Operations Management
Operations Management
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780132921145
Author: Jay Heizer
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter F, Problem 5DQ

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5. What is the role of random numbers in a Monte Carlo simulation?

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QUESTION 3 (Using the same problem) A vendor for the local ballpark food stand is questioning whether to stock his concession with a large or small inventory. He believes that it will depend upon the size of the crowd. He has developed a payoff matrix for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd). What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)? PROFIT ($) Average Crowd $50,000 $70,000 .50 Alternatives Large Inventory Small Inventory Probability * A) $68,400 B) $78,400 C) $10,000 D) -$20,000 O E) $51,500 Large Crowd $220,000 $90,000 .20 Small Crowd -$2,000 -$5,000 30
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