5) A person with a current wealth of $100,000 who faces the prospect of 25 percent chance of losing his or her $20,000 automobile through theft during the next year. Suppose this person's utility function is U(Y) = InY. a). If this person takes no action, what is the expected utility? b). What is the actuarially fair premium? What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. This

5) A person with a current wealth of $100,000 who faces the prospect of 25 percent chance of losing his or her $20,000 automobile through theft during the next year. Suppose this person's utility function is U(Y) = InY. a). If this person takes no action, what is the expected utility? b). What is the actuarially fair premium? What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. This

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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Utility Theory You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000. A. Apply Bayes’ decision rule to determine which alternative (take the insurance or not) maximizes yourexpected assets after one year.
4) Luke is planning an around-the-world trip on which he plans to spend $10,000. The utility from the trip is a function of how much she spends on it (Y ), given by U(Y) = InY a). If there is a 25 percent probability that Luke will lose $1000 of his cash on the trip, what is the trip's expected utility. b). Suppose that Luke can buy insurance to fully against losing the $1,000 with a actuarially fair insurance. What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. Will he purchase the insurance? c). Now suppose utility function is U(Y) = Y/1000 What is his expected utility if he purchase the insurance in b). Will he purchase the insurance?
19. An individual has initial wealth Wo = 3 and has the opportunity to invest some quantity of money x in an extremely risky corporate bond. With probability p= 1/4, the bond will be worth 10x at maturity. With probability 1 – p, it will be worth zero. The individual's utility function over final wealth is u(W) = W0.5. What is the level of investment x that maximizes expected utility? (а) 0 (b) 1 (c) 4/3 (d) V3 (e) 2
7. Consider an individual whose utility function over money is u(w) = 1+2w. (a) Is the individual risk-averse, risk-neutral, or risk-loving? Does it depend on w? (b) Suppose the individual has initial wealth ¥W and faces the possible loss of Y. The probability that the loss will occur is . Suppose insurance is available at price p, where p is not necessarily the fair price. Find the optimal amount of insurance the individual should buy. You may assume that the solution is interior. (c) Is there a price at which the individual will not want to buy any insurance? If so, find it. If no, explain.
5. Larry, who has wealth (w) of 100, faces a 25% probability that a catastrophe will eliminate all of his wealth. Larry's utility function is u(w) = In (w + 1). We will cover insurance on 12/2 in case you want to hold off on parts (b) and (d) until then. Characterize Larry's preference over risk. Is he risk-averse, risk-loving, or risk-neutral? а. Explain. b. What is the highest premium that Larry would accept for full insurance? C. Alternatively, suppose that Larry's utility is u (w) = e". Characterize his preference for risk and explain your answer. d. Under this alternative utility function, what is the highest premium that Larry would accept for full insurance? Explain.
2. Two individuals have the same income ($100,000), but different potential healthcare expenses. Person A's probability of having $80,000 in healthcare expenses is 0.5 percent. Person B's probability of having $800 in healthcare expenses is 50 percent. Assume your utility is U = VI where I is your income. Calculate each person's expected income and expected utility. Calculate each person's certainty equivalent. What does value of the certainty equivalent tell you about how much each person would be willing to insure against their loss?
Online sale Suppose a student is considering selling their used smartphone online. They can sell it now for $p or wait and sell it next month for a different price. If they wait, they will receive a random offer with an equal probability of being either $300 or $100. The student can only receive one offer and cannot sell the phone after the second month. 1. Calculate the expected price in the next month. 2. Suppose that the current price p is equal to 200. (a) Give a reason why selling today could be a good idea. (b) Give a reason why selling next month could be a good idea.
Adam presently makes about $40,000 of interest income per year. He realizes that there is about a 5 percent probability that he may suffer a heart attack. The cost of treatment will be about $20,000 if a heart attack occurs. A. Calculate Adam's expected utility level without any health insurance coverage. B. Calculate Adam's expected income without any insurance coverage. C. Suppose Adam must pay a premium of $1,500 for health insurance coverage with BlueCross Blue Shields insurance. Would he buy the health insurance? Why or why not?
Economics Fenner Smith from Workouts 13.2 is an investor who has preferences for risk o and returnu given by the utility function u = min (µ, 4 –0). He plans to invest $40,000. The market rate of return is 8 percent and the risk-free rate of return is 2 percent. The risk on the market portfolio is 2 percent. a. How much of his $40,000 will a utility maximizing investor hold in the market portfolio? Show this as Bundle A in your diagram. b. The market return rises to 16 percent.How much of his $40,000 will he hold in the market portfolio. Show this as Bundle C in your diagram. c. Calculate the Hicksian ČV for this change. Show this in your diagram as Bundle B.
2. Consider an individual with a current wealth of $100,000 who faces the prospect of a 25% chance of losing $20,000 through theft of her car during the next year. If the person’s utility function is U(X) = ln(X), where X is wealth: a. calculate expected utility without insurance, b. calculate the actuarially fair premium for full insurance, c. calculate expected utility with full insurance at the actuarially fair premium d. calculate the maximum amount the individual would pay for full insurance.
If a risk-neutral individual owns a home worth $200,000 and there is a three percent chance the home will be destroyed by fire in the next year, then we know 15. that: a) He is willing to pay much more than $6,000 for full cover. b) He is willing to pay much less than $6,000 for full cover. c) He is willing to pay at most $6,000 for full cover. d) None of the above are correct. e) All of the above are correct.
Exercise 5: Insurance Consider two individuals, Dave and Eva. Both Dave and Eva have initial wealth 810,000 and face a 40% chance of losing L = 450, 000. Dave has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function up(x) = x and Eva has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function ug (x) = VT. 1. What do you know about Dave's and Eva's risk preferences? 2. What is the most Dave would be willing to pay for complete insurance against the loss? 3. What is the most Eva would be willing to pay for complete insurance against the loss? Suppose they are each able choose insurance with any coverage level z [0, 1] (i.e. 0 0. 6. Is Eva's optimal choice full insurance, i.e. z = 1?