STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781264731657
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
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Question
Chapter 18, Problem 13E
a.
To determine
To draw: The graph of the provided time series data and draw the observations.
b.
To determine
To describe: The time series pattern.
c.
To determine
To explain: The reason that forecasting with a trend model is appropriate for the given time series.
d.
To determine
To calculate: A trend forecasting model using simple linear regression and the MAD.
e.
To determine
To state: The predicted annual change of industry sales.
f.
To determine
To calculate: The sales for the next three periods.
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The following table gives the average monthly exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro for 2009. It shows that 1 euro was equivalent to 1.289 U.S. dollars in January 2009. Develop a trend line that could be used to predict the exchange rate for 2010. Use this model to predict the exchange rate for January 2010 and February 2010. MONTH ______________________ EXCHANGE RATE January ....................................... 1.289 February ...................................... 1.324 March ......................................... 1.321 April .......................................... 1.317 May ........................................... 1.280 June ........................................... 1.254 July ........................................... 1.230 August ....................................... 1.240 September ................................... 1.287 October ..................................... 1.298 November .................................. 1.283 December…
Please help me understand this problem show me how to do the work in excel.
Question/ Use the data that i pasted below to answer this question. United Dairies, Inc., supplies milkto several independent grocers throughout Dade County, Florida. Managers at UnitedDairies want to develop a forecast of the number of half gallons of milk sold per week.a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?b. Use exponential smoothing with α = 0.4 to develop a forecast of demand for week13. What is the resulting MSE?c. Use a moving average with k = 4 to develop a forecast of demand for week 13.What is the resulting MSE?d. Using the above forecasting techniques, what is the forecasts for the next timeperiod?
Week
Sales
1
2750
2
3100
3
3250
4
2800
5
2900
6
3050
7
3300
8
3100
9
2950
10
3000
11
3200
12
3150
arget's annual revenue data from 2005 to 2021 are available for download.
Make an Excel graph of the annual data, and fit three trends (linear, quadratic, and exponential) to the time series. Copy and paste the graph in the space below or attach the file.
State the three trendline equations from part a and their R2 values.
Which trend model do you think is the best one to use to forecast annual revenue? Choose only one model and explain the reasons for your choice.
Use the model you chose in part c to forecast the annual revenue for 2022.
Annual Operating Income
Year
t
(Millions of US $)
2005
1
46839
2006
2
52620
2007
3
59490
2008
4
63367
2009
5
64948
2010
6
65357
2011
7
67390
2012
8
69865
2013
9
73301
2014
10
71279
2015
11
72618
2016
12
73785
2017
13
70271
2018
14
72714
2019
15
75356
2020
16
78112
2021
17
93561
Chapter 18 Solutions
STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
Ch. 18 - Prob. 1ECh. 18 - Prob. 2ECh. 18 - Prob. 3ECh. 18 - Prob. 4ECh. 18 - Prob. 1SRCh. 18 - Prob. 5ECh. 18 - Prob. 6ECh. 18 - Prob. 7ECh. 18 - Prob. 8ECh. 18 - Prob. 2SR
Ch. 18 - Prob. 9ECh. 18 - Prob. 10ECh. 18 - Prob. 11ECh. 18 - Prob. 12ECh. 18 - Prob. 3SRCh. 18 - Prob. 13ECh. 18 - Prob. 14ECh. 18 - Prob. 15ECh. 18 - Prob. 16ECh. 18 - Prob. 17ECh. 18 - Prob. 18ECh. 18 - Prob. 4SRCh. 18 - Prob. 19ECh. 18 - Prob. 20ECh. 18 - Prob. 21ECh. 18 - Prob. 22ECh. 18 - Prob. 23CECh. 18 - Prob. 24CECh. 18 - Prob. 25CECh. 18 - Prob. 26CECh. 18 - Prob. 27CECh. 18 - Prob. 28CECh. 18 - Prob. 29CECh. 18 - Prob. 30CECh. 18 - Prob. 31CECh. 18 - Prob. 32CECh. 18 - Prob. 33CECh. 18 - Prob. 34CECh. 18 - Prob. 35CECh. 18 - Prob. 1PCh. 18 - Prob. 2PCh. 18 - Prob. 3PCh. 18 - Prob. 1.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.3PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.4PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.5PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.6PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.7PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.8PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.9PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.10PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.3PT
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