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Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning from Data (4th Edition)
4th Edition
ISBN: 9780321997838
Author: Alan Agresti, Christine A. Franklin, Bernhard Klingenberg
Publisher: PEARSON
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Textbook Question
Chapter 5.1, Problem 5PB
World Cup 2014 The powerrank.com website (http://thepowerrank.com/2014/06/06/world-cup-2014-winprobabilities-from-the-power-rank/) listed the
- 1. Brazil, 35.9%.
- 2. Argentina, 10.0%.
- 3. Spain, 8.9%.
- 4. Germany, 7.4%.
- 5. Netherlands, 5.7%.
- 6. Portugal, 3.9%.
- 7. France, 3.4%.
- 8. England, 2.8%.
- 9. Uruguay, 2.5%.
- 10. Mexico, 2.5%.
- 11. Italy, 2.3%.
- 12. Ivory Coast, 2.0%.
- 13. Colombia, 1.5%.
- 14. Russia, 1.5%.
- 15. United States, 1.1%.
- 16. Chile, 1.0%.
- 17. Croatia, 0.9%.
- 18. Ecuador, 0.8%.
- 19. Nigeria, 0.8%.
- 20. Switzerland, 0.7%.
- 21. Greece, 0.6%.
- 22. Iran, 0.6%.
- 23. Japan, 0.6%.
- 24. Ghana, 0.6%.
- 25. Belgium, 0.4%.
- 26. Honduras, 0.3%.
- 27. South Korea, 0.3%.
- 28. Bosnia-Herzegovina, 0.3%.
- 29. Costa Rica, 0.3%.
- 30. Cameroon, 0.2%.
- 31. Australia, 0.2%.
- 32. Algeria, 0.1%.
- a. Interpret Brazil’s probability of 35.9%, which was based on computer simulations of the tournament. Is it a relative frequency or a subjective interpretation of probability?
- b. Germany would emerge as the actual winner of the 2014 World Cup. Does this indicate that the 7.4% chance of Germany winning, which was calculated before the tournament, should have been 100% instead?
Expert Solution & Answer
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Chapter 5 Solutions
Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning from Data (4th Edition)
Ch. 5.1 - Probability Explain what is meant by the long-run...Ch. 5.1 - Testing a coin Your friend decides to flip a coin...Ch. 5.1 - Vegetarianism You randomly sample 10 people in...Ch. 5.1 - Airline accident deaths Airplane safety has been...Ch. 5.1 - World Cup 2014 The powerrank.com website...Ch. 5.1 - Random digits Consider a random number generator...Ch. 5.1 - Polls and sample size A pollster agency wants to...Ch. 5.1 - Heart transplant Before the first human heart...Ch. 5.1 - Nuclear war You are asked to use your best...Ch. 5.1 - Simulate coin flips Use the web app Random Numbers...
Ch. 5.1 - Unannounced pop quiz A teacher announces a pop...Ch. 5.2 - Student union poll Part of a student opinion poll...Ch. 5.2 - Random digit A single random digit (from 09) is...Ch. 5.2 - Pop quiz A teacher gives a four-question...Ch. 5.2 - More true-false questions Your teacher gives a...Ch. 5.2 - Rolling two dice Some friends are playing a game...Ch. 5.2 - Two girls A couple plans to have two children....Ch. 5.2 - Three children A couple plans to have three...Ch. 5.2 - Wrong sample space A couple plans to have four...Ch. 5.2 - Insurance Every year the insurance industry spends...Ch. 5.2 - Cell phone and case At the local cell phone store,...Ch. 5.2 - Seat belt use and auto accidents Based on records...Ch. 5.2 - Protecting the environment When the General Social...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 25PBCh. 5.2 - Newspaper sales You are the director of newspaper...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 27PBCh. 5.3 - Recidivism rates A 2014 article from Business...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 29PBCh. 5.3 - Audit and low income Table 5.3 on audit status and...Ch. 5.3 - Religious affiliation The 2012 Statistical...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 32PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 33PBCh. 5.3 - Go Celtics! Larry Bird, who played pro basketball...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 35PBCh. 5.3 - Homeland security According to an article in The...Ch. 5.3 - Down syndrome again Example 8 discussed the Triple...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 38PBCh. 5.3 - Happiness in relationship Are people happy in...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 40PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 41PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 42PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 43PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 44PBCh. 5.3 - Family with two children For a family with two...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 46PBCh. 5.4 - Birthdays of presidents Of the first 44 presidents...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 48PBCh. 5.4 - Lots of pairs Show that with 25 students, there...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 50PBCh. 5.4 - Prob. 51PBCh. 5.4 - Prob. 52PBCh. 5.4 - Coincidence in your life State an event that has...Ch. 5.4 - Monkeys typing Shakespeare Since events of low...Ch. 5.4 - A true coincidence at DisneyWorld Wisconsin has...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 56PBCh. 5.4 - Mammogram diagnostics Breast cancer is the most...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 58PBCh. 5.4 - Prob. 59PBCh. 5.4 - Convicted by mistake In criminal trials (e.g.,...Ch. 5.4 - DNA evidence compelling? DNA evidence can be...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 62PBCh. 5.4 - Simulating donations to local blood bank The...Ch. 5.4 - Probability of winning In Example 16, we estimated...Ch. 5 - Peyton Manning completions As of the end of the...Ch. 5 - Due for a boy? A couple has five children, all...Ch. 5 - Prob. 68CPCh. 5 - Choices for lunch For the set lunch at Amelias...Ch. 5 - Caught doctoring the books After the major...Ch. 5 - Life after death In a General Social Survey, in...Ch. 5 - Death penalty jury In arguing against the death...Ch. 5 - Drivers exam Three 15-year-old friends with no...Ch. 5 - Prob. 74CPCh. 5 - Health insurance According to a 2006 census bureau...Ch. 5 - Prob. 76CPCh. 5 - Prob. 77CPCh. 5 - Prob. 78CPCh. 5 - Prob. 79CPCh. 5 - Roll two more dice Refer to the previous exercise....Ch. 5 - Prob. 81CPCh. 5 - Waste dump sites A federal agency is deciding...Ch. 5 - Prob. 83CPCh. 5 - Prob. 84CPCh. 5 - Prob. 85CPCh. 5 - Death penalty and false positives For the decision...Ch. 5 - Prob. 87CPCh. 5 - Screening for heart attacks Biochemical markers...Ch. 5 - Prob. 89CPCh. 5 - Color blindness For genetic reasons, color...Ch. 5 - Prob. 91CPCh. 5 - Prostate cancer A study of the PSA blood test for...Ch. 5 - Prob. 95CPCh. 5 - Illustrate probability terms with scenarios a....Ch. 5 - Short term versus long run Short-term aberrations...Ch. 5 - Prob. 98CPCh. 5 - Mrs. Test Mrs. Test (see www.mrstest.com) sells...Ch. 5 - Prob. 100CPCh. 5 - Prob. 101CPCh. 5 - Prob. 102CPCh. 5 - Protective bomb Before the days of high security...Ch. 5 - Streak shooter Sportscaster Maria Coselli claims...Ch. 5 - Multiple choice Choose ALL correct responses. For...Ch. 5 - Prob. 106CPCh. 5 - Prob. 107CPCh. 5 - Multiple choice: Dream come true You have a dream...Ch. 5 - Prob. 109CPCh. 5 - True or false Answer true of false for each part....Ch. 5 - True or false When you flip a balanced coin twice,...Ch. 5 - Prob. 112CPCh. 5 - Prob. 113CPCh. 5 - Prob. 114CPCh. 5 - Prob. 115CPCh. 5 - Prob. 116CP
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