(a) Give the transition matrix M for the corresponding Markov chain. (b) (Using the online app at matrixcale.org/en , clicking the "Display decimals" checkbox and setting the number of fraction digits to 5.) If the player starts with two dollars, with what probability does the player have no money at the end of the game?
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- A certain television show airs weekly. Each time it airs, its ratings are categorized as "high," "average," or "low," and transitions between these categorizations each week behave like a Markov chain. If the ratings are high this week, they will be high, average, or low next week with probabilities 40%, 10%, and 50% respectively. If the ratings are average this week, they will be high, average, or low next week with probabilities 60%, 20%, and 20% respectively. If the ratings are low this week, they will be high, average, or low next week with probabilities 70%, 20%, and 10% respectively. Write all answers as integers or decimals. If the ratings are average this week, what is the probability that they will be low two weeks from now? If the ratings are average the first week, what is the probability that they will be low the second week? If the ratings are low the first week, what is the probability that they will be high the third week?Assume that a website www.funwithmath1600.ag has three pages: • Page A: King Algebra • Page B: Learn1600andWin Page C: Linear AlgbraIsEverywhere Each page has some links to the other pages of this website and no pages links to any page outside this website. • Page A has three links to page B and only one link to page C. • Page B has three links to page A and two links to page C. • Page C has one link to page A and two links to page B. A student decides to explore this website starting from page A. Since reading content is always a boring task (is it?!) they decide to choose one of the links in page A with equal probability and click on the link to see the next page. As a result, on the next step, they will end up on page B with probability 3/4 and on the page C with probability 1/4. This process is then continued by the student with the same rule: Go the next page by clicking, with equal probability, on one of the existing links that are on the present page. (Use only fractions in your…Show full answers and steps to part d) and e) using Markov Chain Theory. Please explain how you get to the answers without using excel, R or stata
- A businessman is shipping a machine to another country. The cost of overhauling is $2700. If the machine fails in operation in the other country, it will cost $5500 in lost production and repairs. He estimates the probability that it will fail at 0.3 if it is not overhauled, and 0.2 if it is overhauled. Neglect the possibility that the machine might fail more than once in the 4 years (a) Prepare a payoff matrix. (b) What should the businessman do to minimize his expected costs? (a) Fill in the entries of the payoff matrix Fails Does Not Fail 8 81 (b) Would overhauling the machine before shipping minimize the businessman's expected costs? Overhaul Does Not Overhaul CETT OYes O NoThe Tiger Sports Shop1 has hired you as an analyst to understand its market position with respect to Clemson merchandise. It is particularly concerned about its major competitor, Mr. Knickerbocker, and which Clemson-related store has the ‘lead’ market share. Recent history has suggested that which Clemson-related store has the ‘lead market share’ can be modeled as a Markov Chain using three states: TSS (Tiger Sports Shop), MK (Mr. Knickerbocker), and Other Company (OC). Data on the lead market share is taken monthly and you have constructed the following one-step transition probability matrix from past data in the picture. a) The current state of the lead market share in October is that Tiger Sports Shop is in the lead (i.e., the Markov Chain in October is TSS). Tiger Sports Shop is considering launching a new brand in February only if it has the lead market share in January. Determine the probability that TSS will launch this new brand. Please show any equations or matrices…(8) Every year, each employee at a large company must select one of two healthcare plans. It is expected that 15% of the employees currently using plan A will switch to plan B and that 25% of the employees currently using plan B will switch to plan A. Out of the company's 1000 employees, 450 are currently enrolled in plan A. (a) Use a stochastic matrix to predict how many employees will be enrolled in each plan next year. (b) Use a stochastic matrix to predict how many employees will be enrolled in each plan in five years.
- A bus containing 100 gamblers arrives in Las Vegas on a Monday morning. The gamblers play only poker or blackjack, and never change games during the day. The gamblers' daily choice of game can be modeled by a Markov chain: 95% of the gamblers playing poker today will play poker tomorrow, and 80% of the gamblers playing blackjack today will play blackjack tomorrow. (a) Write down the stochastic (Markov) matrix corresponding to this Markov chain. (b) If 60 gamblers play poker on Monday, how many gamblers play blackjack on Tuesday? (c) Find the unique steady-state vector for the Markov matrix in part (a).Please help to solveShakira's concerts behave like a Markov chain. If the current concert gets cancelled, then there is an 90% chance that the next concert will be cancelled also. However, if the current concert does not get cancelled, then there is only a 50% chance that the next concert will be cancelled. What is the long-run probability that a concert will not be cancelled? a. 1/4 b. 1/10 c. 1/6 d. 1/2 e. 5/6 f. None of the others are correct
- Answer the following questions.A study conducted by the Urban Energy Commission in a large metropolitan area indicates the probabilities that homeowners within the area will use certain heating fuels or solar energy during the next 10 years as the major source of heat for their homes. The following transition matrix represents the transition probabilities from one state to another. Electricity 10.2 Natural Gas Fuel Oil Solar Energy Elec. Gas Oil 0.60 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.85 0.10 0.08 Solar 0 0.10 0.02 0.75 0.08 0.15 0.08 0.05 0.84 Among homeowners within the area, 20% currently use electricity, 35% use natural gas, 40% use oil, and 5% use solar energy as the major source of heat for their homes. In the long run, percentage of homeowners within the area will be using solar energy as their major source of heating fuel? (Round your answer to one decimal place. Assume the trend continues.) X % what3. (a) A Markov process with 2 states is used to model the weather in a certain town. State 1 corresponds to a suny day. State 2 corresponds to a rainy day. The transition matrix for this Markov process is [0.7 0.4] 0.3 0.6 %3D (i) If today is rainy, what is the probability that tomorrow will be sunny? (ii) Find the steady state probability vector. (iii) In the long run, how many days a week are sunny?