The prior probabilities for s1 and s2 are P(s1)=0.8 and P(s2)=0.2. States of Nature Decision Alternative s1 s2 d1 15 10 d2 10 12 d3 8 20
The prior probabilities for s1 and s2 are P(s1)=0.8 and P(s2)=0.2. States of Nature Decision Alternative s1 s2 d1 15 10 d2 10 12 d3 8 20
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Consider the following profit payoff table.
The prior probabilities for s1 and s2 are P(s1)=0.8 and P(s2)=0.2.
States of Nature | ||
Decision Alternative | s1 | s2 |
d1 | 15 | 10 |
d2 | 10 | 12 |
d3 | 8 | 20 |
a. What is the optimal decision?
b. Find the EVPI.
c. Suppose that sample information I is obtained, with P(I|s1)=0.20 and P(I|s2)=0.75. Find the posterior probabilities P(s1|I) and P(s2|I). Recommend a decision alternative based on these probabilities.
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