Quarterly revenue ($millions) for Twitter for the first quarter of 2012 through the first quarter of 2014 are shown below: Quarter Revenue ($ millions) 1 54 2 68 3 82 4 112 114 139 7 169 243 250 A. Construct atime series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? B. Using Excel, develop a linear trend equation for this time series. C. Using Excel, develop a quadratic trend equation for this time series. d. Compare the MSE for each model. Which model appears to be better according to the MSE? e. Use the models developed in parts "b" and "c" to forecast revenue for the tenth quarter. f. Which of the two forecasts in part "e" would you use ? Why did you choose that particular model ? 18 19

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Quarterly revenue ($ millions) for Twitter for the first quarter of 2012 through the first quarter of 2014 are shown below:
Quarter
Revenue ($ millions)
54
7
68
8
3
82
9
4
112
10
114
11
6
139
12
7
169
13
8
243
14
250
15
16
A. Construct atime series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
17
B. Using Excel, develop a linear trend equation for this time series.
18
C. Using Excel, develop a quadratic trend equation for this time series.
d. Compare the MSE for each model. Which model appears to be better according to the MSE?
e. Use the models developed in parts "b" and "c" to forecast revenue for the tenth quarter.
f. Which of the two forecasts in part "e" would you use ? Why did you choose that particular model ?
19
20
21
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
Transcribed Image Text:4 Quarterly revenue ($ millions) for Twitter for the first quarter of 2012 through the first quarter of 2014 are shown below: Quarter Revenue ($ millions) 54 7 68 8 3 82 9 4 112 10 114 11 6 139 12 7 169 13 8 243 14 250 15 16 A. Construct atime series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? 17 B. Using Excel, develop a linear trend equation for this time series. 18 C. Using Excel, develop a quadratic trend equation for this time series. d. Compare the MSE for each model. Which model appears to be better according to the MSE? e. Use the models developed in parts "b" and "c" to forecast revenue for the tenth quarter. f. Which of the two forecasts in part "e" would you use ? Why did you choose that particular model ? 19 20 21 148 149 150 151 152 153 154
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