Student Solutions Manual for Basic Business Statistics
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780321926708
Author: David M. Levine; Mark L. Berenson; Timothy C. Krehbiel; Kathryn A. Szabat; David F. Stephan
Publisher: Pearson Education
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Chapter 20, Problem 7PS
a.
To determine
Determine the optimal action that is based on the Maximax criterion.
b.
To determine
Determine the optimal action that is based on the Maximin criterion.
c.
To determine
Find the expected monetary value for actions
d.
To determine
Find the expected opportunity loss for actions
e.
To determine
Explain the meaning of the
f.
To determine
Explain the reason for selecting either of the action from the results of parts (c) and (d).
g.
To determine
Find the coefficient of variation for each action.
h.
To determine
Find the return-to-risk ratio
i.
To determine
Explain the reason for selecting either of the action from the results of parts (g) and (h).
j.
To determine
Compare the results of parts (f) and (i) and explain any difference.
k.
To determine
Compare the results of parts (f) and (i) if the probabilities for the three events were 0.1, 0.1, 0.8, respectively.
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
Chapter 20 Solutions
Student Solutions Manual for Basic Business Statistics
Ch. 20 - For this problem, use the following payoff table:...Ch. 20 - Prob. 2PSCh. 20 - Prob. 3PSCh. 20 - Prob. 4PSCh. 20 - Prob. 5PSCh. 20 - For the following payoff table, the probability of...Ch. 20 - Prob. 7PSCh. 20 - Prob. 8PSCh. 20 - Prob. 9PSCh. 20 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 20 - Prob. 11PSCh. 20 - A vendor at a local baseball stadium must...Ch. 20 - The Islander Fishing Company purchases clams for...Ch. 20 - Prob. 14PSCh. 20 - In Problem 20.3, you developed a payoff table for...Ch. 20 - In Problem 20.4, you developed a payoff table to...Ch. 20 - In Problem 20.5, you developed a payoff table for...Ch. 20 - Prob. 18PSCh. 20 - Prob. 19PSCh. 20 - 1n Problem 20.12, a vendor at a baseball stadium...Ch. 20 - In Problem 20.14. an investor is trying to...Ch. 20 - In Problem 20.16. an author is deciding which of...Ch. 20 - Prob. 23PSCh. 20 - Prob. 24PSCh. 20 - Prob. 25PSCh. 20 - Prob. 26PSCh. 20 - Prob. 27PSCh. 20 - Prob. 28PSCh. 20 - Prob. 29PSCh. 20 - Prob. 30PSCh. 20 - Prob. 31PSCh. 20 - Prob. 32PSCh. 20 - How is Bayes’ theorem used to revise...Ch. 20 - Prob. 34PSCh. 20 - Prob. 35PSCh. 20 - A supermarket chain purchases large quantities of...Ch. 20 - The owner of a company that supplies home heating...Ch. 20 - The manufacturer of a nationally distributed brand...Ch. 20 - An entrepreneur wants to determine whether it...Ch. 20 - A manufacturer of a brand of inexpensive felt-tip...
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