These characteristics also affect the storm surge, but even more so, because of climate change, by 2100, global sea levels are expected to rise 1-8.2 ft. The western Gulf of Mexico may see 1- 1.6 ft. more than the average global sea-level rise. Much of the projected sea-level rise can be attributed to the expansion of ocean water due to global warming. COS 13-7 Kevin Trenberth, a National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist, investigated the water budget from the ocean, through the atmosphere, and back to land and concluded that "the warmer oceans increased the risk of greater hurricane intensity and duration" and "while we often think of hurricanes as atmospheric phenomena, it's clear that the oceans play a critical role and will shape future storms as the climate changes. threat of future supercharged hurricanes due to climate change." [https://news.agu.org/press- The study highlights the increased release/record-breaking-ocean-heat-fueled-hurricane-harvey/] 10. Climate change features noted above suggest that extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, could produce a. higher water levels from storm surge b. greater precipitation flooding c. increased wind damage d. all of the above

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These characteristics also affect the storm surge, but even more so, because of climate change,
by 2100, global sea levels are expected to rise 1-8.2 ft. The western Gulf of Mexico may see 1-
1.6 ft. more than the average global sea-level rise. Much of the projected sea-level rise can be
attributed to the expansion of ocean water due to global warming.
Kevin Trenberth, a National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist, investigated the water
budget from the ocean, through the atmosphere, and back to land and concluded that "the
warmer oceans increased the risk of greater hurricane intensity and duration" and "while we
often think of hurricanes as atmospheric phenomena, it's clear that the oceans play a critical
role and will shape future storms as the climate changes.
threat of future supercharged hurricanes due to climate change." [https://news.agu.org/press-
The study highlights the increased
release/record-breaking-ocean-heat-fueled-hurricane-harvey/]
10. Climate change features noted above suggest that extreme weather events, such as
hurricanes, could produce
a. higher water levels from storm surge
b. greater precipitation flooding
c. increased wind damage
d. all of the above
THE
In 2019-2020, a World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Task Team published an
assessment of possible detectable changes in tropical cyclone activity, including possible human-
caused influences, based on case studies of past changes or events. The Task Team distinguished
between observed changes where there was some degree of confidence that the changes were at
least partly attributable to human influence and those where confidence in attribution was low
but nonetheless speculated based on the balance of evidence. Among the various conclusions
drawn, with respect to tropical cyclone changes in a 2°C warmer world, those mostly related to
hurricanes include:
•
There will be higher storm surge inundations levels due to rising sea level, all other
factors assumed equal.
• Tropical cyclones will have greater rain rates (medium-to-high confidence), with
modeling studies on average showing a 10-15% increase.
COS 13-7
And an example of a more speculative finding:
. The balance of evidence suggests that Hurricane Harvey-like extreme rainfall events in
the eastern Texas region have undergone a detectable anthropogenic increase.
The publications can be found here:
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/100/10/bams-d-18-0189.1.xml
and https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/101/3/bams-d-18-0194.1.xml
If one thing has been learned, a changing climate is already impacting the present.
©Copyright 2021, American Meteorological Society.
COS 13-8
The 2020 Hurricane Season blasted away records, setting an all time new record of 30 named
storms in one season and 7 major hurricanes hitting the U.S. coast. At the time of publication
2021 was also already on its way to another record season.
Transcribed Image Text:These characteristics also affect the storm surge, but even more so, because of climate change, by 2100, global sea levels are expected to rise 1-8.2 ft. The western Gulf of Mexico may see 1- 1.6 ft. more than the average global sea-level rise. Much of the projected sea-level rise can be attributed to the expansion of ocean water due to global warming. Kevin Trenberth, a National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist, investigated the water budget from the ocean, through the atmosphere, and back to land and concluded that "the warmer oceans increased the risk of greater hurricane intensity and duration" and "while we often think of hurricanes as atmospheric phenomena, it's clear that the oceans play a critical role and will shape future storms as the climate changes. threat of future supercharged hurricanes due to climate change." [https://news.agu.org/press- The study highlights the increased release/record-breaking-ocean-heat-fueled-hurricane-harvey/] 10. Climate change features noted above suggest that extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, could produce a. higher water levels from storm surge b. greater precipitation flooding c. increased wind damage d. all of the above THE In 2019-2020, a World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Task Team published an assessment of possible detectable changes in tropical cyclone activity, including possible human- caused influences, based on case studies of past changes or events. The Task Team distinguished between observed changes where there was some degree of confidence that the changes were at least partly attributable to human influence and those where confidence in attribution was low but nonetheless speculated based on the balance of evidence. Among the various conclusions drawn, with respect to tropical cyclone changes in a 2°C warmer world, those mostly related to hurricanes include: • There will be higher storm surge inundations levels due to rising sea level, all other factors assumed equal. • Tropical cyclones will have greater rain rates (medium-to-high confidence), with modeling studies on average showing a 10-15% increase. COS 13-7 And an example of a more speculative finding: . The balance of evidence suggests that Hurricane Harvey-like extreme rainfall events in the eastern Texas region have undergone a detectable anthropogenic increase. The publications can be found here: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/100/10/bams-d-18-0189.1.xml and https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/101/3/bams-d-18-0194.1.xml If one thing has been learned, a changing climate is already impacting the present. ©Copyright 2021, American Meteorological Society. COS 13-8 The 2020 Hurricane Season blasted away records, setting an all time new record of 30 named storms in one season and 7 major hurricanes hitting the U.S. coast. At the time of publication 2021 was also already on its way to another record season.
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