Introduction to Probability and Statistics
14th Edition
ISBN: 9781133103752
Author: Mendenhall, William
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 1, Problem 1.53SE
(a)
To determine
To describe the shape of the two distributions given in the question and also that are there any outliers.
(b)
To determine
To verify that the stem and leaf resemble the relative frequency histogram in question
(c)
To determine
To explain why the distribution of popular vote of state is skewed while the percentage votes by state is mounded shape.
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In a network with 12 links, one of the links has failed. The failed link is randomlylocated. An electrical engineer tests the links one by one until the failed link is found.a. What is the probability that the engineer will find the failed link in the first test?b. What is the probability that the engineer will find the failed link in five tests?Note: You should assume that for Part b, the five tests are done consecutively.
Problem 3. Pricing a multi-stock option the Margrabe formula
The purpose of this problem is to price a swap option in a 2-stock model, similarly as
what we did in the example in the lectures. We consider a two-dimensional Brownian
motion given by W₁ = (W(¹), W(2)) on a probability space (Q, F,P). Two stock prices
are modeled by the following equations:
dX
=
dY₁ =
X₁ (rdt+
rdt+0₁dW!)
(²)),
Y₁ (rdt+dW+0zdW!"),
with Xo
xo and Yo =yo. This corresponds to the multi-stock model studied in class,
but with notation (X+, Y₁) instead of (S(1), S(2)). Given the model above, the measure
P is already the risk-neutral measure (Both stocks have rate of return r). We write
σ = 0₁+0%. We consider a swap option, which gives you the right, at time T, to
exchange one share of X for one share of Y. That is, the option has payoff
F=(Yr-XT).
(a) We first assume that r = 0 (for questions (a)-(f)). Write an explicit expression for
the process Xt.
Reminder before proceeding to question (b): Girsanov's theorem…
Problem 1. Multi-stock model
We consider a 2-stock model similar to the one studied in class. Namely, we consider
=
S(1)
S(2)
=
S(¹) exp (σ1B(1) + (M1 - 0/1 )
S(²) exp (02B(2) + (H₂-
M2
where (B(¹) ) +20 and (B(2) ) +≥o are two Brownian motions, with
t≥0
Cov (B(¹), B(2)) = p min{t, s}.
"
The purpose of this problem is to prove that there indeed exists a 2-dimensional Brownian
motion (W+)+20 (W(1), W(2))+20 such that
=
S(1)
S(2)
=
=
S(¹) exp (011W(¹) + (μ₁ - 01/1) t)
롱)
S(²) exp (021W (1) + 022W(2) + (112 - 03/01/12) t).
where σ11, 21, 22 are constants to be determined (as functions of σ1, σ2, p).
Hint: The constants will follow the formulas developed in the lectures.
(a) To show existence of (Ŵ+), first write the expression for both W. (¹) and W (2)
functions of (B(1), B(²)).
as
(b) Using the formulas obtained in (a), show that the process (WA) is actually a 2-
dimensional standard Brownian motion (i.e. show that each component is normal,
with mean 0, variance t, and that their…
Chapter 1 Solutions
Introduction to Probability and Statistics
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