Consider the following decision tree. Which decision, A or B, is best? What is the expected value of this decision?.40$3,000AB2.20.80OA, expected payoff = $2,000OA, expected payoff = $2,120OB, expected payoff = $1,800OA, expected payoff = $2,100.60-$1,000$2,500$2,000$1,800

First, I would determine the expected payoff for each node, Here, there are two alternatives, For…

Answered: Consider the following decision tree.…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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2. Determine the course of action that has the highest expected payoff for the decision tree below! $1.0* $1.3 Do nothing Medium demand (.5) Large demand (.1) Small demand (.4) Expand $1.3 Do nothing Expand $1.5 $1.6 Build $1.8 Do nothing Other use #1 $0.7 $1.5 Small demand (.4) Medium demand (.5) Other use #2 $1.0 Expand $1.6 Large demand (. 1) Do nothing Subcontract $1.6 $1.5 Build $1.7 Do nothing Other use #1 ($0.9) $1.4 Small demand (.4) Medium demand (.5) Other use #2 $1.0 Do nothing Other use #1 $1.0 Large demand (.1) $1.1 Other use #2 $0.9 * Net present value in millions $2.4 Subcontract Build
4. Using a discounted rate of 12 percent, INITIAL COST NET CASH FLOW YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5 PROJECT A (BROILER) K100,000 (20,000) 10,000 40.000 40.000 150.000 PROJECT B (LAYERS) K100,000 33,000 33,000 33,000 33,000 33,000 a. Determine the net present value of project A and B b. Calculate the IRR on mutually exclusive investment of project A and B. C. Which project must the farm undertake and why?
The Town of Broomville, along with local arts and athletic groups, decided to erect a new community centre for sports, music, and theatre. The total estimated cost was $18,000,000 in April. Jane Borkus, president and CEO of the largest local industry. Autotech, promised to match every dollar raised through other donors, up to $9,000,000. Both she and the delighted town mayor, Geoff Johns, made the announcement over the local television station and in a joint statement in the town's newspaper. Borkus said the deadline would be 12 months. The following January, the campaign was proceeding extremely well; other donors had pledges $5,500,000 and Borkus presented a cheque for $4,000,000 as Autotech's "down payment and pledge of good will." Unfortunately, in March, Autotech lost its major contract to supply car parts to one of the big three auto manufacturers. Anticipating a large loss at year's end, Borkus withdrew the pledge and asked for the return of the down payment. Broomville will…
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Lakewood Fashions must decide how many lots of assorted ski wear to order for its three stores. Information on pricing, sales, and inventory costs has led to the following payoff table, in thousands. Order size 1 lot 2 lots 3 lots (a) Show a regret table. Order size 1 lot 2 lots 3 lots 13 9 6 Low 13 9 6 Low Demand Medium 16 24 32 16 24 32 High 16 32 61 Demand Medium (b) What decision should be made by the optimist? O 1 lot O2 lots 3 lots 16 32 61 High Maximum Regret 2:06 PM
1. Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose? Camping cost Motel cost Probability of bad weather Nevada $21.2 $80.9 0.2 Oregon $15.9 $84.6 0.4 California $30 $95 0.1 a. California, because its EMV = $33.14 b. Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14 c. California, because its EMV = $36.5 d. Any of the 3 choices. e. Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38 f. Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38 g. None of the 3 choices. h. Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.
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Main Street Cinema invited three firms to bid on its daily janitorial services contract, and then scored those bids (also known as 'tenders') based on quality, reliability/risk and price (using a 100 point scale in each case). The results are listed here: Tender Offer from... Quality Score Reliability/ Risk Price Score Score Dawson Commercial 80 80 90 Cleaning Services Fulton Maintenance 90 70 100 and Facilities Service SteadyBrite Contract 85 85 85 Cleaning Assume that quality and price are equally important to Main Street Cinema. However, the issue of reliability/risk is twice as important to Main Street Cinema then either quality or price. Which janitorial service supplier does linear averaging suggest? O A. Dawson Commercial Cleaning Services and Dawson Commercial Cleaning Services O B. Dawson Commercial Cleaning Services C. Dawson Commercial Cleaning Services O D. SteadyBrite Contract Cleaning E. Fulton Maintenance and Facilities Service and SteadyBrite Contract Cleaning
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Suppose you are a project manager of a power plant project and there is a penalty in your contract with the main client for every day you deliver the project late. You need to decide which sub-contractor is appropriate for your projects critical path activities. But while selecting a sub-contractor, you should take into consideration the costs and delivery dates. • Sub-contractor A bids 200,000 OMR. You estimate that there is a 35% possibility of completing 50 days late. As per your contract with the client, you must pay a delay penalty of 4,500 OMR per calendar day for every day you deliver late.• Sub-contractor B bids 260,000 OMR. You estimate that there is a 13% possibility of completing 15 days late. As per your contract with the client, you must pay a delay penalty of 4,500 OMR per calendar day for every day you deliver late. Determine which sub-contractor is appropriate for your projects critical path activities. Both sub- contractors promise successful delivery and high-quality…
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Consider the following decision tree. Which decision, A or B, is best? What is the expected value of this decision? .40 $3,000 1 A B .20 .80 3 OA, expected payoff = $2,000 OA, expected payoff = $2,120 OB, expected payoff = $1,800 OA, expected payoff = $2,100 4 .60 -$1,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,800