b. Joy who owns a boutique is considering three options for her facility next year. She canexpand her current shop, move to a larger facility, or make no change. With a favourablemarket, the monthly payoff in Kenya shillings would be 56000 if she expands, 70000 if shemoves, and 30000 if she does nothing. With an average market, her payoff will be 21000,35000, and 10000 respectively. With an unfavourable market, her payoff will be -29000,-45000, and 5000 respectively.i) Prepare the payoff tableii) Using the following criteria advise joy on which decision alternative to take:1. Maximax criterion2. Maximin criterion3. Hurwicz criterion with a = 0.64. LaPlace criterion5. minmax regret criterion2

A payoff table, in decision theory, is a table that illustrates the outcomes (or payoffs) associated…

Answered: Joy who owns a boutique is considering…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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ABC Construction Company is awarded a contract to build a residential housing complex for XYZ Developers. The parties agree to a fixed price for the entire project, and the contract specifies that ABC Construction will be paid a lump sum upon completion. However, during the construction process, unexpected changes in material prices and labor costs significantly increase the expenses for ABC Construction. The company finds itself facing financial difficulties as it struggles to cover the additional costs without exceeding the fixed contract price. In this scenario, how does the lump-sum contract protect ABC Construction Company's interests? What options does ABC Construction have to address the increased project costs while adhering to the terms of the contract? How can ABC Construction negotiate with XYZ Developers to ensure a fair resolution and avoid incurring losses? Hint: Please note that the answer to this case-based question would focus on the advantages and considerations…
The owner of the Columbia Construction Company must decide between building a housing development, constructing a shopping center, and leasing all the company’s equipment to another company. The profit that will result from each alternative will be determined by whether material costs remain stable or increase. The profit from each alternative, given the two possibilities for material costs, is shown in the following payoff table: Material Costs Decision Stable Increase Houses $70,000 $30,000 Shopping center 105,000 20,000 Leasing 40,000 40,000 Determine the best decision, using the following decision criteria. a. Maximax b. Maximin c. Minimax regret d. Hurwicz e. Equal likelihood
Harley, an ice-cream vendor, purchases each pint of ice-cream for $7 and sells for $20 each. At the end of the week, the unsold ice-cream can be salvaged for $2 each. From past experience, Harley has estimated the sales probabilities as below. What is the optimal number of pints Harley should purchase? Number of Ice-creams Sold, Probability 1 = 0.05, 2 = 0.1, 3 = 0.2 , 4 = 0.25, 5 = 0.15, 6 = 0.1, 7 = 0.08, 8 = 0.07
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The city of Winnipeg is considering whether to build a new public ice rink. This rink would have a capacity of 800 ice skaters per day, and the proposed admission fee is $6 per individual per day. The estimated cost of the ice rink, averaged over the life of the rink, is $4 per ice skater per day. The city of Winnipeg has hired you to assess this project. Fortunately, Ottawa already has an ice rink, and the city of Ottawa has randomly varied the price of that rink to find how price affects usage. The results from their study follow: Ice rink price Number of ice skaters per day $8 $10 $4 $6 $2 per day 500 200 1100 800 1400 a. If the ice rink is built as planned, what would be the net benefit per day from the ice rink? What is the consumer surplus for ice skaters? b. Given this information, is an 800-ice rink the optimally sized ice rink for Winnipeg to build? Explain.
Macrosoft Corporation is a software giant in personal computers (PCs). Although its flagship operating system ‘Meadow’ is still dominating in the PC market, the burgeoning of tablets and smartphones in recent years has been chewing up the PC market. In fact, the numbers of new Meadow users was shrinking every year. In view of this situation, Macrosoft is considering making an offer to purchase Oats Production, and upstart smartphone producer in China. The management of Macrosoft hopes that the acquisition could allow the company to explore the smartphone software market and bring in new revenue to the firm. The treasurer of Macrosoft has collected the following information: Macrosoft Corporation Oats Production Shares outstanding 1,500,000 800,000 Earnings $8,400,000 $2,400,000 Divdends $4,200,000 $1,800,000 Price-earnings ratio 18X 15X The treasurer also discovers that the earnings and dividends of Oats will grow at a constant rate of 6% every year. If the acquisition…
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6. Laura is trying to decide whether to sell her knitted hats on Etsy, at a holiday bazaar, or in a local boutique. Demand could be 0 hats/month, 10 hats/month, or 20 hats/month. Given the payoff matrix below, what is her decision under equally likely? Demand = 0 Demand = 10 Demand = 20 Etsy -$70 $80 $230 Bazaar -$60 $90 $240 Boutique -$80 $70 $220 Select one: a. Etsy and boutique. b. Etsy only. c. Etsy and bazaar. d. Bazaar and boutique. e. All 3 are equally good. f. Bazaar only. g. None of them are good options. h. Boutique only.
Cachora Dynamics Corp (CDC) has designed a new integrated circuit that will allow it to enter, if it wishes, the microcomputer field. Otherwise, it can sell its rights for $15 million. If it chooses to build computers, the profitability of this project depends on the company's ability to market them during the first year. Two levels of sales are foreseen as two possible outcomes: selling 10,000 computers in case of low demand, but if it is successful it can sell up to 100,000 units (high demand). The cost of installing the production line is $6 million. The difference between the selling price and the variable cost of each computer is $600. a) Develop a formulation for decision analysis and use the non-probabilistic decision rules: Maximin and Minimax. b) Assume that the probability of high demand (p) is 50% and for low demand (1 - p) is 50%, apply the probabilistic criteria: Maximum expected value, Minimum loss of opportunity. c) Determine the VEIP. d) Carry out a sensitivity…
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Cheryl Druehl Retailers, Inc., must decide whether to build a small or a large facility at a new location in Fairfax. Demand at the location will either be low or high, with probabilities 0.3 and 0.7,respectively. If Cheryl builds a small facility and demand proves to be high, she then has the option of expanding the facility. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, and then the retailer expands the facility, the payoff is $230,000. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, but Cheryl then decides not to expand the facility, the payoff is $203,000. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be low, then there is no option to expand and the payoff is $250,000. If a large facility is built and demand proves to be low, Cheryl then has the option of stimulating demand through local advertising. If she does not exercise this option, then the payoff is $40,000. If she does exercise the advertising option, then the response to…

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