1. Modeling the Historic (Racoon City) Outbreak. a. Using the historic Racoon City data set, create a scatter plot with the days on the x-axis and the number of infected individuals on the y-axis. b. Discuss the general trend and shape of your plot. Find the best function that models the data set using days as the independent variable (predictor) and the number of infected as the dependent variable. Describe how you found your model (function). How well does your model fit the historic data? What issues might this cause? с. d. On a single graph, plot your function along with the scatter plot of the Racoon City data. 2. Modeling the New Monterey Outbreak a. Develop a discrete dynamical system to model the outbreak and spread of the New Monterey zombie outbreak. b. Using your model, predict the amount of time necessary for the outbreak to spread throughout the Monterey Peninsula. Discuss how accurate you believe this prediction is. c. Develop at least three Course of Actions (COA) the MPCTF can take to stem or stop the zombie outbreak. For each COA, discuss, at a minimum, the necessary resources, time, and how the government should implement the COA. For each COA, modify your discrete dynamical system model (Requirement 2a) to determine the impact on stemming or stopping the flow of the zombie outbreak (you should have at least three additional models at the end of this requirement). d. Conduct an analysis of your three COA and make a recommendation to the local authorities for implementation.

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Author:Amos Gilat
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Modeling Statistic

The Umbrella Corporation (officially named Umbrella Pharmaceutical Incorporated) is a mega
corporation which operates as a major international player in a number of markets including
pharmaceuticals, medical hardware, defense, and computers along with more clandestine operations
utilizing genetic engineering and biological weaponry. Unbeknownst to local authorities and the
government, the Umbrella Corporation has been developing a vaccine for its T-virus in a secret lab
facility under the Bay View Elementary school in New Monterey, CA. Umbrella executives just reported
to the Monterey Peninsula Crisis Task Force (MPCTF) that an accident at
their lab has resulted in an unintentional release of the virus into the local
Racoon City
water supply. Unfortunately, this accidental release occurred five days ago
and the Umbrella Corporation is only coming forward now because the first
individual with likely infectious symptoms just arrived at CHOMP's
emergency room. In an effort to cooperate with MCTF, the Umbrella
Corporation has released the following information.
Day of
Number
Outbre ak
Infected
1
9.
2
13
Based on recent incidents in Racoon City, any individual who experiences an
exposure to the T-virus or another infected individual may become infected.
All infected individuals ultimately succumb (die) to the infection and become
animated mindless monsters who do not feel pain and who have an immense
appetite for human flesh. The Corporation has affectionately termed these
succumbed individuals as Zombies. A zombie's only aim is to kill, eat or
infect additional people. Zombies are known to move in small, irregular
steps, and show signs of physical decomposition such as rotting flesh,
discolored eyes and open wounds. When an un-infected individual is bitten
by a zombie, it leaves an open wound filled with the zombie's saliva that
mixes with the victim's blood, thus infecting the individual. The enclosed
table provides the known infection count of the inhabitants of Racoon City.
Data collection stopped after 28 days because of the government's
sterilization of the city.
3
18
4
27
5
38
6.
56
7
81
8.
117
9
170
10
246
11
357
12
516
13
748
14
1,082
15
1,563
Requirements:
16
2,255
17
3,247
You are to complete a technical report in your formal groups. Your report should
tell a story and flow and NOT just be a series of replies to the specific questions.
You may answer the questions in any order you prefer so long as you answer them
all completely. Here is a list of the questions or requirements that you are to address
in your report.
18
4,661
19
6,661
20
9,459
21
13,313
22
18,506
23
25,293
24
33,796
25
43,865
26
54,945
27
66,085
28
76,171
Transcribed Image Text:The Umbrella Corporation (officially named Umbrella Pharmaceutical Incorporated) is a mega corporation which operates as a major international player in a number of markets including pharmaceuticals, medical hardware, defense, and computers along with more clandestine operations utilizing genetic engineering and biological weaponry. Unbeknownst to local authorities and the government, the Umbrella Corporation has been developing a vaccine for its T-virus in a secret lab facility under the Bay View Elementary school in New Monterey, CA. Umbrella executives just reported to the Monterey Peninsula Crisis Task Force (MPCTF) that an accident at their lab has resulted in an unintentional release of the virus into the local Racoon City water supply. Unfortunately, this accidental release occurred five days ago and the Umbrella Corporation is only coming forward now because the first individual with likely infectious symptoms just arrived at CHOMP's emergency room. In an effort to cooperate with MCTF, the Umbrella Corporation has released the following information. Day of Number Outbre ak Infected 1 9. 2 13 Based on recent incidents in Racoon City, any individual who experiences an exposure to the T-virus or another infected individual may become infected. All infected individuals ultimately succumb (die) to the infection and become animated mindless monsters who do not feel pain and who have an immense appetite for human flesh. The Corporation has affectionately termed these succumbed individuals as Zombies. A zombie's only aim is to kill, eat or infect additional people. Zombies are known to move in small, irregular steps, and show signs of physical decomposition such as rotting flesh, discolored eyes and open wounds. When an un-infected individual is bitten by a zombie, it leaves an open wound filled with the zombie's saliva that mixes with the victim's blood, thus infecting the individual. The enclosed table provides the known infection count of the inhabitants of Racoon City. Data collection stopped after 28 days because of the government's sterilization of the city. 3 18 4 27 5 38 6. 56 7 81 8. 117 9 170 10 246 11 357 12 516 13 748 14 1,082 15 1,563 Requirements: 16 2,255 17 3,247 You are to complete a technical report in your formal groups. Your report should tell a story and flow and NOT just be a series of replies to the specific questions. You may answer the questions in any order you prefer so long as you answer them all completely. Here is a list of the questions or requirements that you are to address in your report. 18 4,661 19 6,661 20 9,459 21 13,313 22 18,506 23 25,293 24 33,796 25 43,865 26 54,945 27 66,085 28 76,171
1. Modeling the Historic (Racoon City) Outbreak.
Using the historic Racoon City data set, create a scatter plot with the days on the x-axis and the
number of infected individuals on the y-axis.
b. Discuss the general trend and shape of your plot.
Find the best function that models the data set using days as the independent variable
(predictor) and the number of infected as the dependent variable. Describe how you found
model (function). How well does your model fit the historic data? What issues might this
с.
your
cause?
d. On a single graph, plot your function along with the scatter plot of the Racoon City data.
2. Modeling the New Monterey Outbreak
a. Develop a discrete dynamical system to model the outbreak and spread of the New Monterey
zombie outbreak.
b. Using your model, predict the amount of time necessary for the outbreak to spread throughout
the Monterey Peninsula. Discuss how accurate you believe this prediction is.
Develop at least three Course of Actions (COA) the MPCTF can take to stem or stop the
zombie outbreak. For each COA, discuss, at a minimum, the necessary resources, time, and
how the government should implement the COA. For each COA, modify your discrete
dynamical system model (Requirement 2a) to determine the impact on stemming or stopping
the flow of the zombie outbreak (you should have at least three additional models at the end of
this requirement).
d. Conduct an analysis of your three COA and make a recommendation to the local authorities for
implementation.
Transcribed Image Text:1. Modeling the Historic (Racoon City) Outbreak. Using the historic Racoon City data set, create a scatter plot with the days on the x-axis and the number of infected individuals on the y-axis. b. Discuss the general trend and shape of your plot. Find the best function that models the data set using days as the independent variable (predictor) and the number of infected as the dependent variable. Describe how you found model (function). How well does your model fit the historic data? What issues might this с. your cause? d. On a single graph, plot your function along with the scatter plot of the Racoon City data. 2. Modeling the New Monterey Outbreak a. Develop a discrete dynamical system to model the outbreak and spread of the New Monterey zombie outbreak. b. Using your model, predict the amount of time necessary for the outbreak to spread throughout the Monterey Peninsula. Discuss how accurate you believe this prediction is. Develop at least three Course of Actions (COA) the MPCTF can take to stem or stop the zombie outbreak. For each COA, discuss, at a minimum, the necessary resources, time, and how the government should implement the COA. For each COA, modify your discrete dynamical system model (Requirement 2a) to determine the impact on stemming or stopping the flow of the zombie outbreak (you should have at least three additional models at the end of this requirement). d. Conduct an analysis of your three COA and make a recommendation to the local authorities for implementation.
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