Identify the decision taken under the following approaches: (1) Equal probability (2) Regret (3) Hurwicz criterion. Note: The decision maker's degree of Pessimistic (a) is 0.3.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
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XYZ work in a small electric business in Basrah city. He had a
sunshine controller device. He had to decide how to market his
idea, and in the short term, his options could be summarised as
selling the device locally, selling nationally through a website,
entering a partnership with an existing company or selling the
patent. His returns depended on demand, which he described
as high, medium, or low.
Using this simple model, he developed the matrix of potential
annual gains shown below:
Options
Demand
High
Medium
Low
Market locally
60
90
45
Use website
23
90
78
Partnership
12
25
89
Sell patent
30
30
30
Identify the decision taken under
the following approaches:
(1) Equal probability
(2) Regret
(3) Hurwicz criterion.
Note: The decision maker's degree of Pessimistic (a) is 0.3.
Transcribed Image Text:XYZ work in a small electric business in Basrah city. He had a sunshine controller device. He had to decide how to market his idea, and in the short term, his options could be summarised as selling the device locally, selling nationally through a website, entering a partnership with an existing company or selling the patent. His returns depended on demand, which he described as high, medium, or low. Using this simple model, he developed the matrix of potential annual gains shown below: Options Demand High Medium Low Market locally 60 90 45 Use website 23 90 78 Partnership 12 25 89 Sell patent 30 30 30 Identify the decision taken under the following approaches: (1) Equal probability (2) Regret (3) Hurwicz criterion. Note: The decision maker's degree of Pessimistic (a) is 0.3.
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