop walking to talk
Stopped walking to talk
Suffered a fall
12
11
Totals
23
Did not suffer a fall | 2
Totals
35
37
14
46
60
T
Chapter 21 Solutions
Statistics for Business & Economics, Revised (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 21.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 21.2 - A decision maker faced with four decision...Ch. 21.2 - Hudson Corporation is considering three options...Ch. 21.2 - Myrtle Air Express decided to offer direct service...Ch. 21.2 - The distance from Potsdam to larger markets and...Ch. 21.2 - Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the...Ch. 21.2 - The Lake Placid Town Council has decided to build...Ch. 21.3 - Consider a variation of the PDC decision tree...Ch. 21.3 - A real estate investor has the opportunity to...Ch. 21.3 - Dante Development Corporation is considering...
Ch. 21.3 - Hales TV Productions is considering producing a...Ch. 21.3 - Martins Service Station is considering entering...Ch. 21.3 - Lawsons Department Store faces a buying decision...Ch. 21.4 - Suppose that you are given a decision situation...Ch. 21.4 - In the following profit payoff table for a...Ch. 21.4 - To save on expenses, Rona and Jerry agreed to form...Ch. 21.4 - The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide...Ch. 21 - An investor wants to select one of seven mutual...Ch. 21 - Warren Lloyd is interested in leasing a new car...Ch. 21 - Hemmingway, Inc. is considering a 50 million...Ch. 21 - Embassy Publishing Company received a six-chapter...Ch. 21 - Lawsuit Defense Strategy John Campbell, an...
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