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Earthquakes Reading Assignment
The Catastrophic Earth: Natural Disasters (The University of British Columbia)
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Earthquakes Reading Assignment
The Catastrophic Earth: Natural Disasters (The University of British Columbia)
Scan to open on Studocu
Studocu is not sponsored or endorsed by any college or university
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EOSC114 Reading Assignment, Summer 2019: Earthquakes
Student ID:___________________
Introducton and Learning Goals
Why reading assignments in this course? Good queston – please read the documentsposted on Canvas called “Homework: Introducton”
and “Homework: Reading Assignment
”. You can access these from HOME >> Homework.
Today’s reading is a Pulitzer Prize winning artcle “
The Really Big One
” by Kathryn Schulz, published in the New Yorker July
20, 2015. Access the artcle at htps://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big-one
. It is fairly long but very “easy” to read. Completng this Reading Assignment will help you improve your abilites to: 1.
Identfy hazards
to communites in North America’s Pacifc Northwest that are caused by earthquakes.
2.
Relate those specifc hazards to corresponding geological processes
. 3.
Judge the importance and costs of mitgaton strategies based on the likelihood of antcipated
consequences
.
4.
Characterize a scientfc reading in terms of the type of artcle, the author(s)’ intent and the type and reliability of their sources. 5.
Characterize the claims made by authors in terms of arguments and various types of supportngevidence. Instructons. REVIEW THESE CAREFULLY; DON’T MAKE GUESSES ABOUT YOUR TASKS
1.
First skim all questons to fnd out what toexpect.
2.
Find the artcle online at
htps://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big-one
.
3.
Complete thisWorksheet during or afer reading theartcle
4.
THEN, afer you have completed thisWorksheet, go online to Canvas to write the Reading Assignment Quiz.
a.
Time available for online submission is limited. Do the reading andWorksheet BEFORE goingonline.
b.
Online questons are automatcally gradable versions of SOME of these Worksheetquestons.
c.
Each student will get a diferent subset of thesequestons.
5.
Importantnotes
a.
Regarding EOSC 114 Reading Assignments from past terms
: This reading assignment AND the questons for the Quiz are diferent from EOSC 114reading assignments from past terms
1
.
b.
THE MOST COMMON ERROR in the Reading Assignment Quiz is not reading the questons carefully. The order in which questons are posed in the Quiz may difer from the Worksheet, the answer optons are randomized, AND each student gets a diferent subset of questons. Please write your Quiz carefully, with your Worksheet besideyou.
c.
Working with peers on homework is OK, but copying the work of others is cheatng and will not help you succeed. Read UBC’s Students Code of Conduct and our strict rules regarding academic integrity at
htp://www.calendar.ubc.ca/vancouver/index.cfm?tree=3,54,111,959
1
.
d.
Note there may be one or more questons about this assignment in future Quizzes orFinal Exam.
e.
Questons in this Worksheet have checkboxes instead of numbers to avoid confusion with the numberingsystem in the Reading Assignment Quiz.
f.
Note that this course has students in non-science and science disciplines, frst and fourth year-levels andeveryone in between. Some tasks may seem “easy” for some students but will be challenging forothers.
1This Worksheet copyright © 2018, F. Jones, L. Porrit and UBC. All rights reserved. That means re-distributng these materials to anyone or the web is against copyright law and UBC takes intellectual property rights seriously. See htps://copyright.ubc.ca/guidelines-and-resources/faq/
.
Summer 2019, EOSC 114 Earthquakes Reading Assignment
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Step 1:Processes described by the artcle
What was the estmated cost of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake according to this artcle? Enter your value as a number without units. For example, $1 million should be entered as 1,000,000. ____220, 000, 000, 000______________
What is the maximum magnitude of an earthquake that might be antcipated for the Cascadia Subducton Zone or CSZ?Enter as a number,for example, 5.6______ 9.2___________
According to the artcle, a full release willresult in a predicted maximum
height of the tsunami wave of more than __30.84____ metres. Remember to convert from feet to metres and enter as a number,for example,16.
According to the artcle, a full release will result in a predicted tsunami wave speed
of “more than” _21.57_____ kilometres per hour.Remember to convert from miles per hour given in the artcleand enter as a number,for example,42.
The artcle gives a range of values for the elevaton in millimetres that North America’s western edge is bulging upwards
each year as a result of pressure from the Juan da Fuca plate.
What is the minimum amount of bulging each year in units of METRES per year? ___0.003___Convert millimetres to metres!
What is themaximum amount of bulging each year in units of METRES per year? __0.004____
What is theaverage amount of bulging each year in units of METRES per year? ___0.035___
How many years have passed between 2017 and the last known major CSZ earthquake? _317_____years.
@Given these values you found, if a CSZ earthquake occurred in 2017, how far would the western edge of North America
have dropped down afer all that bulging was “released” by that earthquake?
NOTE: The artcle says “
…will drop by as much as six feet and rebound thirty to a hundred feed to the west…
” Do NOT use these values – use the values found in the questons above.
What is theminimum amount dropped down (sank) if a CSZ earthquake occurredin 2017? _-0.003_____metres (not millimetres)
What is themaximum amount dropped down (sank)if a CSZ earthquake occurredin 2017? __-0.004____metres
What is theaverage amount dropped down (sank)if a CSZ earthquake occurs in 2017? _-0.035_____metres
Certain typesof seismic waves were discussed in the artcle. Which type was NOT discussed in the artcle?
o
surface waves (of various types including Love waves, Raleigh waves, etc.)
o
compressional waves o
shear waves -------------------------
Which type of seismic waves were characterized in the artcle as “
not very harmful, but potentally very useful
”?
o
surface waves (of various types including Love waves, Raleigh waves, etc.)
o
compressional waves -----------------------
o
shear waves
Which part of the Pacifc Northwest is NOT discussed much in this artcle and not included in the FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) reports?
o
Northern California
o
Northern Oregon
o
Northern Washington State
o
Southern Britsh Columbia --------
o
Southern Oregon
o
Southern Washington State
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@Consider when a large tsunami occurs andPachena Bay (now the campground) needs help, disaster relief supplies are fown to the internatonal airport near Victoria.Which of the following towns has the most reasonable combinaton of short distance for trucking supplies from Victoria airport and then a reasonably short distance for subsequent helicopter air-lif into Pachena Campground?
(Hint: In google maps, search for “Pachena Campground” to fnd the correct startng point. Help for using google maps “measure distance”tool are outlined at: htps://support.google.com/maps/answer/1628031?
co=GENIE.Platorm%3DDesktop&hl=en
).
o
Courtenay
o
Nanaimo
o
Port Alberni --------
o
Port Renfrew
o
Vancouver
According to this artcle, what informaton led to understanding the impact on the community at Pachena Bay (now the campground) due to the last great CSZ earthquake? o
analysis of sea foor core samples ----------------
o
dendrochronology of trees in the “ghost forest”
o
long-term records of tsunami recorded in Japan
o
oral historyof local frst-natons communites
o
computer-based modelling of the seismic behavior of the subducton zone
Consider the sequence of discoveries that led to understanding of CSZ earthquake history and severity.Put the following list of informaton in order from earliest to most recently established (1=EARLIEST; 6=MOST RECENT). All are in the artcle but somewhat “buried” within the narratve startng around paragraph 19.
NOTE the order of these discoveries or observatons is NOT the order in which the authors discuss them. Check the
dates, and think logically.
____4__
Dendrochronology on trees in the ghost forest reveal all trees died at once.
___2___
A chief of the Huu-ay-aht First Naton tells the broader, non-indigenous community about a devastatng event experienced by Pacifc Ocean coastal communites many generatons ago.
___1___
A tsunami with no apparent cause is observed and recorded in Japan.
___5___
A CSZ mega-quake determined to have occurred in 1700 is matched to Japan’s historical record of an orphan tsunami. ___6___
Sea-foor coring yields a detailed 10,000-year history of CSZ earthquakes.
___3___
Discovery of a “ghost forest”.
Step 2: Consequences and mitgaton
Given the frst-person experiences recounted by seismologist Dr. Goldfnger, what Mercalli intensity level did the city of Kashiwa experience due to the Tohoku earthquake? For the defniton of intensity levels, see the USGS website htps://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/topics/mercalli.php
. Choose one opton:
o
I to II
o
III to IV
o
V to VI
o
VII to VIII
o
IX to X ---------------------
What is one example of informaton from the text that helped you draw this conclusion? Answer in one sentence with your OWN words.
__________The earthquake with the magnitude of 9.0 lasted for about 4 minutes_____________________________________________________________________________________
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From the descripton of what it was like to be outside for 4 minutes (frst 8 paragraphs of the artcle), what did you fnd most compelling as a descripton of how frightening
such an event might be? Write using your OWN words. _The most frightening descripton was how the buildings were moving back and forth___________________________________________________________________________________________
___
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
Check your estmate of Mercalli intensity level by using the data provided on the USGS earthquake event page.First, go to
this website: htp://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/ofcial20110311054624120_30#dyf
Follow these 5 steps to set up this fgure:
1.
Click the map to open an interactve map. Scroll orclick on the
+/–keys to
zoom in/out. Kashiwa is 32km northeast of Tokyo (in Japanese maps, this town
is called “Kashiwa-Shi”. 2.
Add/remove intensity data
as coloured triangles via the layers icon on the top
right(encircled on the fgure on right), and click “ShakeMap Statons”.
3.
Click any of the coloured triangles
to see its details.
4.
Check the lattude/longitudeof where your mouse/pointer is on the map,
which is shownas numbers at botom right of the map. 5.
Find the lattude/longitude of Kashiwa.
Lattude of Kashiwa__35.88____ degrees North (no words, just numbers to 2 decimal places)
Longitude of Kashiwa __139.98____ degrees East (no words, just numbers to 2 decimal places)
Now, based on measurements shown at triangles near Kashiwa, what value on the Mercalli Scale is most appropriate
for Kashiwa? ___7___.Enter a number or Roman Numeral.
Find the city of Sendai on the map; it is at 38.26 °N, 140.89 °E.Within anarea less than 40 km from Sendai, the measured intensity levels are: MINIMUM__7____ and MAXIMUM __9____. Enter numbers or Roman Numerals.
Step 3: Characterizing the artcle (0.5 points for each
TRUE /FALSE
or YES / NO
queston)
Informaton about any feld of expertse can be obtained from many sources, with various degrees of reliability. In this secton we consider the author’s intentons, the types of sources used to support their arguments or “story”, and how evidence was used in those arguments. Please review the defnitons for a “primary”, “secondary” and “tertary” source at: htp://scwrl.ubc.ca/student-resources/fnding-identfying-and-citng-sources/identfying-diferent-types-of-sources/
For each “characteristc” of the artcle we’ve read choose TRUE
or FALSE
. (On the Reading Assignment Quiz, read each queston carefully to ensure you are answering the queston correctly as questons in the Quiz may be listed in a diferent
order than in this Worksheet.)
FALSE
Our artcle was writen by the author(s) mainly to present their own previously unpublished new developments or discoveries.
TRUE
The central message of our paper was based predominantly on work already presented in earlier publicatons or other forms of communicaton.
TRUE
Our reading is mainly targetng a general non-scientfc audience.
TRUE
The content in our reading is presented in a non-technical manner, without
presentng a complete “chain of evidence” using formal references and citatons.
FALSE
This artcle is published in a peer reviewed journal (disregarding comments from an editor).
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The main
purpose or context for this reading is to ______. (
HINT
: consider where or how it was published.)
o
ofer social commentary to any reader
o
provide news for the general public ------------------------
o
explain some scientfc maters to the general public
o
provide informaton for a person or organizaton who requested it
o
present and discuss recommendatons about scientfc priorites in the peer-reviewed literature
o
communicate new scientfc methods, procedures or discoveries to experts in the subject
Now, based on your choices above and the summary about source types referred to above, what kind of reference is our artcle best describedas?
o
primary
o
secondary
o
tertary ---------------------
What types of sources were used by the author(s)? Choose TRUE
or FALSE
.
TRUE
One or more citatons of primary or secondary sources were included in a reference list.
FALSE
A bibliography including resources NOT cited in the artcle was included.
FALSE
One or more citatons of tertary sources were included in a reference list.
TRUE
One or more direct quotes from named experts were used by this author to support or justfy arguments.
TRUE
Work of experts was referenced in the writng but not cited in a reference list.
FALSE
One or more direct quotes from “non-experts” were used as sources by this author.
What writng strategies
were used in this artcle? Choose TRUE
or FALSE
.
TRUE
Assertons and arguments were supported by evidence based on scientfc observatons, measurements or experiments done by scientsts other
than the author(s).
FALSE
Assertons and arguments were supported by evidence based on scientfc observatons, measurements or experiments done primarily by the author(s)
.
FALSE
Narratve or personal stories were incorporated into the artcle.
FALSE
The author(s) targeted human emoton as part of their writng strategies.
TRUE
Descriptons of “aesthetc” aspects like scenes, views and impressions were included.
FALSE
The author(s) identfed at least some uncertaintes, incomplete aspects or needs for further work.
An essental characteristc of scientfc writng is that authors will make (or state) claims and support those claims using arguments. Each argument will consist of logic and reasoning that depends upon reproducible observatons, evidence and data.What is the most reasonable way of describing the following statements paraphrased from our artcle? Choose from optons i to iv.
i.
an observaton or quantty measured withinstruments
ii.
an estmate based on calculatons using parameters and assumptons that could be varied to yielda range ofvalues
iii.
a conclusion, theory or ‘understanding’ that is well established, based on a variety of consistent observatons and/or experiments and logicalinferences
iv.
a suggested explanaton that was (or is) not well established by a variety of observatons or experiments
___i___“
Ocean botom cores contained layers of deposits from undersea landslides
.”
__iii____
“
Tectonic plates are those slabs of mantle and crust that, in their epochs-long drif, rearrange the earth’s contnents and oceans
.”
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__i____“
Yamaguchi took samples of the cedars and found that they had died at the same tme”
.
___i___“
Trees of the so-called ghost forest on Washington’s coast died slowly as sea water gradually rose
.”
Which one of these statements most clearly artculates the overarching
claim of thisartcle?
o
We (humanity) know enough about mega-quakes and resultng tsunami to take actons that will save lives but society seems unwilling to take the necessary steps. -----------------------
o
Mega-quakes are difcult to predict so society is not prepared to try.
o
The town of Seaside, Oregon, is not sufciently prepared to do what’s needed to minimize the efects of a large tsunami arriving at its coast.
o
Mega-quakes experienced in Japan have provided good examples of what Western North America is likely to experience.
o
We do not yet know enough about the earthquake history of the Cascadia region to commit to any specifc mitgatng strategies.
o
Scientsts of many types are working hard individually and collaboratvely to understand both the history and likely future patern of megathrust earthquakes in the Cascadia region.
Was each of the following claims supported with arguments or discussions presented in this artcle? Choose YES
or NO
.
YES
“
The stuck edge of North America is compressing eastward at the rate of thirty to forty millimeters a year
”
NO
“
Rocks making up the edge of North America are young and stll relatvely elastc
”
Arguments that support claims. For each of the following, choose TRUE
if the statement given in italics is part of an argument that supports the corresponding claim (as paraphrased from the artcle). If not, choose FALSE
.
TRUE
The statement:
“
In 2009, he found some land for sale outside the inundaton zone, and proposed building a new K-12 campus there
” is part of an argument that supports the claim:
“
A mega-quake occurred in the Cascadia region in 1700.”
TRUE
The statement:
“
FEMA calculates that 3,000 schools will not survive a magnitude 9.0 earthquake in the Cascadia region
”
is part of an argument that supports the claim:
“
The region is not well prepared for the efects of a mega-quake.”
FALSE
The statement:
“
Samples of the sea foor were collected all along the Pacifc West Coast to determine where and when underwater landslides occurred
”
is part of an argument that supports the claim:
“
A mega-quake occurred in the Cascadia region in 1700.”
FALSE
The statement:
“
Dendrochronology in ‘ghost forest’ trees revealed that the date of the last growth rings in all trees was 1699
”
is part of an argument that supports the claim:
“
The region is not well prepared for the efects of a mega-quake.”
Arguments supported by data. Was each of the following arguments supported by describing or citng data, methods, or people responsible for the informaton? Choose YES
or NO
.
NO
“
North America bulges upwards an average of 3 mm to 4 mm per year
”
YES
“
We now know that the Pacifc Northwest has experienced forty-one subducton-zone earthquakes in the past ten thousand years”
YES
“
FEMA calculates that two thirds of railways and airports will collapse or be compromised in the earthquake”
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What kind of data are each of the following? Choose an opton to fll the blank.
The data on “
average recurrence interval of Cascadia megathrust earthquakes
” is bestdescribedas ______
.
o
a quantty or quanttes that were measured with instruments of some sort
o
informaton that was observed – i.e., seen or notced, not measured with instruments
o
data that was simulated, modelled or calculated ---------------------------
o
informaton collected from people, archives, records etc.
o
not really data at all
In the statement “
the frst sign that the Cascadia earthquake has begun will be a compressional wave
”,the exact arrival tme of that compressional wave is bestdescribedas ______
.
o
a quantty or quanttes that were measured with instruments of some sort --------------------
o
informaton that was observed – i.e., seen or notced, not measured with instruments
o
data that was simulated, modelled or calculated
o
informaton collected from people, archives, records etc.
o
not really data at all
The data on “historical writen accounts of tsunami occurrences in Japanese harbours”
are bestdescribedas ______
.
o
a quantty or quanttes that were measured with instruments of some sort
o
informaton that was observed – i.e., seen or notced, not measured with instruments
o
data that was simulated, modelled or calculated
o
informaton collected from people, archives, records etc. -------------------------
o
not really data at all
Step 4: Feedback questons
Name one thing you learned from reading this artcle that surprised you the most. ______________I learned that the efects of earthquake are measured in detail by the Mercalli intensity levels_________________________________________________________________________________
What is one queston you would like to ask to clarify some aspect of this reading? _____________________I would like to know when the next big one would occur__________________________________________________________________________
Do you have now, or have you ever had, any sort of Emergency Preparedness Kit? Please answer honestly – there are
no “correct” or “wrong” answers.
o
Yes.
o
Yes, I did in a previous home but I do not have one currently.
o
No, I need one but haven’t got around to making/buying one. ------------------
o
No, I don’t know what such a kit should contain.
o
No, I don’t think I’ll need one.
This Reading Assignment increased your knowledge or understanding about the underlying processes causing earthquakes andtsunami.
o
Strongly agree
o
Agree ---------------
o
Neutral
o
Disagree
o
Strongly disagree
This Reading Assignment increased your understanding of how society reacts to knowledge about naturaldisasters.
o
Strongly agree
o
Agree -----------------
o
Neutral
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o
Disagree
o
Strongly disagree
This Reading Assignment helped make the Earthquake Topic more interestng orrelevant.
o
Strongly agree ---------------
o
Agree
o
Neutral
o
Disagree
o
Strongly disagree
This Reading Assignment improved your ability to characterize types of scientfc artcles and the intent ofauthors.
o
Strongly agree
o
Agree -------------------
o
Neutral
o
Disagree
o
Strongly disagree
This Reading Assignment helped you appreciate how authors use claims, arguments andevidence.
o
Strongly agree
o
Agree -----------------
o
Neutral
o
Disagree
o
Strongly disagree
How ofen have you encountered this kind of scientfc writng in thepast?
o
Never
o
Once or twice
o
More than twice but probably fewer than ~10 tmes o
More than 10 tmes -----------------
How long did you spend actually working
on this Reading Assignment, including reading the artcle, completng the Worksheet and writng the Reading Assignment Quiz?__180____ minutes
. Enter numbers only, e.g., a half hour is“30”)
IMPORTANT REMINDERS:
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The MOST COMMON ERROR made by students in the past is not reading questons on the Homework Quiz carefully. So, work on your Quiz with this completed Worksheet beside you. Remember our CLASS CODE OF CONDUCT, and UBC’s strict rules regarding academic integrity. See htp://www.calendar.ubc.ca/vancouver/?tree=3,54,111,959
.
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