You are considering three investments alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable Corp (A1), Fly-By-Nite Cargo Co. (A2) and a fed insured savings certificate (A3). You expect the economy will either "boom" (N1) or "bust" (N2), and you estimate that a boom is likely (p1 = 0.6) than a bust (p2 = 0.4).  Outcomes for the three alternatives are expected to be (1) $2000 in boom or $500 in bust for Old Reliable Co; (2) $6000 in boom, but $5000 (loss) in bust for Fly-By-Nite; and (3) $1200 for fed insured savings certificate in either case. NOT USING EXCEL set up a pay payoff table (decision matrix) for this problem and show which alternative maximixes expected value.

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You are considering three investments alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable Corp (A1), Fly-By-Nite Cargo Co. (A2) and a fed insured savings certificate (A3). You expect the economy will either "boom" (N1) or "bust" (N2), and you estimate that a boom is likely (p1 = 0.6) than a bust (p2 = 0.4).  Outcomes for the three alternatives are expected to be (1) $2000 in boom or $500 in bust for Old Reliable Co; (2) $6000 in boom, but $5000 (loss) in bust for Fly-By-Nite; and (3) $1200 for fed insured savings certificate in either case. NOT USING EXCEL set up a pay payoff table (decision matrix) for this problem and show which alternative maximixes expected value.

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