In a randomized experiment on treating cocaine addiction, 48 cocaine addicts who were trying to quit were randomly assigned to take either desipramine (a new drug), or Lithium (an existing drug). The response variable is whether or not the person relapsed (which means the person was unable to break out of the cycle of addiction and returned to using cocaine.) We are testing to see if desipramine is better than lithium at treating cocaine addiction. The results are shown in the two-way table.

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Section 4.4: Creating Randomization Distributions

 

Example 1: Evaluating Drugs to Fight Cocaine Addiction

In a randomized experiment on treating cocaine addiction, 48 cocaine addicts who were trying to quit were randomly assigned to take either desipramine (a new drug), or Lithium (an existing drug). The response variable is whether or not the person relapsed (which means the person was unable to break out of the cycle of addiction and returned to using cocaine.) We are testing to see if desipramine is better than lithium at treating cocaine addiction. The results are shown in the two-way table.

 

 

Relapse

No relapse

Total

Desipramine

10

14

24

Lithium

18

6

24

Total

28

20

48

 

  • Using pD for the proportion of desipramine users who relapse and pL for the proportion of lithium users who relapse, write the null and alternative hypotheses.

 

 

  • Compute the appropriate sample statistic.

 

 

  • We compute a randomization statistic by assuming the null hypothesis is true. What does that mean in this case?

 

 

  • How might we compute a randomization sample for this data? What statistic would we compute as the randomization statistic?

 

 

  • We can use StatKey to generate a randomization dotplot for the difference in proportions based on this sample and what we might see by random chance of the null hypothesis is true. Describe the resulting distribution. Where is it centered?

 

  • How extreme is the sample statistic from part (b) in the randomization distribution? This tells us how unlikely the sample data is if the null hypothesis is true (which is the p-value!) Use the sample statistic calculated in (b) to find the p-value for this test. Use the p-value to make a conclusion.

 

 

Example 2: Normal Human Body Temperature

Normal human body temperature is generally considered to be 98.6°F. We wish to test to see if there is evidence that mean body temperature is different from 98.6°F.   We collect data from a random sample of 50 people and find = 98.26.

 

     a). State the null and alternative hypotheses.

 

 

     b). A randomization distribution requires that the null hypothesis is true. What does that mean in this case?

 

 

 

     c). Use StatKey to create a randomization distribution for this test, and then use it to find the p-value. Use the p-value to make a conclusion in the test.

 

 

 

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