The following table shows cost payoffs for four decision variables and four states ofnature.S₁S2di2020SS3548194d2121240d31010161616d4303025202091101414Suppose the decision maker assigns the probability for S₁ = 0.10; S2 = 0.40; S3 =0.20; and S4 = 0.30, what is the expected value of best decision?21.221.82019.2

Step 1:The expected value of each decision is calculated…

Answered: The following table shows cost payoffs…

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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Consider two companies bidding to be at the top of a search engine's results for a given keyword. Company 1 values the top position at v₁ = 8. Both company 1 and company 2 know company 1's value. However, only company 2 knows its own valuation for the top position, which can take two values: v₂ = 6 or v₂ = 10. Company 1 believes that company 2 has a valuation of ₂ = 6 with probability and a valuation of v2 = 10 with probability. Each company chooses simultaneously whether to submit a bid of b = 6 or a bid of b = 8. The company which submitted the highest bid wins the auction and obtains the top position in the search engine. If both firms submit the same bid, then firm 1 wins the auction. A company's payoff is therefore: V₁ = {o vi- bi if it wins the auction if it loses the auction 1) Suppose that company 2 bids b2 = 6 when v2 = 6 and bids b2 = 8 when v2 = 10. What value of b1 is company 1's best response to this strategy? Hint: explain first in which cases company 1 wins, then give…
Boris and Angela are negotiating a new trade deal, which resembles a modified centipede game. When it is their turn, each of them decides whether to cooperate (C) or to decline (D). Unfortunately, Angela is not sure how much time Boris has for the negotiations before he needs to leave to talk to Emmanuel. With probability p = 4/5, Boris will stay and insist on making the final proposal (long game, L). With probability 1 − p = 1/5, Boris will have to rush off, so that the game ends after Angela’s move (short game, S). Boris has perfect knowledge of his schedule. The structure and payoffs are represented in the game tree below (Attached picture). (a) Specify the set of possible histories H of the game. Underline terminal histories.(b) Specify the set of possible strategies for Boris and Angela.(c) How many subgames does this game have? Indicate all subgames in this game
Consider two companies bidding to be at the top of a search engine's results for a given keyword. Company 1 values the top position at v₁ = 8. Both company 1 and company 2 know company 1's value. However, only company 2 knows its own valuation for the top position, which can take two values: v₂ = 6 or v₂ = 10. Company 1 believes that company 2 has a valuation of v2 = 6 with probability and a valuation of v2 = 10 with probability. Each company chooses simultaneously whether to submit a bid of b = 6 or a bid of b = 8. The company which submitted the highest bid wins the auction and obtains the top position in the search engine. If both firms submit the same bid, then firm 1 wins the auction. A company's payoff is therefore: V₁₂ = -{- Vi - bi if it wins the auction if it loses the auction 1) What are the possible types of company 2?
Your company must decide whether to introduce a new product. The sales of the product will be either at a high (success) or low (failure) level. The conditional value for this decision is as follows Decision High Low Introduce $4,000,000 -$2,000,000 Do Not Introduce 0 0 Probability 0.3 0.7 You have the option to conduct a market survey to sharpen you market demand estimate. The survey costs $200,000. The survey provides incomplete information about the sales, with three possible outcomes: (1) predicts high sales, (2) predicts low sales, or (3) inconclusive. Such surveys have in the past provided these results Result High Low Predicts High 0.4 0.1 Inconclusive 0.4 0.5 Predicts Low 0.2 0.4 a) Using expected monetary value, what is your decision? b) What is the expected value of perfect information before taking the survey? c) Draw the complete decision tree, including the survey option. d) What is the…
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Cheryl Druehl Retailers, Inc., must decide whether to build a small or a large facility at a new location in Fairfax. Demand at the location will either be low or high, with probabilities 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. If Cheryl builds a small facility and demand proves to be high, she then has the option of expanding the facility. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, and then the retailer expands the facility, the payoff is $230,000. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be high, but Cheryl then decides not to expand the facility, the payoff is $183,000. If a small facility is built and demand proves to be low, then there is no option to expand and the payoff is $250,000. If a large facility is built and demand proves to be low, Cheryl then has the option of stimulating demand through local advertising. If she does not exercise this option, then the payoff is $45,000. If she does exercise the advertising option, then the response to advertising will…
Thelma is indifferent between $100 and a bet with a 0.6 chance of no return and a 0.4 chance of $200. If U(0) = 20 and U(200) = 220, then U(100) = :
c and d please!!
Q1) An expected utility maximiser owns a car worth £60000£60000 and has a bank account with £20000£20000. The money in the bank is safe, but there is a 50%50% probability that the car will be stolen. The utility of wealth for the agent is u(y)=ln(y)u(y)=ln⁡(y) and they have no other assets.

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