Consider the following information: Patients who are given Treatment A live for one year in Health State q = 0.8 and certainly live for another year in Health State q = 0.5. Patients who are given Treatment B live for one year in Health State q = 1.0 and then either die with probability 70% or live for another year in Health State q = 1.0 with probability 30%. Which of the following statement is TRUE regarding the abovementioned information? O If the second year is discounted at rate r = 0.10 then the expected present value QALYS for treatment A and B is 1.35 and 1.33, respectively. OIf the

Consider the following information: Patients who are given Treatment A live for one year in Health State q = 0.8 and certainly live for another year in Health State q = 0.5. Patients who are given Treatment B live for one year in Health State q = 1.0 and then either die with probability 70% or live for another year in Health State q = 1.0 with probability 30%. Which of the following statement is TRUE regarding the abovementioned information? O If the second year is discounted at rate r = 0.10 then the expected present value QALYS for treatment A and B is 1.35 and 1.33, respectively. OIf the

Microeconomic Theory

12th Edition

ISBN:9781337517942

Author:NICHOLSON

Publisher:NICHOLSON

Chapter7: Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 7.3P

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If patient insurance inquiries arrive at Blue Choice insurance with a mean rate of 3.6 calls per minute, the exponential probability of waiting more than 0.5 minutes to get the next inquiry call is _____. Question 6Select one: a. 0.2407 b. 0.1222 c. 0.5000 d. 0.1653
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Suppose that a car - rental agency offers insurance for a week that costs $125. A minor fender bender will cost 34000 whereas a major accident might cost $16 comma 000 in repairs. Without the insurance, you would be personally liable for any damages. There are two decision alternatives: take the insurance, or do not take the insurance. You researched insurance industry statistics and found out that the probability of a major accident is 0.04% and that the probability of a fender bender is 0.18%. The expected payoff if you buy the insurance is $125.00. The expected payoff if you do not buy the insurance is $12.52. Develop a utility function for the payoffs associated with this decision for a risk-averse person. Determine the decision that would result using the utilities instead of the payoffs. Based on the expected payoffs, the best decision is to not purchase the insurance. Are these two decisions consistent?
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Suppose Grace and Lisa are to go to dinner. Lisa is visiting Grace from outof town, and they are to meet at a local restaurant. When Lisa lived in town,they had two favorite restaurants: Bel Loc Diner and the Corner Stable. Ofcourse, Lisa’s information is out of date, but Grace knows which is betterthese days. Assume that the probability that the Bel Loc Diner is better isp > 1/2 and the probability that the Corner Stable is better is 1 - p. Naturedetermines which restaurant Grace thinks is better. Grace then sends amessage to Lisa, either “Let’s go to the Bel Loc Diner,” “Let’s go to theCorner Stable,” or “I don’t know [which is better].” Lisa receives the message, and then Grace and Lisa simultaneously decide which restaurant to go to. Payoffs are such that Grace and Lisa want to go to the same restaurant, but they prefer it to be the one that Grace thinks is better. More specifically, if, in fact, the Bel Loc Diner is better, then the payoffs from theiractions are as shown in the…
ЕОC 12.02 Suppose you are the mayor of a town and you want to increase safety at an intersection. A traffic light will increase safety and reduce fatality risk by 0.5% but costs $100,000. Suppose the value of human life is estimated at $10 million. Should you spend the money to install the traffic light? (Hint: to multiply 1% by 200 you follow this process: 0.01 x 200 = 2). Select an answer and submit. For keyboard navigation, use the up/down arrow keys to select an answer. a Yes, since the expected benefit ($500,000) exceeds the cost. b Yes, since the expected benefit ($150,000) exceeds the cost. No, since the expected benefit ($50,000) is lower than the cost. d No, since the expected benefit ($15,000) is lower than the cost.
A risk-eutral plaintiff in a lawsuit must decide whether to settle a claim or go to trial. The defendants offer $70,000 to settle now. If the plaintiff does not settle, the plaintiff believes that the probability of winning at trial is 40%. If the plaintiff wins, the amount awarded to the plaintiff is X. Will the plaintiff settle if X is $87,500? What if X= $280,000? What is the critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between settling and going to trial? If the plaintiff were risk averse instead of risk neutral, would this critical value of X be higher or lower? If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $87,500, then the plaintiff would settle If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $280,000, then the plaintiff would not settle The critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between settling and going to trial is $. (Enter your response using rounded to two decimal places.)
An individual has 40,000 in income per year. The person will get sick with probability 0.1. If he does get sick, the medical bills will total 30,000. The following tables shows the utility derived from certain amounts of income: Income Utility 40,000 200 37,000 195 35,000 190 30,000 170 20,000 140 10,000 100 At the actuarially fair rate, will the person choose to buy insurance or face the risk of going uninsured? Explain why.
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Adam is considering what skills to study in online school. Her utility function is based on the income she earns, and is defined by U(I) = I0.8. If she learns the skill of SPSS, she will earn $145,000 per year with probability 1. If she learns the skill of Tableau, she will earn $300,000 per year with probability 0.6 (assuming that she gets the certificate) and $30,000 with probability 0.4 (if she learns without earning a certificate and she has to find a waiter job). a. Is she risk averse, risk neutral, or risk loving? Explain.b. Write out the equation for her expected utility for each skill. c.Which skill will she learn? Show your work. d.Suppose someone offers her insurance for the possibility that she does not get a Tableau certificate. This insurance will provide her an amount of income in addition to the waiter job wages that makes her indifferent between learning SPSS and Tableau. What is this amount, and what is the cost of the insurance? (note: many possible answers)
Suppose that there is asymmetric information in the market for used cars. Sellers know the quality of the car that they are selling, but buyers do not. Buyers know that there is a 30% chance of getting a "lemon", a low quality used car. A high quality used car is worth $30,000, and a low quality used car is worth $15.000. Based on this probability, the most that a buyer would be willing to pay for a used car is S. (Enter your response rounded to the nearest dollar.)
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