Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781285869681
Author: Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Question
Chapter C, Problem 3.13A
Summary Introduction
To design: A supplier management process for Company ID that will be focussing on the prevention of defects on the supplier's side.
Case summary:
Person BE is a quality engineer at Company ID. The commodity team has been assigned the responsibility of evaluation, negotiating, and selecting suppliers to be used in the company. The suppliers have a major impact on product quality. Person BE received a call regarding a manufacturing problem repeating continuously at a plant. Person BE was focused on identifying the process responsible for the defective component.
Managing supplier quality:
The management of supplier quality is an important aspect of any type of business that relies on the suppliers for the provision of goods and services. The activities involved are the management, monitoring, and response to changes in the ability of the supplier to satisfy the needs of the customers with the agreed upon quality.
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Scenario
You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill.
Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials
they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast
error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%.
You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on
five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential
Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given
data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast.
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next
month.
Remember to select the forecasting technique that produces the forecast error nearest to zero. For example:
a. Naïve Forecast is 230 and the Forecast Error is -15.
b. 3-Month Moving Forecast is 290 and the Forecast Error is -75.
c. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .2 is 308 and the Forecast Error is -93.
d. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .5 is 279 and the Forecast Error is -64.
e. Seasonal Forecast is 297 and the Forecast Error is -82.
The forecast for the next month would be 230 as the Naïve Forecast had the Forecast Error closest to zero with a
-15. This forecasting technique was the best performing technique for that month. You do not need to do any
external analysis-the forecast error for each strategy is already calculated for you in the tables below.
Naïve
Month Period
Actual
Demand
Naïve Forecast
Error
3-
Month
Moving
Forecast
3-
Month
Moving…
Chapter C Solutions
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Ch. C - Avion, Inc. Susan Dey and Bill Mifflin,...Ch. C - Prob. 1.2ACh. C - Prob. 1.3ACh. C - Prob. 1.4ACh. C - Prob. 1.5ACh. C - Avion, Inc. Susan Dey and Bill Mifflin,...Ch. C - Avion, Inc. Susan Dey and Bill Mifflin,...Ch. C - Prob. 1.8ACh. C - Prob. 1.9ACh. C - Prob. 1.10A
Ch. C - The Global Sourcing Wire Harness Decision Sheila...Ch. C - The Global Sourcing Wire Harness Decision Sheila...Ch. C - The Global Sourcing Wire Harness Decision Sheila...Ch. C - The Global Sourcing Wire Harness Decision Sheila...Ch. C - The Global Sourcing Wire Harness Decision Sheila...Ch. C - Prob. 3.1ACh. C - Prob. 3.2ACh. C - Prob. 3.3ACh. C - Prob. 3.4ACh. C - Prob. 3.5ACh. C - Prob. 3.6ACh. C - Prob. 3.7ACh. C - Prob. 3.8ACh. C - Prob. 3.9ACh. C - Prob. 3.10ACh. C - Prob. 3.11ACh. C - Prob. 3.12ACh. C - Prob. 3.13ACh. C - Prob. 5.1SACh. C - Prob. 5.2SACh. C - Prob. 5.3SACh. C - Prob. 5.4SACh. C - Prob. 5.1SBCh. C - Prob. 5.2SBCh. C - Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at...Ch. C - Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at...Ch. C - Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at...Ch. C - Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at...Ch. C - Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at...Ch. C - Prob. 6.2ACh. C - Prob. 6.3ACh. C - Prob. 6.4ACh. C - Prob. 6.5A
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