STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781264731657
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
Question
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Chapter 18, Problem 22E

a.

To determine

To draw: The graph of the given time series.

b.

To determine

To explain: The pattern of the given time series.

c.

To determine

To explain: The reason for which forecasting with a seasonally adjusted trend model appropriate for the given time series data.

d.

To determine

To calculate: A seasonally adjusted trend forecasting model and the MAD.

e.

To determine

To calculate: The monthly indexes.

f.

To determine

To calculate: The forecasted sale for January, February, March, and April of 2019.

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The following data report total, monthly U.S. gasoline sales in millions of dollars from January 2017 toDecember 2018. (To find the data, go to the site https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html#mrts, find“Monthly Retail Trade Report,” then select “Time Series/Trend Charts.”)Year   Month             Sales                                 ($ millions)2017   Jan                $35,6302017   Feb                  33,9722017   Mar                   38,6222017   Apr                    38,9732017   May                  40,7392017   Jun                   40,0092017   Jul                    39,7972017   Aug                  41,2172017   Sep                  41,3462017   Oct                   41,7172017   Nov                  40,1862017   Dec                  40,0462018   Jan                   39,2232018   Feb                   37,3772018   Mar                   42,6482018   Apr                    43,1092018   May                   48,0492018   Jun                    47,5462018   Jul…
Using the following time series data of U.S. new car sales ($ millions), respond to the following items. (The data is sourced from https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html#mrts. Find “Monthly Retail Trade Report,” then select “Time Series/Trend Charts” to find the data for U.S. new car sales.).  Year $ Sales (Millions) 2009 486,565 2010 549,473 2011 608,788 2012 672,550 2013 735,374 2014 785,142 2015 842,122 2016 877,743 2017 911,157 2018 943,538  b. Test for autocorrelation using the 0.05 significance level. (Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Year $ Sales (Millions) Predicted Residuals Lagged Residuals Squared Difference Squared Residuals 2009 486,565           2010 549,473           2011 608,788           2012 672,550           2013 735,374           2014 785,142           2015 842,122           2016 877,743           2017 911,157           2018 943,538…
Using the following time series data of U.S. new car sales ($ millions), respond to the following items. (The data is sourced from https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html#mrts. Find “Monthly Retail Trade Report," then select "Time Series/Trend Charts" to find the data for U.S. new car sales.). $ Sales (Millions) $ 486,565 Year 2009 549,473 608,790 672,550 735,374 785,142 842,120 877,743 911,157 943,538 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 E Click here for the Excel Data File b. Test for autocorrelation using the 0.05 significance level. (Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Lagged Residuals Squared Difference Squared Residuals Year Sales Predicted Residuals 2009 $ 486,565 508,123.70 (21,558.70) 0.00 0.00 464,758,328.46 (10,455.50) (2,943.26) 2010 549,473 559,928.50 2011 608,790 611,733.30 2012 672,550 663,538.00 9,011.96 2013 735,374 715,342.80 20,031.19 2014 785.142 767,147.60 17,994.41 2015 842.120 818,952.40…
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