Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning from Data (4th Edition)
4th Edition
ISBN: 9780321997838
Author: Alan Agresti, Christine A. Franklin, Bernhard Klingenberg
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 5, Problem 91CP
a.
To determine
Construct a tree diagram for the test.
b.
To determine
List the intersection probabilities in a
c.
To determine
Compute the
d.
To determine
Construct a contingency table with frequencies for 10,000 people with 10% and 1% prevalence.
Explain the reasons for positive results are more likely to be in error if the prevalence is lower.
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We consider the one-period model studied in class as an example. Namely, we assumethat the current stock price is S0 = 10. At time T, the stock has either moved up toSt = 12 (with probability p = 0.6) or down towards St = 8 (with probability 1−p = 0.4).We consider a call option on this stock with maturity T and strike price K = 10. Theinterest rate on the money market is zero.As in class, we assume that you, as a customer, are willing to buy the call option on100 shares of stock for $120. The investor, who sold you the option, can adopt one of thefollowing strategies: Strategy 1: (seen in class) Buy 50 shares of stock and borrow $380. Strategy 2: Buy 55 shares of stock and borrow $430. Strategy 3: Buy 60 shares of stock and borrow $480. Strategy 4: Buy 40 shares of stock and borrow $280.(a) For each of strategies 2-4, describe the value of the investor’s portfolio at time 0,and at time T for each possible movement of the stock.(b) For each of strategies 2-4, does the investor have…
Negate the following compound statement using De Morgans's laws.
Chapter 5 Solutions
Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning from Data (4th Edition)
Ch. 5.1 - Probability Explain what is meant by the long-run...Ch. 5.1 - Testing a coin Your friend decides to flip a coin...Ch. 5.1 - Vegetarianism You randomly sample 10 people in...Ch. 5.1 - Airline accident deaths Airplane safety has been...Ch. 5.1 - World Cup 2014 The powerrank.com website...Ch. 5.1 - Random digits Consider a random number generator...Ch. 5.1 - Polls and sample size A pollster agency wants to...Ch. 5.1 - Heart transplant Before the first human heart...Ch. 5.1 - Nuclear war You are asked to use your best...Ch. 5.1 - Simulate coin flips Use the web app Random Numbers...
Ch. 5.1 - Unannounced pop quiz A teacher announces a pop...Ch. 5.2 - Student union poll Part of a student opinion poll...Ch. 5.2 - Random digit A single random digit (from 09) is...Ch. 5.2 - Pop quiz A teacher gives a four-question...Ch. 5.2 - More true-false questions Your teacher gives a...Ch. 5.2 - Rolling two dice Some friends are playing a game...Ch. 5.2 - Two girls A couple plans to have two children....Ch. 5.2 - Three children A couple plans to have three...Ch. 5.2 - Wrong sample space A couple plans to have four...Ch. 5.2 - Insurance Every year the insurance industry spends...Ch. 5.2 - Cell phone and case At the local cell phone store,...Ch. 5.2 - Seat belt use and auto accidents Based on records...Ch. 5.2 - Protecting the environment When the General Social...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 25PBCh. 5.2 - Newspaper sales You are the director of newspaper...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 27PBCh. 5.3 - Recidivism rates A 2014 article from Business...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 29PBCh. 5.3 - Audit and low income Table 5.3 on audit status and...Ch. 5.3 - Religious affiliation The 2012 Statistical...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 32PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 33PBCh. 5.3 - Go Celtics! Larry Bird, who played pro basketball...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 35PBCh. 5.3 - Homeland security According to an article in The...Ch. 5.3 - Down syndrome again Example 8 discussed the Triple...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 38PBCh. 5.3 - Happiness in relationship Are people happy in...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 40PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 41PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 42PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 43PBCh. 5.3 - Prob. 44PBCh. 5.3 - Family with two children For a family with two...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 46PBCh. 5.4 - Birthdays of presidents Of the first 44 presidents...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 48PBCh. 5.4 - Lots of pairs Show that with 25 students, there...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 50PBCh. 5.4 - Prob. 51PBCh. 5.4 - Prob. 52PBCh. 5.4 - Coincidence in your life State an event that has...Ch. 5.4 - Monkeys typing Shakespeare Since events of low...Ch. 5.4 - A true coincidence at DisneyWorld Wisconsin has...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 56PBCh. 5.4 - Mammogram diagnostics Breast cancer is the most...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 58PBCh. 5.4 - Prob. 59PBCh. 5.4 - Convicted by mistake In criminal trials (e.g.,...Ch. 5.4 - DNA evidence compelling? DNA evidence can be...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 62PBCh. 5.4 - Simulating donations to local blood bank The...Ch. 5.4 - Probability of winning In Example 16, we estimated...Ch. 5 - Peyton Manning completions As of the end of the...Ch. 5 - Due for a boy? A couple has five children, all...Ch. 5 - Prob. 68CPCh. 5 - Choices for lunch For the set lunch at Amelias...Ch. 5 - Caught doctoring the books After the major...Ch. 5 - Life after death In a General Social Survey, in...Ch. 5 - Death penalty jury In arguing against the death...Ch. 5 - Drivers exam Three 15-year-old friends with no...Ch. 5 - Prob. 74CPCh. 5 - Health insurance According to a 2006 census bureau...Ch. 5 - Prob. 76CPCh. 5 - Prob. 77CPCh. 5 - Prob. 78CPCh. 5 - Prob. 79CPCh. 5 - Roll two more dice Refer to the previous exercise....Ch. 5 - Prob. 81CPCh. 5 - Waste dump sites A federal agency is deciding...Ch. 5 - Prob. 83CPCh. 5 - Prob. 84CPCh. 5 - Prob. 85CPCh. 5 - Death penalty and false positives For the decision...Ch. 5 - Prob. 87CPCh. 5 - Screening for heart attacks Biochemical markers...Ch. 5 - Prob. 89CPCh. 5 - Color blindness For genetic reasons, color...Ch. 5 - Prob. 91CPCh. 5 - Prostate cancer A study of the PSA blood test for...Ch. 5 - Prob. 95CPCh. 5 - Illustrate probability terms with scenarios a....Ch. 5 - Short term versus long run Short-term aberrations...Ch. 5 - Prob. 98CPCh. 5 - Mrs. Test Mrs. Test (see www.mrstest.com) sells...Ch. 5 - Prob. 100CPCh. 5 - Prob. 101CPCh. 5 - Prob. 102CPCh. 5 - Protective bomb Before the days of high security...Ch. 5 - Streak shooter Sportscaster Maria Coselli claims...Ch. 5 - Multiple choice Choose ALL correct responses. For...Ch. 5 - Prob. 106CPCh. 5 - Prob. 107CPCh. 5 - Multiple choice: Dream come true You have a dream...Ch. 5 - Prob. 109CPCh. 5 - True or false Answer true of false for each part....Ch. 5 - True or false When you flip a balanced coin twice,...Ch. 5 - Prob. 112CPCh. 5 - Prob. 113CPCh. 5 - Prob. 114CPCh. 5 - Prob. 115CPCh. 5 - Prob. 116CP
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- Negate the following compound statement using De Morgans's laws.arrow_forwardQuestion 6: Negate the following compound statements, using De Morgan's laws. A) If Alberta was under water entirely then there should be no fossil of mammals.arrow_forwardNegate the following compound statement using De Morgans's laws.arrow_forward
- Characterize (with proof) all connected graphs that contain no even cycles in terms oftheir blocks.arrow_forwardLet G be a connected graph that does not have P4 or C3 as an induced subgraph (i.e.,G is P4, C3 free). Prove that G is a complete bipartite grapharrow_forwardProve sufficiency of the condition for a graph to be bipartite that is, prove that if G hasno odd cycles then G is bipartite as follows:Assume that the statement is false and that G is an edge minimal counterexample. That is, Gsatisfies the conditions and is not bipartite but G − e is bipartite for any edge e. (Note thatthis is essentially induction, just using different terminology.) What does minimality say aboutconnectivity of G? Can G − e be disconnected? Explain why if there is an edge between twovertices in the same part of a bipartition of G − e then there is an odd cyclearrow_forward
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