c-1. Calculate MAD for each method. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) MAD Three-month moving average Exponential smoothing c-2. Use MAD to decide which method produced the better forecast over the six-month period.

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c-1. Calculate MAD for each method. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
MAD
Three-month moving
average
Exponential smoothing
c-2. Use MAD to decide which method produced the better forecast over the six-month period.
Exponential smoothing.
Three-month moving average.
Transcribed Image Text:c-1. Calculate MAD for each method. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) MAD Three-month moving average Exponential smoothing c-2. Use MAD to decide which method produced the better forecast over the six-month period. Exponential smoothing. Three-month moving average.
Here are the actual tabulated demands for an item for a nine-month period (January through September). Your supervisor wants to test
two forecasting methods to see which method was better over this period.
MONTH
АCTUAL
January
February
March
April
124
125
154
174
May
161
June
180
July
August
September
144
138
142
a. Forecast April through September using a three-month moving average. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
Three-Month
Moving Average
134.33
Month
April
May
151.00
June
163.00
July
171.66
August
161.66
September
154.00
b. Use simple exponential smoothing with an alpha of 0.40 to estimate April through September, using the average of January
through March as the initial forecast for April. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
Exponential
Smoothing
Month
April
142.20
May
154.92
June
157.35
July
166.41
August
157.45
September
149.67
Transcribed Image Text:Here are the actual tabulated demands for an item for a nine-month period (January through September). Your supervisor wants to test two forecasting methods to see which method was better over this period. MONTH АCTUAL January February March April 124 125 154 174 May 161 June 180 July August September 144 138 142 a. Forecast April through September using a three-month moving average. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Three-Month Moving Average 134.33 Month April May 151.00 June 163.00 July 171.66 August 161.66 September 154.00 b. Use simple exponential smoothing with an alpha of 0.40 to estimate April through September, using the average of January through March as the initial forecast for April. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Exponential Smoothing Month April 142.20 May 154.92 June 157.35 July 166.41 August 157.45 September 149.67
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