TABLE 16-15 Optimistic Time Pessimistic Time Estimates Estimates Estimates (weeks) Most Likely Time Immediate Activity Description of Activity Predecessor(s) (weeks) (weeks) Design general curriculum requirements Develop program brochure Identify prospective students Develop advertising campaign Design specific curriculum content Send brochure and student application Evaluate applications Accept students, notify students A none 4 8 16 B A 2 3 none 3 6 9 В, с 4 7 10 A 8. 16 20 F D 2 3 4 F 2 H. G 1 2 3 I Schedule rooms for classes H 1 1 7 Designate professors to teach courses H 3 K Select texts for courses 3 5 7 L Order and receive texts K 6 8 17 FIGURE 16-21 Network diagram Normal Crash E Immediate Time Normal Time Crash

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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Question

Th e dean of the business school wants to start off ering
this program starting 32 weeks from now. Using the information
provided in Problem 15,
(a) Calculate the probability of the program starting on
time.
(b) If the dean needs a 95 percent probability of being done
on time, how long can the expected project duration be?

TABLE 16-15
Optimistic
Time
Pessimistic
Time
Estimates Estimates Estimates
(weeks)
Most
Likely Time
Immediate
Activity Description of Activity
Predecessor(s) (weeks)
(weeks)
Design general curriculum requirements
Develop program brochure
Identify prospective students
Develop advertising campaign
Design specific curriculum content
Send brochure and student application
Evaluate applications
Accept students, notify students
A
none
4
8
16
B
A
2
3
none
3
6
9
В, с
4
7
10
A
8.
16
20
F
D
2
3
4
F
2
H.
G
1
2
3
I
Schedule rooms for classes
H
1
1
7
Designate professors to teach courses
H
3
K
Select texts for courses
3
5
7
L
Order and receive texts
K
6
8
17
FIGURE 16-21
Network diagram
Normal
Crash
E
Immediate
Time
Normal
Time
Crash
Transcribed Image Text:TABLE 16-15 Optimistic Time Pessimistic Time Estimates Estimates Estimates (weeks) Most Likely Time Immediate Activity Description of Activity Predecessor(s) (weeks) (weeks) Design general curriculum requirements Develop program brochure Identify prospective students Develop advertising campaign Design specific curriculum content Send brochure and student application Evaluate applications Accept students, notify students A none 4 8 16 B A 2 3 none 3 6 9 В, с 4 7 10 A 8. 16 20 F D 2 3 4 F 2 H. G 1 2 3 I Schedule rooms for classes H 1 1 7 Designate professors to teach courses H 3 K Select texts for courses 3 5 7 L Order and receive texts K 6 8 17 FIGURE 16-21 Network diagram Normal Crash E Immediate Time Normal Time Crash
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