Question 1a) Explain the differences between qualitative and quantitative forecasting techniques withexamples.b) What is time series? Describe each of the components in a time series.c) Following three forecasting techniques were used to predict the value of a time series.These are given in the following table.Forecasting Value FtTechnique 222Actual value ytTechnique 121Technique 3171927242024292625283128313235303938For each, calculate the mean absolute deviations (MAD) and sum of squares for forecasterror (SSFE) to determine which was most accurate.

a. Qualitative forecasting techniques: This is the kind of the forecasting which does not use data…

Answered: a) Explain the differences between…

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications

6th Edition

ISBN:9781119256830

Author:Amos Gilat

Publisher:Amos Gilat

Chapter1: Starting With Matlab

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1P

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the data contained in the datafile named crudecost shows the U.S. refiner acquisition cost of crude oil in dollars per barrel (energy information administration website,February 3, 2014).a. construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 19 11 16 10 17 12 (a) Construct a time series plot. 201 20 20 18 18- 18 18 16 16 14 2 2 4 6 7 1 2 4 6 7 2 4 5 6 2 4 6 Week Week Week Week What type of pattern exists in the data? The data appear to follow a horizontal pattern. The data appear to follow a seasonal pattern. O The data appear to follow a cyclical pattern. O The data appear to follow a trend pattern. (b) Develop the three-week moving average forecasts for this time series. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) Time Series Value Week Forecast 1 19 11 3 16 4 10 28.44 17 21.78 6 12 5.44 Compute MSE. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) MSE = 18.56 What is the forecast for week 7? 13
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The values of Alabama building contracts (in millions of dollars) for a 12-month period follow. (a) Construct a time series plot. 400 350 300 250 200+ O 1 2 3 4 Month 5 6 What type of pattern exists in the data? 7 240 340 220 260 280 310 8 9 150- 100 The data appear to follow a seasonal pattern. The data appear to follow a cyclical pattern. The data appear to follow a trend pattern. O The data appear to follow a horizontal pattern. 10 50 0 11 12 01 2 400 350 300 250 200- 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 34 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Month Time Series Value (in $ millions) 240 340 (b) Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using a = 0.2. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) 220 260 280 310 210 320 250 6 320 7 Month 230 220 210 320 250 320 230 220 de 8 9 10 11 12 13 r 3-Month Moving Average Forecast (in $ millions) 400 350+ 300 250 200+ 150- 100+ 50+ 0 01010101000 400 T 350 300 0 1 2 3 4 250+ 200+ 150+ 100+ α = 0.2 Forecast (in $ millions) 50…
A statistical program is recommended. A company that sells musical instruments has been in business for five years. During that time, sales of pianos increased from 13 units in the first year to 77 units in the most recent year. The firm's owner wants to develop a forecast of piano sales for the coming year. The quarterly sales data follow. Year Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Total YearlySales 1 5 2 1 5 13 2 7 4 4 14 29 3 11 3 5 16 35 4 12 9 7 22 50 5 19 10 13 35 77 (a) Deseasonalize the data. (Round your answers to four decimal places.) Year Quarter Sales Adjusted Deseasonalized Seasonal Sales Index 1 1 5 1.3407 1 2 2 0.5998 1 3 1 0.4842 1 4 5 1.5753 2 1 7 1.3407 2 2 4 0.5998 2 3 4 0.4842 2 4 14 1.5753 3 1 11 1.3407 3 2 3 0.5998 3 3 5 0.4842 3 4 16 1.5753 4 1 12 1.3407 4 2 9 0.5998 4 3 7 0.4842 4 4 22 1.5753 5 1 19 1.3407 5 2 10 0.5998 5 3…
QUESTION Samuel is a butchery vendor at a local open market. His daily income and the number of hours worked for the first ten days after the lockdown period is shown below: Day Income (N$) Number of hours 1 800 6 2 900 8 3 600 4 4 1200 5 5 1400 9 6 2000 9 7 1400 8 8 900 6 9 1300 7 10 1400 8 REQUIRED TO; determine whether it is the data time series or cross sectional? Motivate the reason. Calculate and interpret the following descriptive measures for the random variable Income: Mean Median Mode 33rd percentile Interquartile range 3. Calculate and interpret the covariance between the random variables Income and Number of hours worked. 4. Calculate and interpret the correlation coefficient between the random…
Consider the time series data in the table below (a-c all count as one problem) a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?b. Develop a three-week moving average for this time series. Compute MSEand a forecast for week 8. c. Use α = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing value for the time series.Compute MSE and a forecast for week 8.
A statistical program is recommended. A company that sells musical instruments has been in business for five years. During that time, sales of pianos increased from 12 units in the first year to 76 units in the most recent year. The firm's owner wants to develop a forecast of piano sales for the coming year. The quarterly sales data follow. Year Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 1 2 3 4 5 4 7 11 12 18 2 4 forecast for quarter 2 forecast for quarter 3 forecast for quarter 4 3 9 10 1 4 5 7 13 5 14 16 22 35 Total Yearly Sales 12 29 35 50 76 (a) Use the following dummy variables to develop an estimated regression equation to account for any seasonal and linear trend effects in the data: x₁ = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; x₂ = 1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; and x3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. (Let t = 1 denote the time series value in quarter 1 of year 1; t = 2 denote the time series value in quarter 2 of year 1; ... and t = 20 denote the time series value in quarter 4 of year 5. Round…

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a) Explain the differences between qualitative and quantitative forecasting techniques with examples. b) What is time series? Describe each of the components in a time series