PenTech Corporation - Financial Projection (FIN 4596 Private Case) -Student Spreadsheet

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Temple University *

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3901

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Finance

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Apr 3, 2024

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PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Projections ($000) Actual Actual Actual Actual 2017 2018 2019 2020 Income Statement Revenue $ 325,000.0 $ 361,000.0 $ 397,000.0 $ 439,000.0 Cost of goods sold 223,500.0 246,960.0 272,125.0 300,205.0 Gross profit 101,500.0 114,040.0 124,875.0 138,795.0 Depreciation expense 12,300.0 14,000.0 15,500.0 16,400.0 Sales and marketing expense 40,800.0 45,600.0 49,100.0 54,200.0 Administrative expense 18,750.0 20,400.0 21,700.0 23,900.0 Total expenses 71,850.0 80,000.0 86,300.0 94,500.0 EBIT 29,650.0 34,040.0 38,575.0 44,295.0 Interest Expense 16,250.0 14,750.0 13,250.0 12,750.0 Pretax Profit 13,400.0 19,290.0 25,325.0 31,545.0 Tax 3,082.0 4,436.7 5,824.8 7,255.4 Net Income $ 10,318.0 $ 14,853.3 $ 19,500.3 $ 24,289.7 Balance Sheet
PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Projections ($000) Actual Actual Actual Actual 2017 2018 2019 2020 Cash $ 15,250.0 $ 5,938.0 $ 7,128.2 $ 15,573.9 Accounts receivable 28,960.0 34,200.0 36,860.0 39,900.0 Inventory 41,300.0 45,900.0 51,925.0 54,100.0 Total current assets 85,510.0 86,038.0 95,913.2 109,573.9 Property, Plant, and Equipment - net 381,300.0 383,100.0 383,500.0 385,100.0 Other long-term assets 3,500.0 4,250.0 5,075.0 5,435.0 Total Assets 470,310.0 473,388.0 484,488.2 500,108.9 Accounts Payable 20,600.0 23,570.0 25,600.0 28,050.0 Accrued Expenses 7,780.0 8,735.0 9,450.0 10,260.0 Total Current Liabilities 28,380.0 32,305.0 35,050.0 38,310.0 Debt - long-term 250,000.0 235,000.0 225,000.0 215,000.0 Other long-term liabilities 8,450.0 9,235.0 10,040.0 10,540.0 Total Liabilities 286,830.0 276,540.0 270,090.0 263,850.0 Common stock 100,000.0 100,000.0 100,000.0 100,000.0
PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Projections ($000) Actual Actual Actual Actual 2017 2018 2019 2020 Retained earnings 83,480.0 96,848.0 114,398.2 136,258.9 Total Liabilities and Equity $ 470,310.0 $ 473,388.0 $ 484,488.2 $ 500,108.9
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PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Projections ($000) Actual Actual Actual Actual 2017 2018 2019 2020 Revenue growth rate n/a 11.1% 10.0% 10.6% Common Size Revenue 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Cost of goods sold 68.8% 68.4% 68.5% 68.4% Gross profit 31.2% 31.6% 31.5% 31.6% Sales and marketing expense 12.6% 12.6% 12.4% 12.3% Administrative expense 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 5.4% EBITDA margin 12.9% 13.3% 13.6% 13.8% Depreciation 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% EBIT margin 9.1% 9.4% 9.7% 10.1% Interest expense 5.0% 4.1% 3.3% 2.9% Earning before tax 4.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.2% Taxes 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% Net Income 3.2% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% Ratios Accounts receivable - DSO 32.5 34.6 33.9 33.2
PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Projections ($000) Actual Actual Actual Actual 2017 2018 2019 2020 Inventory turnover 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.5 Other long-term assets % of revenue 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% Accounts payable - Days COS 33.6 34.8 34.3 34.1 13.1% 13.2% 13.3% 13.1% Other long-term liabilities as a % of Revenue 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% Dividend payout 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% Dividends $ 1,031.8 $ 1,485.3 $ 1,950.0 $ 2,429.0 $ 15,400.0 $ 15,800.0 $ 15,900.0 $ 18,000.0 Mantenance capx as a % of revenue 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% 4.1% Tax rate 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% Interest rate 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% Note 1: Accrued expense as a % of sales and marketing and administrative expenses Note 2: Maintenance capital expenditures exclude the cost of the new facility. They are capx to properly m Accrued expense as a % of See Note 1 below Maintenance Capital expenditures (2)
Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 $ 490,000.0 335,900.0 154,100.0 18,100.0 61,700.0 26,700.0 106,500.0 47,600.0 11,800.0 35,800.0 8,234.0 $ 27,566.0
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Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 $ 10,643.3 45,900.0 65,175.0 121,718.3 387,600.0 5,890.0 515,208.3 31,555.0 11,560.0 43,115.0 200,000.0 11,025.0 254,140.0 100,000.0
Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 161,068.3 $ 515,208.3
Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 11.6% 100.0% 68.6% 68.0% 68.0% 68.0% 68.0% 68.0% 31.4% 12.6% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 4.8% 13.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 9.7% 2.4% 7.3% 1.7% 5.6% 34.2 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0
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Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 34.3 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 13.1% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% $ 2,756.6 $ 20,600.0 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% maintain the facilities.
PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Revenue Projections ($000) Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Revenue Projections Greenville $ 131,060.0 $ 137,613.0 $ 144,493.7 $ 151,718.3 $ 159,304.2 $ 167,269.5 Westerville 88,200.0 $ 88,200.0 $ 83,790.0 $ 78,762.6 $ 73,249.2 $ 79,109.2 Pomona 120,450.0 $ 122,859.0 $ 129,002.0 $ 135,452.0 $ 142,224.6 $ 149,335.9 Beaumont 150,290.0 $ 163,816.1 $ 181,835.9 $ 201,837.8 $ 224,040.0 $ 248,684.4 Springfield 70,000.0 Total revenue $ 490,000.0 Total revenue growth rate Growth Rates Greenville 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Westerville 0.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% 8.0% Pomona 2.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Beaumont 9.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% Springfield n/a 45.0% 35.0% 25.0% 20.0%
PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Supporting Schedules ($000) Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 PP&E Scehdule - Net Beginning balance n/a Maintenance capital expenditures n/a New facility capital expenditures n/a Depreciation n/a Ending Balance $ 387,600.0 Retained Earnings Schedule Beginning balance n/a Net income n/a Dividends n/a Ending balance $ 161,068.3
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PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Debt Related Ratios ($000) Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Interest Coverage EBIT/Interest Expense Debt to Equity Long-Term Debt/ Equity Debt to EBITDA Long-Term Debt/EBITDA
PENTECH CORPORATION - FIN 4596 - SPRING 2023 Valuation ($000) Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 EBITDA $ 65,700.0 Assumed Multiple 11.0x 11.0x 11.0x 11.0x 11.0x 11.0x Enterprise Value $ 722,700.0 Add: Cash $ 10,643.3 Less: Debt $ 200,000.0 Equity $ 533,343.3 Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in Equity 2021 to 2026