Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780134741062
Author: Lee J. Krajewski, Manoj K. Malhotra, Larry P. Ritzman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Textbook Question
Chapter 8, Problem 10P
A convenience store recently started to carry a new brand of soft drink. Management is interested in estimating future sales volume to determine whether it should continue to carry the new brand or replace it with another brand. The table here provides the number of cans sold per week. Use both the trend projection with regression and the exponential smoothing (let
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By selecting Cigna Accredo pharmacy that i identify in my resand compare the current feedback system against the “Characteristics of a Good Multiple Source Feedback Systems” described in section 8-3-3. What can be improved? As a consultant, what recommendations would you make?
Scenario
You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill.
Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials
they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast
error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%.
You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on
five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential
Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given
data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast.
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next
month.
Remember to select the forecasting technique that produces the forecast error nearest to zero. For example:
a. Naïve Forecast is 230 and the Forecast Error is -15.
b. 3-Month Moving Forecast is 290 and the Forecast Error is -75.
c. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .2 is 308 and the Forecast Error is -93.
d. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .5 is 279 and the Forecast Error is -64.
e. Seasonal Forecast is 297 and the Forecast Error is -82.
The forecast for the next month would be 230 as the Naïve Forecast had the Forecast Error closest to zero with a
-15. This forecasting technique was the best performing technique for that month. You do not need to do any
external analysis-the forecast error for each strategy is already calculated for you in the tables below.
Naïve
Month Period
Actual
Demand
Naïve Forecast
Error
3-
Month
Moving
Forecast
3-
Month
Moving…
Chapter 8 Solutions
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
Ch. 8 - Figure 8.9 shows summer air visibility...Ch. 8 - Kay and Michael Passe publish What‘s...Ch. 8 - Demand for oil changes at Garcia’s Garage has...Ch. 8 - Prob. 2PCh. 8 - Ohio Swiss Milk Products manufactures and...Ch. 8 - A manufacturing firm has developed a skills test,...Ch. 8 - The materials handling manager of a manufacturing...Ch. 8 - Marianne Kramer, the owner of Handy Man Rentals,...Ch. 8 - Sales for the past 12 months at Computer Success...Ch. 8 - Bradley’s Copiers sells and repairs photocopy...
Ch. 8 - Consider the sales data for Computer Success given...Ch. 8 - A convenience store recently started to carry a...Ch. 8 - Community Federal Bank in Dothan, Alabama,...Ch. 8 - The number of heart surgeries performed at...Ch. 8 - The following data are for calculator sales in...Ch. 8 - Prob. 14PCh. 8 - Forrest and Dan make boxes of chocolates for which...Ch. 8 - The manager of Alaina’s Garden Center must make...Ch. 8 - The manager of a utility company in the Texas...Ch. 8 - Franklin Tooling, Inc., manufactures specialty...Ch. 8 - Create an Excel spreadsheet on your own that can...Ch. 8 - Prob. 20PCh. 8 - Using the data in Problem 20 and the Time-Series...Ch. 8 - Prob. 22PCh. 8 - Cannister, Inc., specializes in the manufacture of...Ch. 8 - The Midwest Computer Company serves a large number...Ch. 8 - A certain food item at P=0.20 (with a combination...Ch. 8 - Prob. 26PCh. 8 - Prob. 27PCh. 8 - A manufacturing firm seeks to develop a better...Ch. 8 - How much does the forecasting process at Deckers...Ch. 8 - Prob. 2VCCh. 8 - What factors make forecasting at Deckers...Ch. 8 - Prob. 4VCCh. 8 - Prob. 5VCCh. 8 - Comment on the forecasting system being used by...Ch. 8 - Develop your own forecast for bow rakes for each...
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