Payoff tableMortgage Interest RatesStay aboutthe sameGo upGo down-$5S6$10Build DetachedHomesBuild-$2.5$4.5$7.5TownhousesCondominiumsPrintDoneAction A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is tryingto decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes as shown (in $ millions) in theaccompanying payoff table.According to the maximax approach, what should the landowner do?Click the icon to view the payoff table......A. Build townhouses/condominiumsB. Build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go up, otherwise build townhouses/condominiumsC. Build detached homes in a planned retirement communityD. Build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go down, otherwise build townhouses/condominiumsO E. Build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates stay about the same, otherwise build townhouses/condominiums

A maximax approach is a procedure in game hypothesis where a player, confronting vulnerability,…

Answered: A landowner is considering a community…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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A city mayor you know is interested in recruiting Amazon to build in their city but doesn't know what a company considers before choosing where to build a processing plant. She has hired you to help her and her city council understands what decision factors Amazon might consider before making its choice. Research how companies decide where to locate a facility, and then write a brief report identifying and explaining at least 8 decision factors Amazon might consider before choosing a city to locate their new headquarters.
The owner of the Party City Toronto Company must decide among building a mega centre store, building 5 new stores, or leasing 10 of their locations to another company. The profit that will result from each alternative will be determined by whether material costs remain stable, increase moderately, or increase significantly. In the payoff table below the estimated profits/losses are given in $thousands. Material Costs Stable Mega Centre Decision New Stores Leasing Determine the best decision using the Maximax decision criterion. 2130 Moderate Increase 1850 840 530 1050 940 O Decision: Mega Centre based on 2470 = max(2470,1850,1040) O Decision: Mega Centre based on 2130 = max(2130,1850,1040) Decision: Stable based on 2130 = max(2130,1050,1040) O Decision: Leasing based on 2820 = max(190,2750,2820) Significant Increase -2470 -150 1040
Hillary’s Flight Operations offers maintenance and repair services for business jets located in Atlanta. They are considering whether they should expand their operations. Hillary has decided that they have a number of options—four to be precise. They can keep their current facilities; they can modify their facilities to make them more efficient; they can expand their current facility; or they can rent additional space. The decision as to which option they should select is predicated upon the estimation of the direction of the economy for the next four years. Hillary’s Flight Operations developed the following decision matrix. What option should Hillary’s Flight Operations make based on Maximax criterion? Future Air Traffic Alternatives Down Same Up Keep As Is ($40,000) $70,000 $100,000 Remodel ($60,000) $65,000 $200,000 Expansion ($150,000) $50,000 $400,000 Rent ($50,000) $60,000 $80,000 Group of answer choices
9
Given is a decision payoff table. Alternatives Low Future Demand Moderate High 91 130 102 81 Small Facility 111 Medium Facility 51 Large Facility -12 124 126 a) The best decision under uncertainty using MAXIMAX is to select Blank 1 facility b) The best decision under uncertainty using MAXIMIN is to select Blank 2 facility c) The best decision under uncertainty using LAPLACE/EQUALITY LIKELY is to select Blank 3 facility d) If the probabilities for Future Demand when it is Low = 0.35, Moderate = 0.30, and High = 0.35, the expected monetary value (EMV) for the large facility Blank 4. e) If the probabilities for Future Demand when it is Low = 0.35, Moderate = 0.30, and High = 0.35, the best decision under risk is to select Blank 5 facility.
Metro has initiated discussions on attracting rail service. A depot would need to be constructed, which would require $2.5million in land and $7.5 million in construction costs. Annual operating and maintenance costs (O&M) for the facility would be $150,000, and personnel costs would be an additional $110,000. Other assorted costs would be born by the railroad and federal authorities. Annual benefits (B) of the rail service are estimated as listed: $120,000 for Railroad annual payments, $25,000 for Rail tax charged to passengers, $20,000 for Convenience benefits to local residents, and $12,000 for Additional tourism dollars for Metro. Apply the B-C ratio method, with a MARR of 8% per year and 20 year study period, to determine if the rail service should be established. a. BC ratio=2.12, good project b. BC ratio=-1.76, good project c. BC ratio=1.69, good project d. BC ratio=0.14, not good project
Small City currently has 1,020,000 square feet of office space, of which 765,000 square feet is occupied by 3,000 employees who are mainly involved in professional services such as finance, insurance, and real estate. Small City’s economy has been fairly strong in recent years, but employment growth is expected to be somewhat lower during the next few years, with projections of an increase of just 130 additional employees per year for the next three years. The amount of space per employee is expected to remain the same. However, a new 153,000 square foot office building was started before the recession and its space is expected to become available at the end of the current year (one year from now). No more space is expected to become available after that for quite some time. Required: a. What is the current occupancy rate for office space in Small City? b. How much office space will be absorbed each year for the next three years? c. What will the occupancy rate be at the end of each…
Suppose you want to use a decision tree to decide whether to buy Machine A or Machine B. The right choice depends on the level of demand, which may be high or low. The probabilities of having high and low levels of demand are 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. The payoff table is as follows: High Demand Low Demand Buy Machine A$21,500 Buy Machine B$10,532 $5,443 $8,520 What is the expected value of the decision "Buy Machine A" in dollar amount? Answer with two decimal places (e.g., 1,200.21), if your answer involves any decimals. Provide only the number (do not put "$").
A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.40, 0.35, and 0.25, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $13,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $15,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $30,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $25,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $50,000 or to large size to earn $100,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $50,000 if demand is low and earn $100,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $125,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $175,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $180,000. If demand is average for the large…
Scenario One: An 86-year widow comes in monthly to have her blood drawn and monitored ever since her heart attack 2 years ago. Her husband has recently passed away and she has no family nearby to help her. She has Medicare but does not have supplemental insurance to cover office visits. When leaving the office today, she starts to cry and tell you that she can no longer afford her blood pressure medications, cholesterol medications, blood work, and office visits each month. She will not be able to get her medications refilled unless she sees the doctor and has blood work each month. She currently owes $180 on her account today. Scenario 2: A 19-year-old mother of 3 children, all under the age of 5, brings in all of the kids today for their recommended check-ups and vaccinations. She does not have insurance for any of the children as she was denied Medicaid based on a previous fraud. She has been diligent paying for the children’s healthcare, with assistance from a grandmother, but she…
1. Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose? Camping cost Motel cost Probability of bad weather Nevada $21.2 $80.9 0.2 Oregon $15.9 $84.6 0.4 California $30 $95 0.1 a. California, because its EMV = $33.14 b. Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14 c. California, because its EMV = $36.5 d. Any of the 3 choices. e. Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38 f. Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38 g. None of the 3 choices. h. Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.
Herndon Development Group (HDG) is planning for a new investment. They would like to make a sequence of decisions that start with determining whether to purchase an apartment building or land. Cost of purchasing an apartment is $800,000 and purchasing land is $200,000. If HDG purchases the apartment building, two states of nature are possible: The town may exhibit population growth, with a probability of 0.60, or there may be no population growth or a decline, with a probability of .40. If the population grows, the investor will achieve a revenue of $2,000,000. However, if there is no population growth, the revenue is $250,000. If the decision is to purchase land, the investor will wait for 3 years and consider developing the land based on the population growth. The probability of a growing population is .60, whereas the probability of a stable or declining population is 0.40. If population growth occurs for a 3-year period, the investor will make another decision regarding land…

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