FOUND.OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT-ACCESS
FOUND.OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT-ACCESS
17th Edition
ISBN: 9781260519969
Author: BLOCK
Publisher: MCG
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Chapter 6, Problem 1P

Gary’s Pipe and Steel Company expects sales next year to be $800,000 if the economy is strong, $500,000 if the economy is steady, and $350,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 20 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 50 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 30 percent probability of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for next year?

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1. Austin Electronics expects sales next year to be $900,000 if the economy is strong, $650,000 if the economy is steady, and $375,000 if the economy is weak. The firm believes there is a 15 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 60 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 25 percent probabil- ity of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for next year?
Gary’s Pipe and Steel company expects sales next year to be $910,000 if the economy is strong, $655,000 if the economy is steady, and $376,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 10 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 55 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 35 percent probability of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for next year?
Scenarios: You work in the macroeconomic research department of an investment bank. Based on your modelling of the economy, you think that in the next few months US GDP will evolve according to three basic scenarios: Scenario A: GDP will rise 3%. This will send the S&P ETF to 414. Scenario B: GDP will stagnate. S&P ETF will stay at 407. Scenario C: GDP will fall 2%. This will send the S&P ETF to 400. Compute the payoff and net payoff of a bear spread strategy built with put options in the three scenarios above. The put options should have strikes 405 and 409 and mature in February. Draw the profile of the bear spread strategy. Use the data in Table 2. Please show your calculations. Discuss your result.  You also observe the following market for European Call and Put options on the S&P 500 ETF: Today: 10th January 2023 Spot index level: 407 LOOK AT ATTACHED IMAGE
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