Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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Chapter 9, Problem 53P
Summary Introduction
To determine: Whether to attempt two-point shot or three-point shot.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to
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Which of the following gambles has the largest objective risk?
20% chance of winning $100 and 80% chance of losing $100
50% chance of winning $10,000 and 50% chance of losing $10,000
50% chance of winning nothing and 50% chance of losing $100
50% chance of winning $100 and 50% chance of winning nothing
If a student attends every business analytics class, the probability of passing the course is 0.90; but if the student only attends randomly, then the probability of passing the course is 0.30. If a student fails, he or she can take a makeup exam where the probability of passing is 0.60 if the student has attended every class. This probability of passing the makeup exam drops to 0.20 if the student has attended at random. Passing the course is worth 5 credits. Full-time attendance "costs" 3 credits in terms of energy and time, whereas random attendance "costs" only 1 credit.
Draw a decision tree and use the decision tree to decide which is the best attendance pattern to adopt. Assume that all failing students take the makeup exam and that the payoff for failing is equal to 0 credit.
Draw a decision tree and determine the payoff for each decision and event node.
Which alternative should the student choose?
The Dreamscape Production (DP)) is considering producing a pilot for a comedy series in the hope of selling it to a major television network. The network may decide to reject the series, but it may also decide to purchase the rights to the series for either one or two years. At this point in time, DP may either produce the pilot and wait for the network's decision or transfer the rights for the pilot and series to a competitor for P100 million. DP's decision alternatives and profits (in millions of pesos) are as follows:
State of Nature
Decision Alternative Reject, S1 1 Year, S2 2 Years, S3
Produce pilot, d1 -100 50 150
Sell to competitor, d2 100 100 100
The probabilities for the state of nature are P(S1) = 0.20, P(S2) = 0.30, and P(S3)…
Chapter 9 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 1PCh. 9.2 - Prob. 2PCh. 9.2 - Prob. 3PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 6PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 9.4 - Explain in some detail how the PrecisionTree...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 9PCh. 9.4 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 11PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 12PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 13PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 17PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 18PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 19PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 21PCh. 9.5 - The model in Example 9.3 has only two market...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 26PCh. 9.6 - Prob. 27PCh. 9.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 9 - Prob. 30PCh. 9 - Prob. 31PCh. 9 - Prob. 32PCh. 9 - Prob. 34PCh. 9 - Prob. 36PCh. 9 - Prob. 37PCh. 9 - Prob. 38PCh. 9 - Prob. 39PCh. 9 - Prob. 46PCh. 9 - Prob. 48PCh. 9 - Prob. 53PCh. 9 - Prob. 67PCh. 9 - Prob. 68PCh. 9 - Prob. 69PCh. 9 - Prob. 70PCh. 9 - Prob. 71PCh. 9 - Prob. 72PCh. 9 - Prob. 73PCh. 9 - Prob. 74PCh. 9 - Prob. 75PCh. 9 - Prob. 76PCh. 9 - Prob. 77P
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