b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning board considers the motel's application, would you advise management to sign the lease? The lease will cost $40,00. Yes because the cost is less than EVPI of

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b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning board considers the moteľ's application,
would you advise management to sign the lease? The lease will cost $40,000.
Yes
less
than EVPI of
because the cost is
Transcribed Image Text:b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning board considers the moteľ's application, would you advise management to sign the lease? The lease will cost $40,000. Yes less than EVPI of because the cost is
The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to renew the lease for another 10 years or to
relocate near the site of a proposed motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel.
A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below.
Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.40 probability that the motel's application will be
approved.
Motel
Motel
Options
Rejected
$4,500,000
300,000
Approved
Renew
2$
600,000
Relocate
2,500,000
а-1.
If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the
alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate".
Alternative
Expected Value
Renew
$
2,940,000
Relocate
$
1,180,000
a-2. Which alternative should it choose?
Relocate
Renew
Transcribed Image Text:The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to renew the lease for another 10 years or to relocate near the site of a proposed motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.40 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Motel Motel Options Rejected $4,500,000 300,000 Approved Renew 2$ 600,000 Relocate 2,500,000 а-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate". Alternative Expected Value Renew $ 2,940,000 Relocate $ 1,180,000 a-2. Which alternative should it choose? Relocate Renew
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