Week 8 Assignment

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American Military University *

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EDMG502

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Sociology

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Apr 3, 2024

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Week 8 Assignment Therien 1 Week 8 Assignment Marissa Therien American Military University EDMG502 December 31 st , 2023
Week 8 Assignment Therien 2 From the textbook, “Natural Hazards, Unnatural Disasters: The Economics of Effective Prevention” this paper will analyze topics in detailed analysis. Throughout this paper topics such as hazard clustering, insurance and government involvement, personal preparedness and the dangers of cities will be examined. The beginning of the text focuses on prevention of loss of live and destruction of property due to natural disasters and unnatural disasters. This source also examines outside research and prevention methods. Throughout the beginning of the World Bank Document (WBD), the four main findings often pertain to cities and how they are inherently dangerous, but in a unique way. From the text, the four main findings include; First, a disaster exposes the cumulative implications of many earlier decisions, some taken individually, others collectively, and a few by default. Second, prevention is often possible and cost-effective. Third, many measures—private and public—must work well together for effective prevention. Fourth, the exposure to hazards will rise in cities, but greater exposure need not increase vulnerability (pgs.1-2) The fourth main finding touches on the topic of cities and their inherently dangerous nature and displays the idea that by 2050 populations in cities will double due to natural disaster such as cyclones and earthquakes pushing people further into the cities. The text goes on to explain that vulnerability should not be a rising issue if the additional populations are managed well, however, if one were to look at a modern city during the COVID-19 pandemic disaster, one might see how hard management of a hazard in a city already is before doubling the population. Different parts of the world are subject to different and varying disasters, such as earthquakes and volcanoes (geophysical hazards) tend to cluster along fault boundaries characterized by mountainous terrain. Floods, cyclones, and landslides (hydrometeorological hazards) affect the
Week 8 Assignment Therien 3 eastern coastal regions of the major continents as well as some interior regions of North and South America, Europe, and Asia . (pg. 32). Hazard clustering such as these demonstrated by the text can have a higher rate of casualties and environmental damage due to the denser populations in areas of East and South Asia where hazard clustering is more prevalent due to the natural environment. Natural disasters do not care for income, and often middle-income countries are the most vulnerable – however it is believed that richer counties who are able to rebuild and support their own disaster efforts do not accurately report all hazards and disasters. Economists typically use individuals’ incomes or a nation’s output to measure prosperity. Income—or output—is surely an important but imperfect determinant of welfare .” (pg 41). When examining disaster recovery, countries with more economic preparedness or ability to spend can be seen to put their country and communities back to normal faster. The economy of a county is also affected in a disaster as to what the country can still produce and export to further their economy in a disaster. An example of this is the most recent hurricanes across Puerto Rico causing a shut down of the Bacardi rum factory – this negatively affected the economy, the work pool, and the ability of the factory to convert their equipment to make potable water ready in a disaster. While Bacardi had other undamaged factories to use, the economic loss during the time their equipment was damaged goes beyond the company and overall affects the territories economy. However, Puerto Rico is lucky to have the support of the United States, which generally speeds up the recovery process as a US territory with appropriate post-disaster funding and infrastructure. Poorer counties such as those across southeast Asia and other surrounding areas often do not have large government funding available to them and are stuck at an alarming slow rate of reverting back to pre-disaster status. A great example of this is the Russian-Ukrainian war; Russian is largely government funded and is
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Week 8 Assignment Therien 4 able to recover quickly and resupply when needed due to their economic structure. Ukraine on the other hand, with lesser economic freedom and flexibility overall, must dump what money it has left in the economy to total war effort, unable to rebuild and resupply, or support humanitarian aid efforts across their country. This war, while tragic, is a great example of economic disparity in a country and its ability to recover post-disaster or after experiencing hazard clusters. As seen throughout chapter 3 of the text, “ people generally choose the desired amount of prevention given their income—but a few may spend excessively to avoid all risks, and others too little. Taking risks implies that they will occasionally have adverse outcomes and must “cope” with them” . (pg. 70) The text goes on to display that the level of preparedness in an induvial or a family unit is the discretion of the individual or family unit. In many large-scale disasters, government direction is minimal as the disaster environment is dynamic and changing, and often direction and support only apply to a small marginal window before and after disaster. A good example of this is Hurricane Katrina -- the government sent out warnings to prepare or evacuate but left many with a lackluster idea of what to prepare for and how to prepare for it. As a result, many individuals who did not prepare for disaster before government command were stuck in shelters or having to be rescued from their homes. Individual and family units that did prepare or evacuate were able to ensure their own welfare and safety, not having to wait for or rely on government intervention. Part of induvial preparing can include evacuation, as seen in this example, to ensure one’s welfare and safety. A family unit with small children being prepared to evacuate the area of a predicted hurricane is most likely the best way to be prepared with young children who rely on other adults in the family unit for support. Looking at broader circumstances, individuals with little financial ability or physical space to store supplies are often
Week 8 Assignment Therien 5 unable to prepare for disaster. Individuals in cities who live in poorer areas are unable to prepare the same as a family living in the suburbs with more physical space and financial ability to plan and prepare for disaster. Additionally, looking down the east coast of the United States, many individuals and family units are moving towards a more generalized preparedness, with storerooms filled with food, fuel, potable water, and other necessities, some families even include small boats or life rafts for those who live in hurricane areas. Overall, preparedness is on the rise and “trending” post COVID-19 pandemic, and more individuals and family units are taking on topics of preparedness than ever before to ensure their own welfare and safety, but it is still often a personal choice and not something all individuals do well. Governments are best able to support preparedness by making sure the land and real estate markets are usable for all – allowing individuals to buy land where they are able to prepare and create supply. Additionally, creating and distributing disaster information, safety supplies, and other general information can be provided to the public on government behalf. Overall, the insurance industry can be seen as an important part of creating sustainability in the world. Insurance is incredibly helpful in the face of natural disasters that become more prevalent across the globe as insurance is able to provide risk management and protection in some cases, as well as being able to develop solutions that mitigate risk to life and property. There is no exactly correct answer for disaster and preparedness all the time, as each disaster is different from the previous and the next, naturally dynamic each time. The idea that preparedness both on the individual and governmental levels working together to prevent loss of life is a great start on disaster prep work needed in the future, including insurance as well. However, seeing how much of disaster preparedness is so personal and specific to individuals and family units, it can be hard to set and maintain an industry standard on preparedness as the
Week 8 Assignment Therien 6 individual, the insurance company, and the governmental aspect will all view the disaster and preparedness in different ways that benefits each party specifically. Disaster preparedness for natural and unnatural disasters is an incredible way to mitigate loss of life and minimize destruction when an individual is able to efficiently carry out preparedness, but will need the right support both financially, physically and from governmental resources. Disaster preparedness is so incredibly important, as failing to prepare is preparing to fail.
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Week 8 Assignment Therien 7 References McNabb, M. R. (2023, December 10). Hazard clustering or Cluster Copulation . Crisis Management Partners, LLC. https://crisismanagementpartnersllc.com/f/hazard-clustering- or-cluster-copulation Perry, R. W., & Quarantelli, E. L.   (Eds.). (2005).   What is a disaster?   New Answers to Old Questions.   United States of America: International Research Committee on Disasters. Person. (2010, November 15). Natural hazards, Unnatural Disasters: The Economics of Effective Prevention . World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2010/11/15/natural-hazards-unnatural- disasters-the-economics-of-effective-prevention The World Bank. (2010).   Natural hazards, unnatural disasters.   Washington DC: The World Bank.