Operations and Supply Chain Management, 9th Edition WileyPLUS Registration Card + Loose-leaf Print Companion
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781119371618
Author: Roberta S. Russell
Publisher: Wiley (WileyPLUS Products)
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Textbook Question
Chapter 12, Problem 5P
The chairperson of the department of management at Tech wants to
- a. Compute a three-semester moving average forecast for semesters 4 through 9.
- b. Compute the exponentially smoothed forecast (α = .20) for the enrollment data.
- c. Compare the two forecasts using MAD and indicate the most accurate.
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Students have asked these similar questions
4 Trinity General Hospital had the following number of patient admissions during the past 8 weeksWeek Patient Admissions1 1202 1453 954 1125 1306 1107 1008 140
a. Develop a 3-week weighted average forecast forWeek 4 through 9 with weightsW1 = 0.2W2 = 0.3W3 = 0.5
b. Forecast patient admissions for week 9 using simpleexponential smoothing with α = 0.2. Assume that the forecast for Week 2 (F2) is the naïve forecast.
12.4. The chairperson of the department of management at Tech
wants to forecast the number of students who will enroll in operations
management next semester in order to determine how many sections
to schedule. The chair has accumulated the following enrollment data
for the past eight semesters:
Students Enrolled
Semester
in OM
1
270
2
310
250
4
290
370
6.
410
7
400
8.
450
a. Compute a three-semester moving average forecast for
semesters 4 through 9.
b. Compute the exponentially smoothed forecast (a = .20) for
the enrollment data.
c. Compare the two forecasts using MAD and indicate the most
accurate.
3.
The following table contains the demand from the last 10 months: a. Calculate the single exponential smoothing forecast for these data using an of .30 and an initial forecast (F1) of 31.b. Calculate the exponential smoothing with trend forecast for these data using an of.30, a of .30, an initial trend forecast (T1) of 1, and an initial exponentially smoothedforecast (F1) of 30.c. Calculate the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for each forecast. Which is best?
Chapter 12 Solutions
Operations and Supply Chain Management, 9th Edition WileyPLUS Registration Card + Loose-leaf Print Companion
Ch. 12 - List some of the operations and functions in a...Ch. 12 - What is the difference between quantitative...Ch. 12 - Describe the difference between short- and...Ch. 12 - Prob. 4QCh. 12 - Why is accurate forecasting so important to...Ch. 12 - Discuss the relationship between forecasting and...Ch. 12 - Prob. 7QCh. 12 - Describe the Delphi method for forecasting.Ch. 12 - What is the difference between a trend and a cycle...Ch. 12 - How is the moving average method similar to...
Ch. 12 - In the chapter examples for time series methods,...Ch. 12 - What effect on the exponential smoothing model...Ch. 12 - How does adjusted exponential smoothing differ...Ch. 12 - What determines the choice of the smoothing...Ch. 12 - How does the linear trend line forecasting model...Ch. 12 - Of the time series models presented in this...Ch. 12 - What advantages does adjusted exponential...Ch. 12 - Describe how a forecast is monitored to detect...Ch. 12 - Explain the relationship between the use of a...Ch. 12 - Selecting from MAD, MAPD, MSE, E, and E, which...Ch. 12 - What is the difference between linear and multiple...Ch. 12 - Define the different components (y, x, a, and b)...Ch. 12 - A company that produces video equipment, including...Ch. 12 - The Hartley-Davis motorcycle dealer in the...Ch. 12 - The manager of the I-85 Carpet Outlet needs to be...Ch. 12 - The LawnPlus Fertilizer Company distributes...Ch. 12 - Graph the demand data in Problem 12.3. Can you...Ch. 12 - The chairperson of the department of management at...Ch. 12 - The manager of the Excom Service Station wants to...Ch. 12 - The Intrepid mutual fund of growth stocks has had...Ch. 12 - The Oceanside Hotel is adjacent to City Coliseum,...Ch. 12 - Mary Hernandez has invested in a stock mutual fund...Ch. 12 - Globetron manufactures components for use in small...Ch. 12 - The Bee Line Caf is well known for its popular...Ch. 12 - For the demand data in Problem 12.11, develop a...Ch. 12 - Develop a seasonally adjusted forecast for the...Ch. 12 - Backstreets Pizza delivery service has randomly...Ch. 12 - The Willow River Mining Company mines and ships...Ch. 12 - The Great Northwest Outdoor Company is a catalog...Ch. 12 - Townside Food Vending operates vending machines in...Ch. 12 - The town aquatic center has an indoor pool that...Ch. 12 - Develop an adjusted exponential smoothing forecast...Ch. 12 - During the past five months the emergency room at...Ch. 12 - At its craft store and through its website, the...Ch. 12 - A group of business students at Tech organized a...Ch. 12 - Temco Industries has developed a forecasting model...Ch. 12 - Monitor the forecast in Problem 12.23 for bias...Ch. 12 - Develop a statistical control chart for the...Ch. 12 - Monitor the adjusted exponential smoothing...Ch. 12 - Develop an exponential smoothing forecast with =...
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