Clay Whybark, a soft-drink vendor at Hard Rock Cafe's annual Rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd): RAHUNTS Alternatives Large stock Average stock Small stock extensio States of Nature (demand) Average $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 Big $22,000 $14,000 $9,000 Small -$2,000 $6,000 $4.000 The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand. a) Determine the alternative that provides Clay Whybark the great- est expected monetary value (EMV). b) Compute the expected value of perfect information (EVPI). P

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Clay Whybark, a soft-drink vendor at Hard Rock Cafe's
annual Rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various
alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd):
Alternatives
Large stock
Average stock
Small stock
States of Nature (demand)
Average
$12,000
$10,000
$8,000
Big
$22,000
$14,000
$9,000
1600750
Small
-$2,000
$6,000
$4,000
The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a
big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand.
a) Determine the alternative that provides Clay Whybark the great-
est expected monetary value (EMV).
b) Compute the expected value of perfect information (BVPI). P
Transcribed Image Text:Clay Whybark, a soft-drink vendor at Hard Rock Cafe's annual Rockfest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd): Alternatives Large stock Average stock Small stock States of Nature (demand) Average $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 Big $22,000 $14,000 $9,000 1600750 Small -$2,000 $6,000 $4,000 The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand. a) Determine the alternative that provides Clay Whybark the great- est expected monetary value (EMV). b) Compute the expected value of perfect information (BVPI). P
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