A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 10, Problem 10.16P

Let X be a random variable on (0, 1) whose density is f(x). Show that we can estimate 0 1 g ( x ) d x by simulating X and then taking g ( X ) f ( X ) as our estimate. This method, called importance sampling, tries to choose f similar in shape to g, so that g ( X ) f ( X ) has a small variance.

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4. (i) Let a discrete sample space be given by N = {W1, W2, W3, W4}, and let a probability measure P on be given by P(w1) = 0.2, P(w2) = 0.2, P(w3) = 0.5, P(wa) = 0.1. Consider the random variables X1, X2 → R defined by X₁(w1) = 1, X₁(w2) = 2, X2(w1) = 2, X2 (w2) = 2, Find the joint distribution of X1, X2. (ii) X1(W3) = 1, X₁(w4) = 1, X2(W3) = 1, X2(w4) = 2. [4 Marks] Let Y, Z be random variables on a probability space (, F, P). Let the random vector (Y, Z) take on values in the set [0, 1] x [0,2] and let the joint distribution of Y, Z on [0, 1] x [0,2] be given by 1 dPy,z (y, z) ==(y²z+yz2) dy dz. harks 12 Find the distribution Py of the random variable Y. [8 Marks]
marks 11 3 3/4 x 1/4 1. There are 4 balls in an urn, of which 3 balls are white and 1 ball is black. You do the following: draw a ball from the urn at random, note its colour, do not return the ball to the urn; draw a second ball, note its colour, return the ball to the urn; finally draw a third ball and note its colour. (i) Describe the corresponding discrete probability space (Q, F, P). [9 Marks] (ii) Consider the following event, A: Among the first and the third balls, one ball is white, the other is black. Write down A as a subset of the sample space and find its probability, P(A). [2 Marks]
There are 4 balls in an urn, of which 3 balls are white and 1 ball isblack. You do the following:• draw a ball from the urn at random, note its colour, do not return theball to the urn;• draw a second ball, note its colour, return the ball to the urn;• finally draw a third ball and note its colour.(i) Describe the corresponding discrete probability space(Ω, F, P). [9 Marks](ii) Consider the following event,A: Among the first and the third balls, one ball is white, the other is black.Write down A as a subset of the sample space Ω and find its probability, P(A)
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