STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781264731657
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Question
Chapter 18, Problem 29CE
a.
To determine
To draw: The graph of the given time series data.
b.
To determine
To calculate: All possible forecasts using a smoothing coefficient
c.
To determine
To calculate: All possible forecasts using a smoothing coefficient
d.
To determine
To calculate: The MAD for forecasts using a smoothing coefficient
e.
To determine
To calculate: The forecast model to be chosen.
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionStudents have asked these similar questions
Consider the following time series data.
For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are 80, 82, 84, 83, 83, 84, 85, 84, 82, 83, 84, and 83.
a. Compute for a 3 month moving average forecast.
b. Compute for the exponential smoothing forecast for a=0.2.
c. Which provides the better forecast using MSE as the measure of model accuracy?
d. What is the forecast for next month?
Q5
Pls help with steps and answers.
Thank you.
Chapter 18 Solutions
STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
Ch. 18 - Prob. 1ECh. 18 - Prob. 2ECh. 18 - Prob. 3ECh. 18 - Prob. 4ECh. 18 - Prob. 1SRCh. 18 - Prob. 5ECh. 18 - Prob. 6ECh. 18 - Prob. 7ECh. 18 - Prob. 8ECh. 18 - Prob. 2SR
Ch. 18 - Prob. 9ECh. 18 - Prob. 10ECh. 18 - Prob. 11ECh. 18 - Prob. 12ECh. 18 - Prob. 3SRCh. 18 - Prob. 13ECh. 18 - Prob. 14ECh. 18 - Prob. 15ECh. 18 - Prob. 16ECh. 18 - Prob. 17ECh. 18 - Prob. 18ECh. 18 - Prob. 4SRCh. 18 - Prob. 19ECh. 18 - Prob. 20ECh. 18 - Prob. 21ECh. 18 - Prob. 22ECh. 18 - Prob. 23CECh. 18 - Prob. 24CECh. 18 - Prob. 25CECh. 18 - Prob. 26CECh. 18 - Prob. 27CECh. 18 - Prob. 28CECh. 18 - Prob. 29CECh. 18 - Prob. 30CECh. 18 - Prob. 31CECh. 18 - Prob. 32CECh. 18 - Prob. 33CECh. 18 - Prob. 34CECh. 18 - Prob. 35CECh. 18 - Prob. 1PCh. 18 - Prob. 2PCh. 18 - Prob. 3PCh. 18 - Prob. 1.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.3PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.4PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.5PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.6PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.7PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.8PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.9PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.10PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.3PT
Knowledge Booster
Similar questions
- Table 6 shows the population, in thousands, of harbor seals in the Wadden Sea over the years 1997 to 2012. a. Let x represent time in years starting with x=0 for the year 1997. Let y represent the number of seals in thousands. Use logistic regression to fit a model to these data. b. Use the model to predict the seal population for the year 2020. c. To the nearest whole number, what is the limiting value of this model?arrow_forwardWhat does the y -intercept on the graph of a logistic equation correspond to for a population modeled by that equation?arrow_forwardFind the mean hourly cost when the cell phone described above is used for 240 minutes.arrow_forward
- The U.S. Census tracks the percentage of persons 25 years or older who are college graduates. That data forseveral years is given in Table 4[14]. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trendcontinues. in what year will the percentage exceed 35%?arrow_forwardFind the equation of the regression line for the following data set. x 1 2 3 y 0 3 4arrow_forwardFor the data set, perform exponential smoothing with alpha = 0.1 to determine the forecast for week 20. week Sales (1000s of gallons) 1 17 2 21 3 19 4 23 5 18 6 16 7 20 8 18 9 22 10 20 11 15 12 22 13 31 14 34 15 31 16 33 17 28 18 32 19 30arrow_forward
- Which of the following time-series forecasting methods would not be used to forecast a time series that exhibits a linear trend with no seasonal or cyclical patterns? a. Dummy variable regression b. Linear trend regression c. Multiplicative Winter's method d. Holt Winter's double exponential smoothing e. Both A and Darrow_forwardObserved weekly sales of ball peen hammers at the town hardware store over an eight-week period have been 14, 9, 30, 22, 34, 12, 19, 23.a. Suppose that three-week moving averages are used to forecast sales. Determine the one-step-ahead forecasts for weeks 4 through 8.b. Suppose that exponential smoothing is used with a smoothing constantof a = .15. Find the exponential smoothing forecasts for weeks 4 through 8.[To get the method started, use the same forecast for week 4 as you used in part (a).]c. Based on the MAD, which method did better?d. What is the exponential smoothing forecast made at the end of week 6 for the sales in week 12?arrow_forwardUse R programming or excel to answer the following. Visualize your answers. Consider the following quarterly time series: Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 923 1112 1243 2 1056 1156 1301 3 1124 1124 1254 4 992 1078 1198 Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? Use a multiple regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data. Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. Compute the quarterly forecasts for next year based on the model developed in part b.arrow_forward
- Pnarrow_forwardDO FASTarrow_forwardOcean currents are important in studies of climate change, as well as ecology studies of dispersal of plankton. Drift bottles are used to study ocean currents in the Pacific near Hawaii, the Solomon Islands, New Guinea, and other islands. Let x represent the number of days to recovery of a drift bottle after release and y represent the distance from point of release to point of recovery in km/100. The following data are representative of one study using drift bottles to study ocean currents. x days 76 79 36 95 207 y km/100 14.2 19.6 5.4 11.2 35.9 (a) Verify that Σx = 493, Σy = 86.3, Σx2 = 65,187, Σy2 = 2029.21, Σxy = 11317.3, and r ≈ 0.93885. Σx Σy Σx2 Σy2 Σxy r (b) Use a 1% level of significance to test the claim ρ > 0. (Use 2 decimal places.) t critical t (c) Verify that Se ≈ 4.6183, a ≈ 0.5575, and b ≈ 0.1694. Se a b Find the predicted distance (km/100) when a drift bottle has been floating for 60 days. (Use 2…arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...AlgebraISBN:9780079039897Author:CarterPublisher:McGraw HillBig Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...AlgebraISBN:9781680331141Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURTPublisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
- Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)TrigonometryISBN:9781337278461Author:Ron LarsonPublisher:Cengage LearningCollege AlgebraAlgebraISBN:9781305115545Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem WatsonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...
Algebra
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:McGraw Hill
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...
Algebra
ISBN:9781680331141
Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT
Publisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Trigonometry (MindTap Course List)
Trigonometry
ISBN:9781337278461
Author:Ron Larson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
College Algebra
Algebra
ISBN:9781305115545
Author:James Stewart, Lothar Redlin, Saleem Watson
Publisher:Cengage Learning