STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781264731657
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
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Question
Chapter 18, Problem 6E
a.
To determine
To draw: The graph of the provided time series data and draw the observations.
b.
To determine
To calculate: Six period moving average for the given time series data.
c.
To determine
To calculate: The MAD
d.
To determine
To calculate: The forecast demand for period
e.
To determine
To calculate: The error associated with eleventh-period forecast.
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Find the MSE in part (b) please.
In retail, a store manager uses time series models to understand shopping trends.
Review the scatter plot of the store’s sales from 2010 through 2021 to answer the questions. See attached as image.
Here is the data for Fiscal Year and Sales:
Fiscal Year
Sales
2010
$260,123.00
2011
$256,853.00
2012
$274,366.00
2013
$290,525.00
2014
$322,318.00
2015
$380,921.00
2016
$541,925.00
2017
$909,050.00
2018
$1,817,521.00
2019
$3,206,564.00
2020
$4,921,005.00
2021
$5,686,338.00
Time series decomposition seeks to separate the time series (Y) into 4 components: trend (T), cycle (C), seasonal (S), and irregular (I). What is the difference between these components?
The model can be additive or multiplicative. When do you use each?
Review the scatter plot of the exponential trend of the time series data. Do you observe a trend? If so, what type of trend do you observe?
What predictions might you make about the store’s annual sales over the next few years?
The accompanying data represent health care expenditures per capita (per person) as a percentage of the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) from 2007 to 2013. Gross domestic product is the total value of all goods and services created during the course
of the year Complete parts (a) through (c) below.
Click the icon to view the data table.
(a) Construct a time-series plot that a politician would create to support the position that health care expenditures are increasing and must be slowed. Choose the correct graph below
OD.
O C.
OB
OA
A
Q
A
Q
Q
25,000+
11,000
Q
Q
3
2
G
HIER
11200
2H
7,000++
C
2013
of
+
2013
2007
2007
Year
Year
Year
(b) Construct a time-series plot that the health care industry would create to refute the opinion of the politician. Choose the correct graph below.
OB.
O C.
O A.
A
Q
A
Q
11,000
Q
(C)
7,000+
201
20
7.000+++++++*
2007
2007
2013
2013
Year
Year
(c) Explain how different measures may be used to support two completely different positions. Choose the correct answer…
Chapter 18 Solutions
STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
Ch. 18 - Prob. 1ECh. 18 - Prob. 2ECh. 18 - Prob. 3ECh. 18 - Prob. 4ECh. 18 - Prob. 1SRCh. 18 - Prob. 5ECh. 18 - Prob. 6ECh. 18 - Prob. 7ECh. 18 - Prob. 8ECh. 18 - Prob. 2SR
Ch. 18 - Prob. 9ECh. 18 - Prob. 10ECh. 18 - Prob. 11ECh. 18 - Prob. 12ECh. 18 - Prob. 3SRCh. 18 - Prob. 13ECh. 18 - Prob. 14ECh. 18 - Prob. 15ECh. 18 - Prob. 16ECh. 18 - Prob. 17ECh. 18 - Prob. 18ECh. 18 - Prob. 4SRCh. 18 - Prob. 19ECh. 18 - Prob. 20ECh. 18 - Prob. 21ECh. 18 - Prob. 22ECh. 18 - Prob. 23CECh. 18 - Prob. 24CECh. 18 - Prob. 25CECh. 18 - Prob. 26CECh. 18 - Prob. 27CECh. 18 - Prob. 28CECh. 18 - Prob. 29CECh. 18 - Prob. 30CECh. 18 - Prob. 31CECh. 18 - Prob. 32CECh. 18 - Prob. 33CECh. 18 - Prob. 34CECh. 18 - Prob. 35CECh. 18 - Prob. 1PCh. 18 - Prob. 2PCh. 18 - Prob. 3PCh. 18 - Prob. 1.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.3PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.4PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.5PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.6PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.7PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.8PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.9PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.10PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.3PT
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