a) Compute MAD and MAPE for management's technique. b) Do management's results outperform (i.e., have smaller MAD and MAPE than) a naive forecast? c) Which forecast do you recommend, based on lower forecast error?

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answer a,b, and c

4.23
Sales of quilt covers at Bud Banis's department store
in Carbondale over the past year are shown below. Management
prepared a forecast using a combination of exponential smooth-
ing and its collective judgment for the 4 months (March, April,
May, and June):
MONTH
UNIT SALES
MANAGEMENT'S FORECAST
July
100
August
September
93
96
October
110
November
124
December
119
January
92
February
83
March
101
120
April
96
114
May
89
110
June
108
108
a) Compute MAD and MAPE for management's technique.
b) Do management's results outperform (i.e., have smaller MAD
and MAPE than) a naive forecast?
c) Which forecast do you recommend, based on lower forecast
error?
Transcribed Image Text:4.23 Sales of quilt covers at Bud Banis's department store in Carbondale over the past year are shown below. Management prepared a forecast using a combination of exponential smooth- ing and its collective judgment for the 4 months (March, April, May, and June): MONTH UNIT SALES MANAGEMENT'S FORECAST July 100 August September 93 96 October 110 November 124 December 119 January 92 February 83 March 101 120 April 96 114 May 89 110 June 108 108 a) Compute MAD and MAPE for management's technique. b) Do management's results outperform (i.e., have smaller MAD and MAPE than) a naive forecast? c) Which forecast do you recommend, based on lower forecast error?
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