V FIGURE A.8 Strong Product Demand (50%) Average Product Demand (20%) $2,000,000 · $1,200,000 Property is Leased (20%) Property Is Not $400,000 Weak Product Demand (30%) Lease New Facility Leased (80%) $100,000 2 Do not Lease New Facility $200,000 Property is Leased (20% ) Property Is Not $1,800,000 Lease New Facility Strong Product Demand (50%) Average Product Weak Product Demand (30%) Leased (80%) $1,200,000 3 Do not Lease New Facility $1,300,000 Demand (20%) $900,000 · $400,000 Do Not Expand Facility Facility puadx3

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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The owner of Pearl Automotive Dealers is trying to decide whether to expand his current facility. If he expands and customer demand turns weak, there is a chance he could lease part of his newly constructed facility to another dealer.
If he doesn’t expand and strong demand occurs, he could attempt to lease another facility across town. Analyze the decision tree in Figure A8. What is the best set of decisions and the expected payoff?

V FIGURE A.8
Strong Product Demand (50%)
Average Product
Demand (20%)
$2,000,000
· $1,200,000
Property is Leased (20%)
Property Is Not
$400,000
Weak Product
Demand (30%)
Lease New Facility
Leased (80%)
$100,000
2
Do not Lease New Facility
$200,000
Property is Leased (20% )
Property Is Not
$1,800,000
Lease New Facility
Strong Product
Demand (50%)
Average Product
Weak Product Demand (30%)
Leased (80%)
$1,200,000
3
Do not Lease New Facility $1,300,000
Demand (20%)
$900,000
· $400,000
Do Not Expand
Facility
Facility
puadx3
Transcribed Image Text:V FIGURE A.8 Strong Product Demand (50%) Average Product Demand (20%) $2,000,000 · $1,200,000 Property is Leased (20%) Property Is Not $400,000 Weak Product Demand (30%) Lease New Facility Leased (80%) $100,000 2 Do not Lease New Facility $200,000 Property is Leased (20% ) Property Is Not $1,800,000 Lease New Facility Strong Product Demand (50%) Average Product Weak Product Demand (30%) Leased (80%) $1,200,000 3 Do not Lease New Facility $1,300,000 Demand (20%) $900,000 · $400,000 Do Not Expand Facility Facility puadx3
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