Use the following table and MS Excel to produce two forecasts for January 2020, the simple naive model and the second naive model with P=0.9. Use the predicted values (the forecasted values) from both forecasts for 2017 through 2019 to calculate the RMSE for both models. Which of the following most accurately summarizes the results? Year 2015 X 12297 2016 12770 2017 13340 2018 13993 2019 14545 2020

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a) The second naive model with P=0.9 produces the best fit because it has a
lower RMSE.
b) The second naive model with P=0.9 produces the best fit because it has a
higher RMSE.
c) The second naive model with P=0.9 is less biased because it has a lower
RMSE.
d) The simple naive model produces the best fit because it has a lower RMSE.
e) The simple naive model produces the best fit because it has a higher RMSE.
f) The simple naive model is less biased because it has a lower RMSE.
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Transcribed Image Text:a) The second naive model with P=0.9 produces the best fit because it has a lower RMSE. b) The second naive model with P=0.9 produces the best fit because it has a higher RMSE. c) The second naive model with P=0.9 is less biased because it has a lower RMSE. d) The simple naive model produces the best fit because it has a lower RMSE. e) The simple naive model produces the best fit because it has a higher RMSE. f) The simple naive model is less biased because it has a lower RMSE. AKTUE Otsope Window
Use the following table and MS Excel to produce two forecasts for January 2020, the
simple naive model and the second naive model with P=0.9. Use the predicted
values (the forecasted values) from both forecasts for 2017 through 2019 to
calculate the RMSE for both models. Which of the following most accurately
summarizes the results?
Year
X
2015 12297
2016
12770
2017
13340
2018 13993
2019
14545
2020
Transcribed Image Text:Use the following table and MS Excel to produce two forecasts for January 2020, the simple naive model and the second naive model with P=0.9. Use the predicted values (the forecasted values) from both forecasts for 2017 through 2019 to calculate the RMSE for both models. Which of the following most accurately summarizes the results? Year X 2015 12297 2016 12770 2017 13340 2018 13993 2019 14545 2020
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