cost tion and pars. He estimates the probability that it will fail at 0.3 if it is not overhauled, and 0.2 if it is overhauled. Neglect the possibility that the machine might fail more than once in the 4 ears ) Prepare a payoff matrix ) What should the businessman do to minimize his expected costs? a) Fill in the entries of the payoff matrox Fails Does Not Fail 1: 8 81 b) Would overhauling the machine before shipping minimize the businessman's expected costs? Overhaul Does Not Overhaul Yes No

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
Section: Chapter Questions
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A businessman is shipping a machine to another country. The cost of overhauling is $2700. If the machine fails in operation in the other country, it will cost $5500 in lost production and
repairs. He estimates the probability that it will fail at 0.3 if it is not overhauled, and 0.2 if it is overhauled. Neglect the possibility that the machine might fail more than once in the 4
years
(a) Prepare a payoff matrix.
(b) What should the businessman do to minimize his expected costs?
(a) Fill in the entries of the payoff matrix
Fails Does Not Fail
8 81
(b) Would overhauling the machine before shipping minimize the businessman's expected costs?
Overhaul
Does Not Overhaul
CETT
OYes
O No
Transcribed Image Text:A businessman is shipping a machine to another country. The cost of overhauling is $2700. If the machine fails in operation in the other country, it will cost $5500 in lost production and repairs. He estimates the probability that it will fail at 0.3 if it is not overhauled, and 0.2 if it is overhauled. Neglect the possibility that the machine might fail more than once in the 4 years (a) Prepare a payoff matrix. (b) What should the businessman do to minimize his expected costs? (a) Fill in the entries of the payoff matrix Fails Does Not Fail 8 81 (b) Would overhauling the machine before shipping minimize the businessman's expected costs? Overhaul Does Not Overhaul CETT OYes O No
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