Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781305627734
Author: Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 15, Problem 16P

Suppose that you are given a decision situation with three possible states of nature: s1, s2, and s3. The prior probabilities are P(s1) = 0.2, P(s2) = 0.5, and P(s3) = 0.3. With sample information I, P(I|s1) = 0.1, P(I|s2) = 0.05, and P(I|s3) = 0.2. Compute the revised (or posterior) probabilities: P(s1|I), P(s2|I), and P(s3|I).

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