The accompanying dataset provides data on monthly unemployment rates for a certain region over four years. Compare 3- and 12-month moving average forecasts using the MAD criterion. Which of the two models yields better results? Explain.   Year Month Rate(%) 2011 Jan 7.9 2011 Feb 8.3 2011 Mar 8.7 2011 Apr 8.9 2011 May 9.5 2011 Jun 9.5 2011 Jul 9.6 2011 Aug 9.7 2011 Sep 9.6 2011 Oct 9.9 2011 Nov 9.7 2011 Dec 9.8 2012 Jan 9.8 2012 Feb 9.7 2012 Mar 9.7 2012 Apr 9.8 2012 May 9.5 2012 Jun 9.5 2012 Jul 9.4 2012 Aug 9.5 2012 Sep 9.4 2012 Oct 9.6 2012 Nov 9.8 2012 Dec 9.2 2013 Jan 8.9 2013 Feb 9.1 2013 Mar 8.9 2013 Apr 8.9 2013 May 9.1 2013 Jun 9.1 2013 Jul 9.1 2013 Aug 9.2 2013 Sep 9.1 2013 Oct 8.8 2013 Nov 8.7 2013 Dec 8.3 2014 Jan 8.2 2014 Feb 8.2 2014 Mar 8.2 2014 Apr 7.9 2014 May 8.3 2014 Jun 8.3 2014 Jul 8.4 2014 Aug 7.9 2014 Sep 7.9 2014 Oct 7.8 2014 Nov 7.7 2014 Dec 7.8     Find the MAD for the 3-month moving average forecast.   MAD=nothing (Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.) Find the MAD for the 12-month moving average forecast.   MAD=nothing (Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.) Which of the two models yields better results?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
icon
Related questions
Topic Video
Question

 

The accompanying dataset provides data on monthly unemployment rates for a certain region over four years. Compare 3- and 12-month moving average forecasts using the MAD criterion. Which of the two models yields better results? Explain.

 

Year Month Rate(%)
2011 Jan 7.9
2011 Feb 8.3
2011 Mar 8.7
2011 Apr 8.9
2011 May 9.5
2011 Jun 9.5
2011 Jul 9.6
2011 Aug 9.7
2011 Sep 9.6
2011 Oct 9.9
2011 Nov 9.7
2011 Dec 9.8
2012 Jan 9.8
2012 Feb 9.7
2012 Mar 9.7
2012 Apr 9.8
2012 May 9.5
2012 Jun 9.5
2012 Jul 9.4
2012 Aug 9.5
2012 Sep 9.4
2012 Oct 9.6
2012 Nov 9.8
2012 Dec 9.2
2013 Jan 8.9
2013 Feb 9.1
2013 Mar 8.9
2013 Apr 8.9
2013 May 9.1
2013 Jun 9.1
2013 Jul 9.1
2013 Aug 9.2
2013 Sep 9.1
2013 Oct 8.8
2013 Nov 8.7
2013 Dec 8.3
2014 Jan 8.2
2014 Feb 8.2
2014 Mar 8.2
2014 Apr 7.9
2014 May 8.3
2014 Jun 8.3
2014 Jul 8.4
2014 Aug 7.9
2014 Sep 7.9
2014 Oct 7.8
2014 Nov 7.7
2014 Dec 7.8

 

 

Find the MAD for the 3-month moving average forecast.
 
MAD=nothing
(Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.)
Find the MAD for the 12-month moving average forecast.
 
MAD=nothing
(Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.)
Which of the two models yields better results? Explain.
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals for Proportions
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Statistics
ISBN:
9780134683416
Author:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:
PEARSON
The Basic Practice of Statistics
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319042578
Author:
David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319013387
Author:
David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman